**Traders assign a 74% probability that no meeting occurs between President Trump and Iranian President Masoud Pezeshkian by September 30, reflecting the absence of scheduled talks despite both leaders attending the UN General Assembly high-level week in New York.** Trump stated he would “probably be open” to a meeting on the sidelines, and Secretary of State Marco Rubio indicated the administration is receptive if it yields positive results. Pezeshkian arrived in New York after the U.S. approved visas for the Iranian delegation. However, a senior Iranian official stated there are no plans for a direct leader-level encounter, and the two sides have not held face-to-face meetings since an interim deal collapsed in July. The ongoing conflict that began in February, coupled with Iran’s list of seven conditions for renewed diplomacy and mutual threats of escalation, continues to constrain prospects for a bilateral summit within the narrow remaining window.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedA meeting is defined as any encounter where both Trump and Pezeshkian are present and interact with each other in person.
An exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify.
The meeting must have occurred and must be confirmed to have occurred within the specified timeframe. A meeting that occurs after the specified date, or that is not confirmed until after the specified date, will not count.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Market Opened: Sep 22, 2026, 10:53 AM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...A meeting is defined as any encounter where both Trump and Pezeshkian are present and interact with each other in person.
An exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify.
The meeting must have occurred and must be confirmed to have occurred within the specified timeframe. A meeting that occurs after the specified date, or that is not confirmed until after the specified date, will not count.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...**Traders assign a 74% probability that no meeting occurs between President Trump and Iranian President Masoud Pezeshkian by September 30, reflecting the absence of scheduled talks despite both leaders attending the UN General Assembly high-level week in New York.** Trump stated he would “probably be open” to a meeting on the sidelines, and Secretary of State Marco Rubio indicated the administration is receptive if it yields positive results. Pezeshkian arrived in New York after the U.S. approved visas for the Iranian delegation. However, a senior Iranian official stated there are no plans for a direct leader-level encounter, and the two sides have not held face-to-face meetings since an interim deal collapsed in July. The ongoing conflict that began in February, coupled with Iran’s list of seven conditions for renewed diplomacy and mutual threats of escalation, continues to constrain prospects for a bilateral summit within the narrow remaining window.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated



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