Recent polls place President Trump's job approval in the high 30s to low 40s, with the latest Washington Post/Ipsos and CNBC surveys showing 37-40% approval amid net negatives near -20 or lower. Persistent public concern over inflation, rising costs, and the administration's handling of the Iran conflict has kept ratings under pressure in early July readings, while some surveys note modest rural voter rebound and overall stability compared to spring lows. With the July 24 measurement just days away, limited scope remains for major shifts before the next wave of polling. Fresh economic data releases, diplomatic statements on Iran, or unexpected campaign events could move the final figure across the narrow bins now priced closely by traders.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated<39.0 43%
39.5–39.9 43%
40.0–40.4 43%
40.5–40.9 43%
NEW
NEW
Jul 24, 2026
<39.0
43%
39.0–39.4
42%
39.5–39.9
43%
40.0–40.4
43%
40.5–40.9
43%
41.0+
43%
<39.0 43%
39.5–39.9 43%
40.0–40.4 43%
40.5–40.9 43%
NEW
NEW
Jul 24, 2026
<39.0
$0 Vol.
43%
39.0–39.4
$0 Vol.
42%
39.5–39.9
$0 Vol.
43%
40.0–40.4
$0 Vol.
43%
40.5–40.9
$0 Vol.
43%
41.0+
$0 Vol.
43%
This market will resolve according to Silver Bulletin's approval rating for Donald Trump on July 24, 2026.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.Recent polls place President Trump's job approval in the high 30s to low 40s, with the latest Washington Post/Ipsos and CNBC surveys showing 37-40% approval amid net negatives near -20 or lower. Persistent public concern over inflation, rising costs, and the administration's handling of the Iran conflict has kept ratings under pressure in early July readings, while some surveys note modest rural voter rebound and overall stability compared to spring lows. With the July 24 measurement just days away, limited scope remains for major shifts before the next wave of polling. Fresh economic data releases, diplomatic statements on Iran, or unexpected campaign events could move the final figure across the narrow bins now priced closely by traders.
This market will resolve according to Silver Bulletin's approval rating for Donald Trump on July 24, 2026.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Market Opened: Jul 17, 2026, 7:13 PM ET
Volume
$0End Date
Jul 24, 2026Market Opened
Jul 17, 2026, 7:13 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to Silver Bulletin's approval rating for Donald Trump on July 24, 2026.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.Recent polls place President Trump's job approval in the high 30s to low 40s, with the latest Washington Post/Ipsos and CNBC surveys showing 37-40% approval amid net negatives near -20 or lower. Persistent public concern over inflation, rising costs, and the administration's handling of the Iran conflict has kept ratings under pressure in early July readings, while some surveys note modest rural voter rebound and overall stability compared to spring lows. With the July 24 measurement just days away, limited scope remains for major shifts before the next wave of polling. Fresh economic data releases, diplomatic statements on Iran, or unexpected campaign events could move the final figure across the narrow bins now priced closely by traders.
This market will resolve according to Silver Bulletin's approval rating for Donald Trump on July 24, 2026.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Volume
$0End Date
Jul 24, 2026Market Opened
Jul 17, 2026, 7:13 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent polls place President Trump's job approval in the high 30s to low 40s, with the latest Washington Post/Ipsos and CNBC surveys showing 37-40% approval amid net negatives near -20 or lower. Persistent public concern over inflation, rising costs, and the administration's handling of the Iran conflict has kept ratings under pressure in early July readings, while some surveys note modest rural voter rebound and overall stability compared to spring lows. With the July 24 measurement just days away, limited scope remains for major shifts before the next wave of polling. Fresh economic data releases, diplomatic statements on Iran, or unexpected campaign events could move the final figure across the narrow bins now priced closely by traders.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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