The 2026 Saxony-Anhalt Landtag election on September 6 produced a sharp drop in CDU support to 17.2% of the vote, yielding 15 seats in the 83-seat parliament after the party had held 40 seats on 37.1% five years earlier. Late polling from Infratest dimap, Forschungsgruppe Wahlen, and INSA consistently projected CDU results between 22% and 24%, translating to seat totals well below 17 once the 5% threshold and seat allocation formula were applied. Voter migration toward the AfD, which reached 43.8% and 39 seats, combined with stable or modest shares for the Left, SPD, and Greens, drove the outcome amid dissatisfaction with the prior CDU-SPD-FDP coalition. Final certification or minor adjustments from remaining counts could theoretically push CDU above 16 seats, though current tallies make this improbable.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated<17 100.0%
26+ <1%
17-19 <1%
20-22 <1%
$3,633 Vol.
$3,633 Vol.
Sep 6, 2026
<17
Yes
17-19
No
20-22
No
23-25
No
26+
No
<17 100.0%
26+ <1%
17-19 <1%
20-22 <1%
$3,633 Vol.
$3,633 Vol.
Sep 6, 2026
<17
$2,806 Vol.
Yes
17-19
$158 Vol.
No
20-22
$248 Vol.
No
23-25
$114 Vol.
No
26+
$307 Vol.
No
Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt are scheduled to take place on September 6, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the CDU party in the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt as a result of this election.
This market will resolve according to the total number of seats officially attributed to the specified party as a result of the election. This includes all seats attributed to that party, regardless of whether they are won directly or allocated through party lists, compensatory mechanisms, or any other component of the applicable electoral system.
If the specified party contests the election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If the specified party merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the specified party in this election.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official website of the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt (https://www.landtag.sachsen-anhalt.de/).The 2026 Saxony-Anhalt Landtag election on September 6 produced a sharp drop in CDU support to 17.2% of the vote, yielding 15 seats in the 83-seat parliament after the party had held 40 seats on 37.1% five years earlier. Late polling from Infratest dimap, Forschungsgruppe Wahlen, and INSA consistently projected CDU results between 22% and 24%, translating to seat totals well below 17 once the 5% threshold and seat allocation formula were applied. Voter migration toward the AfD, which reached 43.8% and 39 seats, combined with stable or modest shares for the Left, SPD, and Greens, drove the outcome amid dissatisfaction with the prior CDU-SPD-FDP coalition.
Final certification or minor adjustments from remaining counts could theoretically push CDU above 16 seats, though current tallies make this improbable.
Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt are scheduled to take place on September 6, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the CDU party in the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt as a result of this election.
This market will resolve according to the total number of seats officially attributed to the specified party as a result of the election. This includes all seats attributed to that party, regardless of whether they are won directly or allocated through party lists, compensatory mechanisms, or any other component of the applicable electoral system.
If the specified party contests the election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If the specified party merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the specified party in this election.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official website of the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt (https://www.landtag.sachsen-anhalt.de/).
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the CDU party in the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt as a result of this election.
This market will resolve according to the total number of seats officially attributed to the specified party as a result of the election. This includes all seats attributed to that party, regardless of whether they are won directly or allocated through party lists, compensatory mechanisms, or any other component of the applicable electoral system.
If the specified party contests the election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If the specified party merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the specified party in this election.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official website of the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt (https://www.landtag.sachsen-anhalt.de/).
Market Opened: Sep 1, 2026, 8:29 PM ET
Volume
$3,633End Date
Sep 6, 2026Market Opened
Sep 1, 2026, 8:29 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: Yes
No dispute
Final outcome: Yes
Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt are scheduled to take place on September 6, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the CDU party in the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt as a result of this election.
This market will resolve according to the total number of seats officially attributed to the specified party as a result of the election. This includes all seats attributed to that party, regardless of whether they are won directly or allocated through party lists, compensatory mechanisms, or any other component of the applicable electoral system.
If the specified party contests the election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If the specified party merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the specified party in this election.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official website of the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt (https://www.landtag.sachsen-anhalt.de/).The 2026 Saxony-Anhalt Landtag election on September 6 produced a sharp drop in CDU support to 17.2% of the vote, yielding 15 seats in the 83-seat parliament after the party had held 40 seats on 37.1% five years earlier. Late polling from Infratest dimap, Forschungsgruppe Wahlen, and INSA consistently projected CDU results between 22% and 24%, translating to seat totals well below 17 once the 5% threshold and seat allocation formula were applied. Voter migration toward the AfD, which reached 43.8% and 39 seats, combined with stable or modest shares for the Left, SPD, and Greens, drove the outcome amid dissatisfaction with the prior CDU-SPD-FDP coalition.
Final certification or minor adjustments from remaining counts could theoretically push CDU above 16 seats, though current tallies make this improbable.
Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt are scheduled to take place on September 6, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the CDU party in the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt as a result of this election.
This market will resolve according to the total number of seats officially attributed to the specified party as a result of the election. This includes all seats attributed to that party, regardless of whether they are won directly or allocated through party lists, compensatory mechanisms, or any other component of the applicable electoral system.
If the specified party contests the election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If the specified party merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the specified party in this election.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official website of the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt (https://www.landtag.sachsen-anhalt.de/).
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the CDU party in the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt as a result of this election.
This market will resolve according to the total number of seats officially attributed to the specified party as a result of the election. This includes all seats attributed to that party, regardless of whether they are won directly or allocated through party lists, compensatory mechanisms, or any other component of the applicable electoral system.
If the specified party contests the election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If the specified party merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the specified party in this election.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official website of the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt (https://www.landtag.sachsen-anhalt.de/).
Volume
$3,633End Date
Sep 6, 2026Market Opened
Sep 1, 2026, 8:29 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: Yes
No dispute
Final outcome: Yes
The 2026 Saxony-Anhalt Landtag election on September 6 produced a sharp drop in CDU support to 17.2% of the vote, yielding 15 seats in the 83-seat parliament after the party had held 40 seats on 37.1% five years earlier. Late polling from Infratest dimap, Forschungsgruppe Wahlen, and INSA consistently projected CDU results between 22% and 24%, translating to seat totals well below 17 once the 5% threshold and seat allocation formula were applied. Voter migration toward the AfD, which reached 43.8% and 39 seats, combined with stable or modest shares for the Left, SPD, and Greens, drove the outcome amid dissatisfaction with the prior CDU-SPD-FDP coalition. Final certification or minor adjustments from remaining counts could theoretically push CDU above 16 seats, though current tallies make this improbable.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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