The retirement of longtime Republican incumbent Don Bacon has transformed Nebraska's 2nd Congressional District into an open-seat contest in a constituency that backed Kamala Harris by roughly five points in the prior presidential election. Democratic nominee Denise Powell secured her party's nomination after a competitive May primary and has maintained a fundraising edge entering the fall campaign. Republican nominee Brinker Harding faces the challenge of holding a light-blue Omaha-area district rated Lean Democratic by major forecasters. With the general election still months away, trader consensus reflected in current odds centers on these structural advantages for Democrats, tempered by the possibility of late shifts in national conditions or turnout patterns.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedNE-02 House Election Winner
NE-02 House Election Winner
$37,240 Vol.
$37,240 Vol.
Nov 4, 2026
Democratic Party
81%
Republican Party
13%
$37,240 Vol.
$37,240 Vol.
Nov 4, 2026
Democratic Party
$32,405 Vol.
81%
Republican Party
$4,835 Vol.
13%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NE-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The retirement of longtime Republican incumbent Don Bacon has transformed Nebraska's 2nd Congressional District into an open-seat contest in a constituency that backed Kamala Harris by roughly five points in the prior presidential election. Democratic nominee Denise Powell secured her party's nomination after a competitive May primary and has maintained a fundraising edge entering the fall campaign. Republican nominee Brinker Harding faces the challenge of holding a light-blue Omaha-area district rated Lean Democratic by major forecasters. With the general election still months away, trader consensus reflected in current odds centers on these structural advantages for Democrats, tempered by the possibility of late shifts in national conditions or turnout patterns.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NE-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Market Opened: Dec 16, 2025, 12:19 PM ET
Volume
$37,240End Date
Nov 4, 2026Market Opened
Dec 16, 2025, 12:19 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NE-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The retirement of longtime Republican incumbent Don Bacon has transformed Nebraska's 2nd Congressional District into an open-seat contest in a constituency that backed Kamala Harris by roughly five points in the prior presidential election. Democratic nominee Denise Powell secured her party's nomination after a competitive May primary and has maintained a fundraising edge entering the fall campaign. Republican nominee Brinker Harding faces the challenge of holding a light-blue Omaha-area district rated Lean Democratic by major forecasters. With the general election still months away, trader consensus reflected in current odds centers on these structural advantages for Democrats, tempered by the possibility of late shifts in national conditions or turnout patterns.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NE-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$37,240End Date
Nov 4, 2026Market Opened
Dec 16, 2025, 12:19 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The retirement of longtime Republican incumbent Don Bacon has transformed Nebraska's 2nd Congressional District into an open-seat contest in a constituency that backed Kamala Harris by roughly five points in the prior presidential election. Democratic nominee Denise Powell secured her party's nomination after a competitive May primary and has maintained a fundraising edge entering the fall campaign. Republican nominee Brinker Harding faces the challenge of holding a light-blue Omaha-area district rated Lean Democratic by major forecasters. With the general election still months away, trader consensus reflected in current odds centers on these structural advantages for Democrats, tempered by the possibility of late shifts in national conditions or turnout patterns.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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