The September 6, 2026, Landtag election delivered a decisive AfD victory with 43.8% of the vote, placing it 26.6 points ahead of the CDU at 17.2%. This margin reflects a more than doubling of AfD support from its 20.8% share in 2021, alongside a near-halving of the incumbent CDU's 37.1% result, amid record turnout of 77.8%. The remaining vote fragmented across SPD, Greens, Left, and BSW (each between 5.3% and 9.3%), leaving no other party positioned to narrow the gap. Official preliminary counts confirm the outcome across all districts, with AfD leading every region. Late adjustments or recounts represent the only plausible variables that could alter resolution, though historical precedent shows minimal shifts in final tallies.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedAfD 25%+ 100.0%
AfD 20-25% <1%
AfD 15-20% <1%
AfD 10-15% <1%
$79,343 Vol.
$79,343 Vol.
Sep 6, 2026
AfD 25%+
Yes
AfD 20-25%
No
AfD 15-20%
No
AfD 10-15%
No
AfD <10%
No
Other
No
AfD 25%+ 100.0%
AfD 20-25% <1%
AfD 15-20% <1%
AfD 10-15% <1%
$79,343 Vol.
$79,343 Vol.
Sep 6, 2026
AfD 25%+
$55,045 Vol.
Yes
AfD 20-25%
$2,529 Vol.
No
AfD 15-20%
$2,613 Vol.
No
AfD 10-15%
$6,723 Vol.
No
AfD <10%
$11,494 Vol.
No
Other
$939 Vol.
No
Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt are scheduled to take place on September 6, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two parties in terms of valid second votes in this election.
If the margin of victory falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
For the purposes of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid second votes received by the political party that wins the most valid second votes and the political party that wins the second-most valid second votes. Percentages of the valid second votes received by each party will be determined by dividing the total number of valid second votes each of the top two parties receives by the sum of all valid second votes cast in the election.
If two or more parties tie for the most valid second votes in this election, and the tie is between two parties listed, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the list whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order. If the tie is between a listed party and an unlisted party, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the listed party. If the tie is between two or more unlisted parties, this market will resolve to “Other.”
If any unlisted party wins the most valid second votes in this election, or the results of this election are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official website of the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt (https://www.landtag.sachsen-anhalt.de/).The September 6, 2026, Landtag election delivered a decisive AfD victory with 43.8% of the vote, placing it 26.6 points ahead of the CDU at 17.2%. This margin reflects a more than doubling of AfD support from its 20.8% share in 2021, alongside a near-halving of the incumbent CDU's 37.1% result, amid record turnout of 77.8%. The remaining vote fragmented across SPD, Greens, Left, and BSW (each between 5.3% and 9.3%), leaving no other party positioned to narrow the gap. Official preliminary counts confirm the outcome across all districts, with AfD leading every region. Late adjustments or recounts represent the only plausible variables that could alter resolution, though historical precedent shows minimal shifts in final tallies.
Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt are scheduled to take place on September 6, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two parties in terms of valid second votes in this election.
If the margin of victory falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
For the purposes of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid second votes received by the political party that wins the most valid second votes and the political party that wins the second-most valid second votes. Percentages of the valid second votes received by each party will be determined by dividing the total number of valid second votes each of the top two parties receives by the sum of all valid second votes cast in the election.
If two or more parties tie for the most valid second votes in this election, and the tie is between two parties listed, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the list whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order. If the tie is between a listed party and an unlisted party, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the listed party. If the tie is between two or more unlisted parties, this market will resolve to “Other.”
If any unlisted party wins the most valid second votes in this election, or the results of this election are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official website of the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt (https://www.landtag.sachsen-anhalt.de/).
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two parties in terms of valid second votes in this election.
If the margin of victory falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
For the purposes of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid second votes received by the political party that wins the most valid second votes and the political party that wins the second-most valid second votes. Percentages of the valid second votes received by each party will be determined by dividing the total number of valid second votes each of the top two parties receives by the sum of all valid second votes cast in the election.
If two or more parties tie for the most valid second votes in this election, and the tie is between two parties listed, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the list whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order. If the tie is between a listed party and an unlisted party, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the listed party. If the tie is between two or more unlisted parties, this market will resolve to “Other.”
