**The Nuevo León 2027 gubernatorial race remains highly competitive more than a year before the vote, with trader probabilities clustered tightly among leading contenders amid unresolved party nominations and shifting alliances.** Mariana Rodríguez Cantú and Luis Donaldo Colosio Riojas lead Movimiento Ciudadano’s internal field, while Adrián de la Garza Santos anchors a potential PRI-PAN coalition and several Morena aspirants—including Waldo Fernández González, Tatiana Clouthier Carrillo, Andrés Mijes Llovera, and Clara Luz Flores Carrales—vie in an ongoing internal survey process formalized earlier in 2026. Recent polling shows Movimiento Ciudadano and Morena nearly tied in party preference, with the PRI-PAN bloc gaining ground in some measurements and de la Garza performing strongly in hypothetical matchups. Key upcoming catalysts include Movimiento Ciudadano’s expected nomination assembly by late 2026, Morena’s survey outcome, confirmation of any opposition alliance, and Colosio’s potential decision on running in Sonora instead. These factors sustain the close market pricing, as no candidate has yet secured a clear path to the general-election ballot.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedMariana Rodríguez Cantú 27.2%
Adrián de la Garza Santos 23%
Luis Donaldo Colosio Riojas 18.9%
Tatiana Clouthier Carrillo 8.5%
$54,532 Vol.
$54,532 Vol.
Mariana Rodríguez Cantú
27%
Adrián de la Garza Santos
23%
Luis Donaldo Colosio Riojas
23%
Tatiana Clouthier Carrillo
9%
Jesús Alberto Elizondo
9%
Alma Rosa Marroquín Escamilla
5%
Andrés Mijes Llovera
5%
Clara Luz Flores Carrales
4%
Waldo Fernández González
9%
Félix Arratia Cruz
3%
Martha Herrera González
3%
Judith Díaz Delgado
3%
Carlos de la Fuente Flores
2%
Felipe de Jesús Cantú Rodríguez
2%
Miguel Flores Serna
2%
Daniel Carrillo Martínez
7%
Raúl Lozano Caballero
1%
Héctor García García
1%
Annia Gómez Cárdenas
1%
Fernando Margáin Berlanga
1%
Arturo Salinas Garza
1%
Mariana Rodríguez Cantú 27.2%
Adrián de la Garza Santos 23%
Luis Donaldo Colosio Riojas 18.9%
Tatiana Clouthier Carrillo 8.5%
$54,532 Vol.
$54,532 Vol.
Mariana Rodríguez Cantú
27%
Adrián de la Garza Santos
23%
Luis Donaldo Colosio Riojas
23%
Tatiana Clouthier Carrillo
9%
Jesús Alberto Elizondo
9%
Alma Rosa Marroquín Escamilla
5%
Andrés Mijes Llovera
5%
Clara Luz Flores Carrales
4%
Waldo Fernández González
9%
Félix Arratia Cruz
3%
Martha Herrera González
3%
Judith Díaz Delgado
3%
Carlos de la Fuente Flores
2%
Felipe de Jesús Cantú Rodríguez
2%
Miguel Flores Serna
2%
Daniel Carrillo Martínez
7%
Raúl Lozano Caballero
1%
Héctor García García
1%
Annia Gómez Cárdenas
1%
Fernando Margáin Berlanga
1%
Arturo Salinas Garza
1%
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Nuevo León gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify.
If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Nuevo León and Mexico, including the Electoral Institute of Nuevo León and the National Electoral Institute of Mexico.
Market Opened: Aug 5, 2026, 7:02 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Nuevo León gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify.
If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Nuevo León and Mexico, including the Electoral Institute of Nuevo León and the National Electoral Institute of Mexico.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...**The Nuevo León 2027 gubernatorial race remains highly competitive more than a year before the vote, with trader probabilities clustered tightly among leading contenders amid unresolved party nominations and shifting alliances.** Mariana Rodríguez Cantú and Luis Donaldo Colosio Riojas lead Movimiento Ciudadano’s internal field, while Adrián de la Garza Santos anchors a potential PRI-PAN coalition and several Morena aspirants—including Waldo Fernández González, Tatiana Clouthier Carrillo, Andrés Mijes Llovera, and Clara Luz Flores Carrales—vie in an ongoing internal survey process formalized earlier in 2026. Recent polling shows Movimiento Ciudadano and Morena nearly tied in party preference, with the PRI-PAN bloc gaining ground in some measurements and de la Garza performing strongly in hypothetical matchups. Key upcoming catalysts include Movimiento Ciudadano’s expected nomination assembly by late 2026, Morena’s survey outcome, confirmation of any opposition alliance, and Colosio’s potential decision on running in Sonora instead. These factors sustain the close market pricing, as no candidate has yet secured a clear path to the general-election ballot.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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