Trader consensus shows near-certainty for 63-64 million views on the MrBeast video by day five, anchored in the upload's strong initial velocity and the creator's proven track record of delivering consistent daily growth on high-engagement YouTube content. Early metrics, including watch time and shares from the premiere window, align with historical patterns for similar challenge or spectacle videos, where momentum typically plateaus predictably after the first 48-72 hours. Platform algorithms favoring MrBeast's established audience further reinforce the tight band. Upset scenarios could emerge from sudden external boosts such as celebrity endorsements, viral clips on competing platforms, or unexpected algorithm shifts that accelerate reach beyond standard trajectories.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated# of views of MrBeast video day 5?
63-64M 100.0%
<61M <1%
61-62M <1%
62-63M <1%
$40,180 Vol.
$40,180 Vol.
<61M
No
61-62M
No
62-63M
No
63-64M
Yes
64-65M
No
65M+
No
63-64M 100.0%
<61M <1%
61-62M <1%
62-63M <1%
$40,180 Vol.
$40,180 Vol.
<61M
No
61-62M
No
62-63M
No
63-64M
Yes
64-65M
No
65M+
No
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this market is MrBeast's YouTube channel (https://www.youtube.com/@MrBeast), specifically the 'views' counter for the described video.
Note: This market refers to the video titled "Escape 100 Cops, Win $500,000", which can be found here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Qtl8lJwbd4g. Shorts, previews, or other videos released other than the referenced video will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 25, 2026, 8:19 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Qtl8lJwbd4gResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this market is MrBeast's YouTube channel (https://www.youtube.com/@MrBeast), specifically the 'views' counter for the described video.
Note: This market refers to the video titled "Escape 100 Cops, Win $500,000", which can be found here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Qtl8lJwbd4g. Shorts, previews, or other videos released other than the referenced video will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Qtl8lJwbd4gResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
Trader consensus shows near-certainty for 63-64 million views on the MrBeast video by day five, anchored in the upload's strong initial velocity and the creator's proven track record of delivering consistent daily growth on high-engagement YouTube content. Early metrics, including watch time and shares from the premiere window, align with historical patterns for similar challenge or spectacle videos, where momentum typically plateaus predictably after the first 48-72 hours. Platform algorithms favoring MrBeast's established audience further reinforce the tight band. Upset scenarios could emerge from sudden external boosts such as celebrity endorsements, viral clips on competing platforms, or unexpected algorithm shifts that accelerate reach beyond standard trajectories.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated

Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions