MrBeast’s latest challenge video, featuring strangers living together in a mansion, has already amassed roughly 43 million views within its first day of release, locking trader consensus on the 43–45 million range for day-two performance. This positioning reflects the creator’s proven track record of explosive early growth driven by a subscriber base exceeding 500 million, aggressive cross-platform promotion, and YouTube’s algorithmic preference for high-retention, high-production content. Historical patterns show similar videos sustaining strong daily gains through the first 48 hours before tapering. An upset into a lower bracket would require an abrupt slowdown from audience fatigue or unexpected external competition, while pushing above 45 million would demand unusually sustained momentum into the second full day—scenarios traders currently price as remote given the live trajectory.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated# of views of MrBeast video day 2?
# of views of MrBeast video day 2?
43–45M 100.0%
<37M <1%
37–39M <1%
39–41M <1%
$19,143 Vol.
$19,143 Vol.
Aug 10, 2026
<37M
No
37–39M
No
39–41M
No
41–43M
No
43–45M
Yes
45M+
No
43–45M 100.0%
<37M <1%
37–39M <1%
39–41M <1%
$19,143 Vol.
$19,143 Vol.
Aug 10, 2026
<37M
$305 Vol.
No
37–39M
$260 Vol.
No
39–41M
$460 Vol.
No
41–43M
$4,293 Vol.
No
43–45M
$7,098 Vol.
Yes
45M+
$6,727 Vol.
No
This market will resolve according to the number of views the latest YouTube video posted by MrBeast gets in the first 48 hours after being posted. This market may not resolve until the 48 hours are complete, regardless of whether a strike is reached earlier.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this market is MrBeast's YouTube channel (https://www.youtube.com/@MrBeast), specifically the 'views' counter for the described video.
Note: This market refers to the video titled "Last To Leave Mansion, Keeps It", which can be found here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Af6i6ChAVTw Shorts, previews, or other videos released other than the referenced video will not be considered. MrBeast’s latest challenge video, featuring strangers living together in a mansion, has already amassed roughly 43 million views within its first day of release, locking trader consensus on the 43–45 million range for day-two performance. This positioning reflects the creator’s proven track record of explosive early growth driven by a subscriber base exceeding 500 million, aggressive cross-platform promotion, and YouTube’s algorithmic preference for high-retention, high-production content. Historical patterns show similar videos sustaining strong daily gains through the first 48 hours before tapering. An upset into a lower bracket would require an abrupt slowdown from audience fatigue or unexpected external competition, while pushing above 45 million would demand unusually sustained momentum into the second full day—scenarios traders currently price as remote given the live trajectory.
This market will resolve according to the number of views the latest YouTube video posted by MrBeast gets in the first 48 hours after being posted. This market may not resolve until the 48 hours are complete, regardless of whether a strike is reached earlier.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this market is MrBeast's YouTube channel (https://www.youtube.com/@MrBeast), specifically the 'views' counter for the described video.
Note: This market refers to the video titled "Last To Leave Mansion, Keeps It", which can be found here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Af6i6ChAVTw Shorts, previews, or other videos released other than the referenced video will not be considered.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this market is MrBeast's YouTube channel (https://www.youtube.com/@MrBeast), specifically the 'views' counter for the described video.
Note: This market refers to the video titled "Last To Leave Mansion, Keeps It", which can be found here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Af6i6ChAVTw Shorts, previews, or other videos released other than the referenced video will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 9, 2026, 6:44 PM ET
Volume
$19,143End Date
Aug 10, 2026Market Opened
Aug 9, 2026, 6:44 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Af6i6ChAVTwResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
This market will resolve according to the number of views the latest YouTube video posted by MrBeast gets in the first 48 hours after being posted. This market may not resolve until the 48 hours are complete, regardless of whether a strike is reached earlier.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this market is MrBeast's YouTube channel (https://www.youtube.com/@MrBeast), specifically the 'views' counter for the described video.
Note: This market refers to the video titled "Last To Leave Mansion, Keeps It", which can be found here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Af6i6ChAVTw Shorts, previews, or other videos released other than the referenced video will not be considered. MrBeast’s latest challenge video, featuring strangers living together in a mansion, has already amassed roughly 43 million views within its first day of release, locking trader consensus on the 43–45 million range for day-two performance. This positioning reflects the creator’s proven track record of explosive early growth driven by a subscriber base exceeding 500 million, aggressive cross-platform promotion, and YouTube’s algorithmic preference for high-retention, high-production content. Historical patterns show similar videos sustaining strong daily gains through the first 48 hours before tapering. An upset into a lower bracket would require an abrupt slowdown from audience fatigue or unexpected external competition, while pushing above 45 million would demand unusually sustained momentum into the second full day—scenarios traders currently price as remote given the live trajectory.
This market will resolve according to the number of views the latest YouTube video posted by MrBeast gets in the first 48 hours after being posted. This market may not resolve until the 48 hours are complete, regardless of whether a strike is reached earlier.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this market is MrBeast's YouTube channel (https://www.youtube.com/@MrBeast), specifically the 'views' counter for the described video.
Note: This market refers to the video titled "Last To Leave Mansion, Keeps It", which can be found here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Af6i6ChAVTw Shorts, previews, or other videos released other than the referenced video will not be considered.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this market is MrBeast's YouTube channel (https://www.youtube.com/@MrBeast), specifically the 'views' counter for the described video.
Note: This market refers to the video titled "Last To Leave Mansion, Keeps It", which can be found here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Af6i6ChAVTw Shorts, previews, or other videos released other than the referenced video will not be considered.
Volume
$19,143End Date
Aug 10, 2026Market Opened
Aug 9, 2026, 6:44 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Af6i6ChAVTwResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
MrBeast’s latest challenge video, featuring strangers living together in a mansion, has already amassed roughly 43 million views within its first day of release, locking trader consensus on the 43–45 million range for day-two performance. This positioning reflects the creator’s proven track record of explosive early growth driven by a subscriber base exceeding 500 million, aggressive cross-platform promotion, and YouTube’s algorithmic preference for high-retention, high-production content. Historical patterns show similar videos sustaining strong daily gains through the first 48 hours before tapering. An upset into a lower bracket would require an abrupt slowdown from audience fatigue or unexpected external competition, while pushing above 45 million would demand unusually sustained momentum into the second full day—scenarios traders currently price as remote given the live trajectory.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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