If any unlisted party wins the most valid second votes in this election, or the results of this election are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official website of the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt (https://www.landtag.sachsen-anhalt.de/).
Market Opened: Sep 1, 2026, 8:29 PM ET
Volume
$79,343End Date
Sep 6, 2026Market Opened
Sep 1, 2026, 8:29 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: Yes
No dispute
Final outcome: Yes
Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt are scheduled to take place on September 6, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two parties in terms of valid second votes in this election.
If the margin of victory falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
For the purposes of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid second votes received by the political party that wins the most valid second votes and the political party that wins the second-most valid second votes. Percentages of the valid second votes received by each party will be determined by dividing the total number of valid second votes each of the top two parties receives by the sum of all valid second votes cast in the election.
If two or more parties tie for the most valid second votes in this election, and the tie is between two parties listed, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the list whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order. If the tie is between a listed party and an unlisted party, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the listed party. If the tie is between two or more unlisted parties, this market will resolve to “Other.”
If any unlisted party wins the most valid second votes in this election, or the results of this election are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official website of the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt (https://www.landtag.sachsen-anhalt.de/).The September 6, 2026, Landtag election delivered a decisive AfD victory with 43.8% of the vote, placing it 26.6 points ahead of the CDU at 17.2%. This margin reflects a more than doubling of AfD support from its 20.8% share in 2021, alongside a near-halving of the incumbent CDU's 37.1% result, amid record turnout of 77.8%. The remaining vote fragmented across SPD, Greens, Left, and BSW (each between 5.3% and 9.3%), leaving no other party positioned to narrow the gap. Official preliminary counts confirm the outcome across all districts, with AfD leading every region. Late adjustments or recounts represent the only plausible variables that could alter resolution, though historical precedent shows minimal shifts in final tallies.
Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt are scheduled to take place on September 6, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two parties in terms of valid second votes in this election.
If the margin of victory falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
For the purposes of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid second votes received by the political party that wins the most valid second votes and the political party that wins the second-most valid second votes. Percentages of the valid second votes received by each party will be determined by dividing the total number of valid second votes each of the top two parties receives by the sum of all valid second votes cast in the election.
If two or more parties tie for the most valid second votes in this election, and the tie is between two parties listed, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the list whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order. If the tie is between a listed party and an unlisted party, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the listed party. If the tie is between two or more unlisted parties, this market will resolve to “Other.”
If any unlisted party wins the most valid second votes in this election, or the results of this election are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official website of the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt (https://www.landtag.sachsen-anhalt.de/).
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two parties in terms of valid second votes in this election.
If the margin of victory falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
For the purposes of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid second votes received by the political party that wins the most valid second votes and the political party that wins the second-most valid second votes. Percentages of the valid second votes received by each party will be determined by dividing the total number of valid second votes each of the top two parties receives by the sum of all valid second votes cast in the election.
If two or more parties tie for the most valid second votes in this election, and the tie is between two parties listed, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the list whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order. If the tie is between a listed party and an unlisted party, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the listed party. If the tie is between two or more unlisted parties, this market will resolve to “Other.”
If any unlisted party wins the most valid second votes in this election, or the results of this election are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official website of the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt (https://www.landtag.sachsen-anhalt.de/).
Volume
$79,343End Date
Sep 6, 2026Market Opened
Sep 1, 2026, 8:29 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: Yes
No dispute
Final outcome: Yes
The September 6, 2026, Landtag election delivered a decisive AfD victory with 43.8% of the vote, placing it 26.6 points ahead of the CDU at 17.2%. This margin reflects a more than doubling of AfD support from its 20.8% share in 2021, alongside a near-halving of the incumbent CDU's 37.1% result, amid record turnout of 77.8%. The remaining vote fragmented across SPD, Greens, Left, and BSW (each between 5.3% and 9.3%), leaving no other party positioned to narrow the gap. Official preliminary counts confirm the outcome across all districts, with AfD leading every region. Late adjustments or recounts represent the only plausible variables that could alter resolution, though historical precedent shows minimal shifts in final tallies.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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