Traders in the "Who will be arrested before 2027" market assign the highest implied probabilities to figures such as John Brennan and José Luis Rodríguez Zapatero amid ongoing federal investigations, congressional oversight, and potential DOJ referrals tied to prior intelligence and foreign policy roles. Anthony Fauci and James Comey follow at lower levels, reflecting unresolved scrutiny over past public health and law enforcement decisions without confirmed new charges or indictments in recent months. Broader context includes the current administration's litigation patterns and Senate confirmation dynamics, which could accelerate or stall proceedings before year-end. No major arrests or plea developments involving listed outcomes have occurred in the past 30 days, leaving trader consensus sensitive to upcoming court rulings, inspector general reports, or executive actions that might alter timelines before the January 1, 2027 resolution cutoff.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedWho will be arrested before 2027?
Who will be arrested before 2027?
$375,395 Vol.
Anthony Fauci
11%
John Brennan
29%
José Luis Rodríguez Zapatero
22%
Adam Schiff
3%
Barack Obama
2%
James Comey
7%
Mahmoud Khalil
32%
James Clapper
13%
Letitia James
14%
Hillary Clinton
3%
Bill Clinton
2%
Loretta Lynch
10%
Susan Rice
9%
Candace Owens
7%
Gavin Newsom
3%
Benjamin Netanyahu
6%
John Kerry
3%
Pam Bondi
5%
Tom Homan
12%
Kash Patel
3%
Brandon Johnson
12%
Lisa Cook
11%
Lee Jun-seok
11%
Joe Biden
2%
$375,395 Vol.
Anthony Fauci
$144,286 Vol.
11%
John Brennan
$18,171 Vol.
29%
José Luis Rodríguez Zapatero
$21,739 Vol.
22%
Adam Schiff
$16,402 Vol.
3%
Barack Obama
$28,962 Vol.
2%
James Comey
$9,602 Vol.
7%
Mahmoud Khalil
$1,308 Vol.
32%
James Clapper
$6,726 Vol.
13%
Letitia James
$2,848 Vol.
14%
Hillary Clinton
$25,009 Vol.
3%
Bill Clinton
$2,494 Vol.
2%
Loretta Lynch
$2,376 Vol.
10%
Susan Rice
$304 Vol.
9%
Candace Owens
$263 Vol.
7%
Gavin Newsom
$37,596 Vol.
3%
Benjamin Netanyahu
$1,789 Vol.
6%
John Kerry
$346 Vol.
3%
Pam Bondi
$1,998 Vol.
5%
Tom Homan
$39,684 Vol.
12%
Kash Patel
$530 Vol.
3%
Brandon Johnson
$3,191 Vol.
12%
Lisa Cook
$3,319 Vol.
11%
Lee Jun-seok
$794 Vol.
11%
Joe Biden
$5,658 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual is arrested by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being briefly detained but not arrested (e.g. such as in the South Korean judicial system when an individual is awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant)
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Traders in the "Who will be arrested before 2027" market assign the highest implied probabilities to figures such as John Brennan and José Luis Rodríguez Zapatero amid ongoing federal investigations, congressional oversight, and potential DOJ referrals tied to prior intelligence and foreign policy roles. Anthony Fauci and James Comey follow at lower levels, reflecting unresolved scrutiny over past public health and law enforcement decisions without confirmed new charges or indictments in recent months. Broader context includes the current administration's litigation patterns and Senate confirmation dynamics, which could accelerate or stall proceedings before year-end. No major arrests or plea developments involving listed outcomes have occurred in the past 30 days, leaving trader consensus sensitive to upcoming court rulings, inspector general reports, or executive actions that might alter timelines before the January 1, 2027 resolution cutoff.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual is arrested by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being briefly detained but not arrested (e.g. such as in the South Korean judicial system when an individual is awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant)
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being briefly detained but not arrested (e.g. such as in the South Korean judicial system when an individual is awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant)
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Apr 30, 2026, 5:49 PM ET
Volume
$375,395Market Opened
Apr 30, 2026, 5:49 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual is arrested by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being briefly detained but not arrested (e.g. such as in the South Korean judicial system when an individual is awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant)
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Traders in the "Who will be arrested before 2027" market assign the highest implied probabilities to figures such as John Brennan and José Luis Rodríguez Zapatero amid ongoing federal investigations, congressional oversight, and potential DOJ referrals tied to prior intelligence and foreign policy roles. Anthony Fauci and James Comey follow at lower levels, reflecting unresolved scrutiny over past public health and law enforcement decisions without confirmed new charges or indictments in recent months. Broader context includes the current administration's litigation patterns and Senate confirmation dynamics, which could accelerate or stall proceedings before year-end. No major arrests or plea developments involving listed outcomes have occurred in the past 30 days, leaving trader consensus sensitive to upcoming court rulings, inspector general reports, or executive actions that might alter timelines before the January 1, 2027 resolution cutoff.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual is arrested by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being briefly detained but not arrested (e.g. such as in the South Korean judicial system when an individual is awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant)
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being briefly detained but not arrested (e.g. such as in the South Korean judicial system when an individual is awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant)
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$375,395Market Opened
Apr 30, 2026, 5:49 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Traders in the "Who will be arrested before 2027" market assign the highest implied probabilities to figures such as John Brennan and José Luis Rodríguez Zapatero amid ongoing federal investigations, congressional oversight, and potential DOJ referrals tied to prior intelligence and foreign policy roles. Anthony Fauci and James Comey follow at lower levels, reflecting unresolved scrutiny over past public health and law enforcement decisions without confirmed new charges or indictments in recent months. Broader context includes the current administration's litigation patterns and Senate confirmation dynamics, which could accelerate or stall proceedings before year-end. No major arrests or plea developments involving listed outcomes have occurred in the past 30 days, leaving trader consensus sensitive to upcoming court rulings, inspector general reports, or executive actions that might alter timelines before the January 1, 2027 resolution cutoff.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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