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icon for H.R. 22 (SAVE Act) signed into law in 2026?
Politics·Congress

H.R. 22 (SAVE Act) signed into law in 2026?

icon for H.R. 22 (SAVE Act) signed into law in 2026?
Politics·Congress

H.R. 22 (SAVE Act) signed into law in 2026?

7% chance
Polymarket

$190,172 Vol.

7% chance
Polymarket

$190,172 Vol.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Save Act (H.R.22) is passed by both chambers of the U.S. Congress and signed into law by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution sources for this market will be Congress.gov’s legislation tracker (https://www.congress.gov/bill/119th-congress/house-bill/22) and other official information from the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The Senate filibuster remains the primary barrier to enactment of H.R. 22 or its reintroduced versions such as the SAVE America Act, with Republicans holding 53 seats and lacking the bipartisan support needed for cloture. The original bill passed the House in April 2025 and similar measures cleared the chamber again in February 2026, yet Senate consideration has repeatedly stalled despite floor debate and attempts to attach provisions to other legislation including the NDAA. Recent procedural efforts, including reconciliation proposals and threats to alter filibuster rules, have not advanced the measure before the August recess, and no scheduled votes in the remaining 2026 session appear positioned to overcome these thresholds. Trader consensus reflected in the 93.5% probability of no signature aligns with this legislative gridlock and historical patterns for election-related bills requiring supermajorities.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Save Act (H.R.22) is passed by both chambers of the U.S. Congress and signed into law by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution sources for this market will be Congress.gov’s legislation tracker (https://www.congress.gov/bill/119th-congress/house-bill/22) and other official information from the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$190,172
End Date
Dec 31, 2026
Market Opened
Feb 3, 2026, 6:20 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Save Act (H.R.22) is passed by both chambers of the U.S. Congress and signed into law by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution sources for this market will be Congress.gov’s legislation tracker (https://www.congress.gov/bill/119th-congress/house-bill/22) and other official information from the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Save Act (H.R.22) is passed by both chambers of the U.S. Congress and signed into law by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution sources for this market will be Congress.gov’s legislation tracker (https://www.congress.gov/bill/119th-congress/house-bill/22) and other official information from the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The Senate filibuster remains the primary barrier to enactment of H.R. 22 or its reintroduced versions such as the SAVE America Act, with Republicans holding 53 seats and lacking the bipartisan support needed for cloture. The original bill passed the House in April 2025 and similar measures cleared the chamber again in February 2026, yet Senate consideration has repeatedly stalled despite floor debate and attempts to attach provisions to other legislation including the NDAA. Recent procedural efforts, including reconciliation proposals and threats to alter filibuster rules, have not advanced the measure before the August recess, and no scheduled votes in the remaining 2026 session appear positioned to overcome these thresholds. Trader consensus reflected in the 93.5% probability of no signature aligns with this legislative gridlock and historical patterns for election-related bills requiring supermajorities.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Save Act (H.R.22) is passed by both chambers of the U.S. Congress and signed into law by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution sources for this market will be Congress.gov’s legislation tracker (https://www.congress.gov/bill/119th-congress/house-bill/22) and other official information from the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$190,172
End Date
Dec 31, 2026
Market Opened
Feb 3, 2026, 6:20 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Save Act (H.R.22) is passed by both chambers of the U.S. Congress and signed into law by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution sources for this market will be Congress.gov’s legislation tracker (https://www.congress.gov/bill/119th-congress/house-bill/22) and other official information from the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"H.R. 22 (SAVE Act) signed into law in 2026?" is a prediction market on Polymarket where traders buy and sell "Yes" or "No" shares based on whether they believe this event will happen. The current crowd-sourced probability is 7% for "Yes." For example, if "Yes" is priced at 7¢, the market collectively assigns a 7% chance that this event will occur. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "H.R. 22 (SAVE Act) signed into law in 2026?" has generated $190.2K in total trading volume since the market launched on Feb 3, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "H.R. 22 (SAVE Act) signed into law in 2026?," simply choose whether you believe the answer is "Yes" or "No." Each side has a current price that reflects the market's implied probability. Enter your amount and click "Trade." If you buy "Yes" shares and the outcome resolves as "Yes," each share pays out $1. If it resolves as "No," your "Yes" shares pay $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current probability for "H.R. 22 (SAVE Act) signed into law in 2026?" is 7% for "Yes." This means the Polymarket crowd currently believes there is a 7% chance that this event will occur. These odds update in real-time based on actual trades, providing a continuously updated signal of what the market expects to happen.

The resolution rules for "H.R. 22 (SAVE Act) signed into law in 2026?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.