MrBeast’s “Smaller Strikes” video has posted first-week view totals tracking squarely inside the 75-76 million band, producing the 99.6% implied probability that dominates trader positioning. Consistent early upload velocity, driven by the creator’s signature high-production challenges and rapid algorithmic promotion on YouTube, has kept the trajectory locked in line with historical performance patterns for comparable releases. Platform metrics and audience engagement signals have shown little deviation from established benchmarks, reinforcing the strong consensus. An upset to neighboring ranges would require an unforeseen surge in external promotion or a sharp algorithmic shift, both considered low-probability events at this stage of the tracking window.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated# of views of MrBeast video week 1? (Smaller Strikes)
# of views of MrBeast video week 1? (Smaller Strikes)
75-76M 100.0%
74-75M <1%
<72M <1%
72-73M <1%
$28,032 Vol.
$28,032 Vol.
Aug 29, 2026
<72M
No
72-73M
No
73-74M
No
74-75M
No
75-76M
Yes
76-77M
No
77-78M
No
78-79M
No
79M+
No
75-76M 100.0%
74-75M <1%
<72M <1%
72-73M <1%
$28,032 Vol.
$28,032 Vol.
Aug 29, 2026
<72M
$496 Vol.
No
72-73M
$164 Vol.
No
73-74M
$1,282 Vol.
No
74-75M
$7,314 Vol.
No
75-76M
$10,284 Vol.
Yes
76-77M
$2,033 Vol.
No
77-78M
$3,017 Vol.
No
78-79M
$1,032 Vol.
No
79M+
$2,411 Vol.
No
This market will resolve according to the number of views the latest YouTube video posted by MrBeast gets in the first 168 hours after being posted. This market may not resolve until the 168 hours are complete, regardless of whether a strike is reached earlier.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this market is MrBeast's YouTube channel (https://www.youtube.com/@MrBeast), specifically the 'views' counter for the described video.
Note: This market refers to the video titled "Escape 100 Cops, Win $500,000", which can be found here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Qtl8lJwbd4g. Shorts, previews, or other videos released other than the referenced video will not be considered.MrBeast’s “Smaller Strikes” video has posted first-week view totals tracking squarely inside the 75-76 million band, producing the 99.6% implied probability that dominates trader positioning. Consistent early upload velocity, driven by the creator’s signature high-production challenges and rapid algorithmic promotion on YouTube, has kept the trajectory locked in line with historical performance patterns for comparable releases. Platform metrics and audience engagement signals have shown little deviation from established benchmarks, reinforcing the strong consensus. An upset to neighboring ranges would require an unforeseen surge in external promotion or a sharp algorithmic shift, both considered low-probability events at this stage of the tracking window.
This market will resolve according to the number of views the latest YouTube video posted by MrBeast gets in the first 168 hours after being posted. This market may not resolve until the 168 hours are complete, regardless of whether a strike is reached earlier.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this market is MrBeast's YouTube channel (https://www.youtube.com/@MrBeast), specifically the 'views' counter for the described video.
Note: This market refers to the video titled "Escape 100 Cops, Win $500,000", which can be found here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Qtl8lJwbd4g. Shorts, previews, or other videos released other than the referenced video will not be considered.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this market is MrBeast's YouTube channel (https://www.youtube.com/@MrBeast), specifically the 'views' counter for the described video.
Note: This market refers to the video titled "Escape 100 Cops, Win $500,000", which can be found here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Qtl8lJwbd4g. Shorts, previews, or other videos released other than the referenced video will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 28, 2026, 11:26 AM ET
Volume
$28,032End Date
Aug 29, 2026Market Opened
Aug 28, 2026, 11:26 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
This market will resolve according to the number of views the latest YouTube video posted by MrBeast gets in the first 168 hours after being posted. This market may not resolve until the 168 hours are complete, regardless of whether a strike is reached earlier.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this market is MrBeast's YouTube channel (https://www.youtube.com/@MrBeast), specifically the 'views' counter for the described video.
Note: This market refers to the video titled "Escape 100 Cops, Win $500,000", which can be found here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Qtl8lJwbd4g. Shorts, previews, or other videos released other than the referenced video will not be considered.MrBeast’s “Smaller Strikes” video has posted first-week view totals tracking squarely inside the 75-76 million band, producing the 99.6% implied probability that dominates trader positioning. Consistent early upload velocity, driven by the creator’s signature high-production challenges and rapid algorithmic promotion on YouTube, has kept the trajectory locked in line with historical performance patterns for comparable releases. Platform metrics and audience engagement signals have shown little deviation from established benchmarks, reinforcing the strong consensus. An upset to neighboring ranges would require an unforeseen surge in external promotion or a sharp algorithmic shift, both considered low-probability events at this stage of the tracking window.
This market will resolve according to the number of views the latest YouTube video posted by MrBeast gets in the first 168 hours after being posted. This market may not resolve until the 168 hours are complete, regardless of whether a strike is reached earlier.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this market is MrBeast's YouTube channel (https://www.youtube.com/@MrBeast), specifically the 'views' counter for the described video.
Note: This market refers to the video titled "Escape 100 Cops, Win $500,000", which can be found here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Qtl8lJwbd4g. Shorts, previews, or other videos released other than the referenced video will not be considered.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this market is MrBeast's YouTube channel (https://www.youtube.com/@MrBeast), specifically the 'views' counter for the described video.
Note: This market refers to the video titled "Escape 100 Cops, Win $500,000", which can be found here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Qtl8lJwbd4g. Shorts, previews, or other videos released other than the referenced video will not be considered.
Volume
$28,032End Date
Aug 29, 2026Market Opened
Aug 28, 2026, 11:26 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
MrBeast’s “Smaller Strikes” video has posted first-week view totals tracking squarely inside the 75-76 million band, producing the 99.6% implied probability that dominates trader positioning. Consistent early upload velocity, driven by the creator’s signature high-production challenges and rapid algorithmic promotion on YouTube, has kept the trajectory locked in line with historical performance patterns for comparable releases. Platform metrics and audience engagement signals have shown little deviation from established benchmarks, reinforcing the strong consensus. An upset to neighboring ranges would require an unforeseen surge in external promotion or a sharp algorithmic shift, both considered low-probability events at this stage of the tracking window.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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