Skip to main content

To trade in the US, go to polymarket.us

icon for Yilan County Magistrate Election Winner
Politics·Taiwan

Yilan County Magistrate Election Winner

icon for Yilan County Magistrate Election Winner
Politics·Taiwan

Yilan County Magistrate Election Winner

Lin Kuo-chang 63%

Wu Tsung-hsien 25%

Chen Wan-hui 4.2%

Chang Sheng-te 1.1%

Polymarket
NEW

Lin Kuo-chang 63%

Wu Tsung-hsien 25%

Chen Wan-hui 4.2%

Chang Sheng-te 1.1%

Polymarket
NEW
icon for Lin Kuo-chang

Lin Kuo-chang

$2,796 Vol.

68%

icon for Wu Tsung-hsien

Wu Tsung-hsien

$3,340 Vol.

25%

icon for Chen Wan-hui

Chen Wan-hui

$396 Vol.

4%

icon for Chang Sheng-te

Chang Sheng-te

$264 Vol.

1%

Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Magistrate of Yilan County as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder Magistrates appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).Lin Kuo-chang, the Democratic Progressive Party nominee and a lawyer with deep local roots in Yilan County, holds the leading position in trader consensus for the November 28, 2026, magistrate election. His selection by the DPP central leadership and consistent polling advantages over rivals have supported this edge. Kuomintang legislator Wu Tsung-hsien secured the opposition nomination after defeating county council speaker Chang Sheng-te in a February primary and outperforming former Taiwan People's Party legislator Chen Wan-hui in a May joint KMT-TPP survey, though he trails as a non-native candidate amid the incumbent KMT magistrate's prior legal issues. Recent opposition scrutiny of Lin's state-owned enterprise roles in September has not shifted the overall positioning. Minor independent candidates remain distant in current assessments.

Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Magistrate of Yilan County as a result of this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder Magistrates appointed before the election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Magistrate of Yilan County as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder Magistrates appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).
Volume
$6,797
End Date
Jul 1, 2027
Market Opened
Aug 14, 2026, 8:52 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Magistrate of Yilan County as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder Magistrates appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).Lin Kuo-chang, the Democratic Progressive Party nominee and a lawyer with deep local roots in Yilan County, holds the leading position in trader consensus for the November 28, 2026, magistrate election. His selection by the DPP central leadership and consistent polling advantages over rivals have supported this edge. Kuomintang legislator Wu Tsung-hsien secured the opposition nomination after defeating county council speaker Chang Sheng-te in a February primary and outperforming former Taiwan People's Party legislator Chen Wan-hui in a May joint KMT-TPP survey, though he trails as a non-native candidate amid the incumbent KMT magistrate's prior legal issues. Recent opposition scrutiny of Lin's state-owned enterprise roles in September has not shifted the overall positioning. Minor independent candidates remain distant in current assessments.

Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Magistrate of Yilan County as a result of this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder Magistrates appointed before the election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Magistrate of Yilan County as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder Magistrates appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).
Volume
$6,797
End Date
Jul 1, 2027
Market Opened
Aug 14, 2026, 8:52 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...

Related

icon for Will Chang Chia-chun win the next Yunlin County Magistrate election?

Will Chang Chia-chun win the next Yunlin County Magistrate election?

94%
icon for Will Chung Tung-chin win the next Miaoli County Magistrate election?

Will Chung Tung-chin win the next Miaoli County Magistrate election?

90%
icon for Will Wu Hsiu-hua win the next Taitung County Magistrate election?

Will Wu Hsiu-hua win the next Taitung County Magistrate election?

87%

Beware of external links.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Yilan County Magistrate Election Winner" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 4 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Lin Kuo-chang" at 68%, followed by "Wu Tsung-hsien" at 25%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 68¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 68% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"Yilan County Magistrate Election Winner" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Aug 14, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "Yilan County Magistrate Election Winner," browse the 4 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Yilan County Magistrate Election Winner" is "Lin Kuo-chang" at 68%, meaning the market assigns a 68% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Wu Tsung-hsien" at 25%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Yilan County Magistrate Election Winner" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.