The primary driver of trader sentiment on a U.S. evacuation of the Beirut Embassy remains the persistent security situation in Lebanon tied to broader Middle East tensions involving Iran, Hezbollah, and regional actors. In February 2026, the State Department ordered the departure of non-emergency personnel and eligible family members, placing the embassy on ordered departure status amid airstrikes, protests, and threats of escalation; this partial drawdown has continued without a full embassy closure or assisted evacuation through August 2026. Subsequent security alerts through spring and summer have reiterated risks of unforeseen escalation, suspended routine consular services, and urged U.S. citizens to depart while commercial flights remain available, while noting that the embassy maintains limited operations. Key variables include any new diplomatic statements, military posture changes, or de-escalation signals that could alter the ordered departure status before potential resolution deadlines.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedU.S. evacuates Beirut Embassy by...?
U.S. evacuates Beirut Embassy by...?
$117,489 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
December 31
4%
$117,489 Vol.
December 31
$23,387 Vol.
4%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the U.S. government announces a full evacuation of the U.S. Embassy in Beirut, Lebanon, or a full evacuation of the embassy is otherwise confirmed between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A full evacuation announced within this market's timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether an actual evacuation subsequently takes place within the timeframe.
Announcements of a partial evacuation, where some staff are intended to remain, will not count.
The resolution source will be official statements from the U.S. government or a consensus of credible reporting confirming the evacuation of the embassy. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the U.S. government announces a full evacuation of the U.S. Embassy in Beirut, Lebanon, or a full evacuation of the embassy is otherwise confirmed between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A full evacuation announced within this market's timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether an actual evacuation subsequently takes place within the timeframe.
Announcements of a partial evacuation, where some staff are intended to remain, will not count.
The resolution source will be official statements from the U.S. government or a consensus of credible reporting confirming the evacuation of the embassy. The primary driver of trader sentiment on a U.S. evacuation of the Beirut Embassy remains the persistent security situation in Lebanon tied to broader Middle East tensions involving Iran, Hezbollah, and regional actors. In February 2026, the State Department ordered the departure of non-emergency personnel and eligible family members, placing the embassy on ordered departure status amid airstrikes, protests, and threats of escalation; this partial drawdown has continued without a full embassy closure or assisted evacuation through August 2026. Subsequent security alerts through spring and summer have reiterated risks of unforeseen escalation, suspended routine consular services, and urged U.S. citizens to depart while commercial flights remain available, while noting that the embassy maintains limited operations. Key variables include any new diplomatic statements, military posture changes, or de-escalation signals that could alter the ordered departure status before potential resolution deadlines.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the U.S. government announces a full evacuation of the U.S. Embassy in Beirut, Lebanon, or a full evacuation of the embassy is otherwise confirmed between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A full evacuation announced within this market's timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether an actual evacuation subsequently takes place within the timeframe.
Announcements of a partial evacuation, where some staff are intended to remain, will not count.
The resolution source will be official statements from the U.S. government or a consensus of credible reporting confirming the evacuation of the embassy.
A full evacuation announced within this market's timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether an actual evacuation subsequently takes place within the timeframe.
Announcements of a partial evacuation, where some staff are intended to remain, will not count.
The resolution source will be official statements from the U.S. government or a consensus of credible reporting confirming the evacuation of the embassy.
Market Opened: Jun 30, 2026, 5:10 PM ET
Volume
$117,489End Date
Dec 31, 2026Market Opened
Jun 30, 2026, 5:10 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the U.S. government announces a full evacuation of the U.S. Embassy in Beirut, Lebanon, or a full evacuation of the embassy is otherwise confirmed between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A full evacuation announced within this market's timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether an actual evacuation subsequently takes place within the timeframe.
Announcements of a partial evacuation, where some staff are intended to remain, will not count.
The resolution source will be official statements from the U.S. government or a consensus of credible reporting confirming the evacuation of the embassy. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the U.S. government announces a full evacuation of the U.S. Embassy in Beirut, Lebanon, or a full evacuation of the embassy is otherwise confirmed between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A full evacuation announced within this market's timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether an actual evacuation subsequently takes place within the timeframe.
Announcements of a partial evacuation, where some staff are intended to remain, will not count.
The resolution source will be official statements from the U.S. government or a consensus of credible reporting confirming the evacuation of the embassy. The primary driver of trader sentiment on a U.S. evacuation of the Beirut Embassy remains the persistent security situation in Lebanon tied to broader Middle East tensions involving Iran, Hezbollah, and regional actors. In February 2026, the State Department ordered the departure of non-emergency personnel and eligible family members, placing the embassy on ordered departure status amid airstrikes, protests, and threats of escalation; this partial drawdown has continued without a full embassy closure or assisted evacuation through August 2026. Subsequent security alerts through spring and summer have reiterated risks of unforeseen escalation, suspended routine consular services, and urged U.S. citizens to depart while commercial flights remain available, while noting that the embassy maintains limited operations. Key variables include any new diplomatic statements, military posture changes, or de-escalation signals that could alter the ordered departure status before potential resolution deadlines.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the U.S. government announces a full evacuation of the U.S. Embassy in Beirut, Lebanon, or a full evacuation of the embassy is otherwise confirmed between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A full evacuation announced within this market's timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether an actual evacuation subsequently takes place within the timeframe.
Announcements of a partial evacuation, where some staff are intended to remain, will not count.
The resolution source will be official statements from the U.S. government or a consensus of credible reporting confirming the evacuation of the embassy.
A full evacuation announced within this market's timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether an actual evacuation subsequently takes place within the timeframe.
Announcements of a partial evacuation, where some staff are intended to remain, will not count.
The resolution source will be official statements from the U.S. government or a consensus of credible reporting confirming the evacuation of the embassy.
Volume
$117,489End Date
Dec 31, 2026Market Opened
Jun 30, 2026, 5:10 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...The primary driver of trader sentiment on a U.S. evacuation of the Beirut Embassy remains the persistent security situation in Lebanon tied to broader Middle East tensions involving Iran, Hezbollah, and regional actors. In February 2026, the State Department ordered the departure of non-emergency personnel and eligible family members, placing the embassy on ordered departure status amid airstrikes, protests, and threats of escalation; this partial drawdown has continued without a full embassy closure or assisted evacuation through August 2026. Subsequent security alerts through spring and summer have reiterated risks of unforeseen escalation, suspended routine consular services, and urged U.S. citizens to depart while commercial flights remain available, while noting that the embassy maintains limited operations. Key variables include any new diplomatic statements, military posture changes, or de-escalation signals that could alter the ordered departure status before potential resolution deadlines.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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