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Politics·China

Who will attend Trump's Xi summit?

icon for Who will attend Trump's Xi summit?
Politics·China

Who will attend Trump's Xi summit?

$233,632 Vol.

May 17, 2026
Polymarket

$233,632 Vol.

Polymarket

Elon Musk

$29,802 Vol.

100%

Any CEO of a publicly-listed US company

$6,921 Vol.

100%

Marco Rubio

$18,523 Vol.

99%

Tim Cook

$21,357 Vol.

99%

Scott Bessent

$3,243 Vol.

98%

Any of Trump’s sons

$9,009 Vol.

92%

Steve Witkoff

$11,428 Vol.

14%

Jared Kushner

$29,773 Vol.

11%

Mark Zuckerberg

$11,970 Vol.

1%

Melania Trump

$28,985 Vol.

1%

J.D. Vance

$63,059 Vol.

<1%

Donald Trump is scheduled to visit China for a summit with Xi Jinping around May 14-15, 2026. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual attends any portion of this summit. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Attendance refers to the listed individual being physically present at any meeting or event which is part of this summit and for which officials from both the government of the United States and the government of China are present. If no summit occurs by May 20, this market will resolve to "No". The summit will be considered to have ended once Donald Trump physically departs from Chinese territory. No meetings or events which start after this time will be considered. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the listed individual and the governments of the United States and China; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.President Donald Trump arrived in Beijing on May 13, 2026, for a state visit and summit with Chinese President Xi Jinping scheduled through May 15, greeted by Vice President Han Zheng amid a red-carpet welcome. The U.S. delegation features Secretary of State Marco Rubio and over a dozen CEOs, including Elon Musk of Tesla, Tim Cook of Apple, Nvidia's Jensen Huang on a last-minute invite, BlackRock's Larry Fink, and Boeing CEO Kelly Ortberg, reflecting priorities in trade, AI, technology transfers, Taiwan tensions, and the Iran conflict. Bilateral talks are set for later today, with outcomes potentially influencing diplomatic relations and market resolutions based on confirmed attendance reports.

Donald Trump is scheduled to visit China for a summit with Xi Jinping around May 14-15, 2026.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual attends any portion of this summit. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

Attendance refers to the listed individual being physically present at any meeting or event which is part of this summit and for which officials from both the government of the United States and the government of China are present.

If no summit occurs by May 20, this market will resolve to "No".

The summit will be considered to have ended once Donald Trump physically departs from Chinese territory. No meetings or events which start after this time will be considered.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the listed individual and the governments of the United States and China; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volume
$233,632
End Date
May 17, 2026
Market Opened
May 11, 2026, 8:54 AM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
Donald Trump is scheduled to visit China for a summit with Xi Jinping around May 14-15, 2026. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual attends any portion of this summit. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Attendance refers to the listed individual being physically present at any meeting or event which is part of this summit and for which officials from both the government of the United States and the government of China are present. If no summit occurs by May 20, this market will resolve to "No". The summit will be considered to have ended once Donald Trump physically departs from Chinese territory. No meetings or events which start after this time will be considered. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the listed individual and the governments of the United States and China; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Donald Trump is scheduled to visit China for a summit with Xi Jinping around May 14-15, 2026. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual attends any portion of this summit. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Attendance refers to the listed individual being physically present at any meeting or event which is part of this summit and for which officials from both the government of the United States and the government of China are present. If no summit occurs by May 20, this market will resolve to "No". The summit will be considered to have ended once Donald Trump physically departs from Chinese territory. No meetings or events which start after this time will be considered. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the listed individual and the governments of the United States and China; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.President Donald Trump arrived in Beijing on May 13, 2026, for a state visit and summit with Chinese President Xi Jinping scheduled through May 15, greeted by Vice President Han Zheng amid a red-carpet welcome. The U.S. delegation features Secretary of State Marco Rubio and over a dozen CEOs, including Elon Musk of Tesla, Tim Cook of Apple, Nvidia's Jensen Huang on a last-minute invite, BlackRock's Larry Fink, and Boeing CEO Kelly Ortberg, reflecting priorities in trade, AI, technology transfers, Taiwan tensions, and the Iran conflict. Bilateral talks are set for later today, with outcomes potentially influencing diplomatic relations and market resolutions based on confirmed attendance reports.

Donald Trump is scheduled to visit China for a summit with Xi Jinping around May 14-15, 2026.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual attends any portion of this summit. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

Attendance refers to the listed individual being physically present at any meeting or event which is part of this summit and for which officials from both the government of the United States and the government of China are present.

If no summit occurs by May 20, this market will resolve to "No".

The summit will be considered to have ended once Donald Trump physically departs from Chinese territory. No meetings or events which start after this time will be considered.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the listed individual and the governments of the United States and China; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volume
$233,632
End Date
May 17, 2026
Market Opened
May 11, 2026, 8:54 AM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
Donald Trump is scheduled to visit China for a summit with Xi Jinping around May 14-15, 2026. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual attends any portion of this summit. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Attendance refers to the listed individual being physically present at any meeting or event which is part of this summit and for which officials from both the government of the United States and the government of China are present. If no summit occurs by May 20, this market will resolve to "No". The summit will be considered to have ended once Donald Trump physically departs from Chinese territory. No meetings or events which start after this time will be considered. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the listed individual and the governments of the United States and China; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Who will attend Trump's Xi summit?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 11 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Elon Musk" at 100%, followed by "Any CEO of a publicly-listed US company" at 100%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 100¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Who will attend Trump's Xi summit?" has generated $233.6K in total trading volume since the market launched on May 11, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Who will attend Trump's Xi summit?," browse the 11 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Who will attend Trump's Xi summit?" is "Elon Musk" at 100%, meaning the market assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Any CEO of a publicly-listed US company" at 100%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Who will attend Trump's Xi summit?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.