US retail gasoline prices held near $4.05–$4.09 per gallon through late August 2026, reflecting WTI crude near $86 per barrel, record domestic output, and refinery runs that kept inventories above seasonal norms. Ample Gulf Coast supply and easing summer driving demand capped upside moves, while modest LNG-linked consumption offered limited support. Trader consensus on related Polymarket contracts priced only slim implied probabilities for surges to $4.25 or higher by month-end, consistent with structural surplus conditions rather than acute disruption risks. Key near-term catalysts included weekly EIA inventory releases and any late crude volatility that could shift spot pricing.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated$14,934 Vol.
Aug 30, 2026
↑ $5.00
No
↑ $4.75
No
↑ $4.50
No
↑ $4.25
No
↓ $3.90
No
↓ $3.70
No
↓ $3.50
No
↓ $3.25
No
↓ $3.00
No
↓ $2.50
No
$14,934 Vol.
↑ $5.00
$2,674 Vol.
No
↑ $4.75
$692 Vol.
No
↑ $4.50
$3,737 Vol.
No
↑ $4.25
$2,037 Vol.
No
↓ $3.90
$786 Vol.
No
↓ $3.70
$2,112 Vol.
No
↓ $3.50
$690 Vol.
No
↓ $3.25
$761 Vol.
No
↓ $3.00
$951 Vol.
No
↓ $2.50
$494 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to "Yes" if on any day between market creation and August 31, 2026, the average US regular gas price is equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
Only the first two decimal digits of the reported price will be considered (e.g., if the price is reported as $3.257, this market will use $3.25 as the price).
The resolution source for this market will be information from the American Automobile Association (AAA), presently found here: https://gasprices.aaa.com/. Specifically, the cell under "Regular" and for the row "Current Avg".This market will resolve to "Yes" if on any day between market creation and August 31, 2026, the average US regular gas price is equal to or below the listed price. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
Only the first two decimal digits of the reported price will be considered (e.g., if the price is reported as $3.257, this market will use $3.25 as the price).
The resolution source for this market will be information from the American Automobile Association (AAA), presently found here: https://gasprices.aaa.com/. Specifically, the cell under "Regular" and for the row "Current Avg".US retail gasoline prices held near $4.05–$4.09 per gallon through late August 2026, reflecting WTI crude near $86 per barrel, record domestic output, and refinery runs that kept inventories above seasonal norms. Ample Gulf Coast supply and easing summer driving demand capped upside moves, while modest LNG-linked consumption offered limited support. Trader consensus on related Polymarket contracts priced only slim implied probabilities for surges to $4.25 or higher by month-end, consistent with structural surplus conditions rather than acute disruption risks. Key near-term catalysts included weekly EIA inventory releases and any late crude volatility that could shift spot pricing.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if on any day between market creation and August 31, 2026, the average US regular gas price is equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
Only the first two decimal digits of the reported price will be considered (e.g., if the price is reported as $3.257, this market will use $3.25 as the price).
The resolution source for this market will be information from the American Automobile Association (AAA), presently found here: https://gasprices.aaa.com/. Specifically, the cell under "Regular" and for the row "Current Avg".
Only the first two decimal digits of the reported price will be considered (e.g., if the price is reported as $3.257, this market will use $3.25 as the price).
The resolution source for this market will be information from the American Automobile Association (AAA), presently found here: https://gasprices.aaa.com/. Specifically, the cell under "Regular" and for the row "Current Avg".
Market Opened: Jul 29, 2026, 3:23 PM ET
Volume
$14,934End Date
Aug 31, 2026Market Opened
Jul 29, 2026, 3:23 PM ETResolution Source
https://gasprices.aaa.com/Resolver
0x65070BE91...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
This market will resolve to "Yes" if on any day between market creation and August 31, 2026, the average US regular gas price is equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
Only the first two decimal digits of the reported price will be considered (e.g., if the price is reported as $3.257, this market will use $3.25 as the price).
The resolution source for this market will be information from the American Automobile Association (AAA), presently found here: https://gasprices.aaa.com/. Specifically, the cell under "Regular" and for the row "Current Avg".This market will resolve to "Yes" if on any day between market creation and August 31, 2026, the average US regular gas price is equal to or below the listed price. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
Only the first two decimal digits of the reported price will be considered (e.g., if the price is reported as $3.257, this market will use $3.25 as the price).
The resolution source for this market will be information from the American Automobile Association (AAA), presently found here: https://gasprices.aaa.com/. Specifically, the cell under "Regular" and for the row "Current Avg".US retail gasoline prices held near $4.05–$4.09 per gallon through late August 2026, reflecting WTI crude near $86 per barrel, record domestic output, and refinery runs that kept inventories above seasonal norms. Ample Gulf Coast supply and easing summer driving demand capped upside moves, while modest LNG-linked consumption offered limited support. Trader consensus on related Polymarket contracts priced only slim implied probabilities for surges to $4.25 or higher by month-end, consistent with structural surplus conditions rather than acute disruption risks. Key near-term catalysts included weekly EIA inventory releases and any late crude volatility that could shift spot pricing.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if on any day between market creation and August 31, 2026, the average US regular gas price is equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
Only the first two decimal digits of the reported price will be considered (e.g., if the price is reported as $3.257, this market will use $3.25 as the price).
The resolution source for this market will be information from the American Automobile Association (AAA), presently found here: https://gasprices.aaa.com/. Specifically, the cell under "Regular" and for the row "Current Avg".
Only the first two decimal digits of the reported price will be considered (e.g., if the price is reported as $3.257, this market will use $3.25 as the price).
The resolution source for this market will be information from the American Automobile Association (AAA), presently found here: https://gasprices.aaa.com/. Specifically, the cell under "Regular" and for the row "Current Avg".
Volume
$14,934End Date
Aug 31, 2026Market Opened
Jul 29, 2026, 3:23 PM ETResolution Source
https://gasprices.aaa.com/Resolver
0x65070BE91...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
US retail gasoline prices held near $4.05–$4.09 per gallon through late August 2026, reflecting WTI crude near $86 per barrel, record domestic output, and refinery runs that kept inventories above seasonal norms. Ample Gulf Coast supply and easing summer driving demand capped upside moves, while modest LNG-linked consumption offered limited support. Trader consensus on related Polymarket contracts priced only slim implied probabilities for surges to $4.25 or higher by month-end, consistent with structural surplus conditions rather than acute disruption risks. Key near-term catalysts included weekly EIA inventory releases and any late crude volatility that could shift spot pricing.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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