With the Alabama Democratic U.S. Senate primary just four days away on May 19, trader consensus strongly favors Kyle Sweetser at 82.5% implied probability in this wide-open field of first-time candidates lacking public polls. Sweetser's lead stems from his compelling narrative as a former Republican who switched parties after January 6, 2021, amplified by his 2024 Democratic National Convention speech that drew national attention, plus bipartisan endorsements from state Democratic leaders like Bobby Singleton and Anthony Daniels, alongside ex-GOP figures such as Adam Kinzinger. Recent local media profiles on WSFA and WVTM over the past week spotlighted priorities for challengers Dakarai Larriett, Mark Wheeler, and others, but no shifts emerged; Lamont Lavender appears off the ballot, anchoring his minimal odds. Low expected Democratic turnout in deep-red Alabama reinforces frontrunner dynamics.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourKyle Sweetser 83%
Dakarai Larriett 14%
Mark Wheeler 3.5%
Lamont Lavender <1%
$21,857 Vol.
$21,857 Vol.
Kyle Sweetser
83%
Dakarai Larriett
14%
Mark Wheeler
3%
Lamont Lavender
1%
Kyle Sweetser 83%
Dakarai Larriett 14%
Mark Wheeler 3.5%
Lamont Lavender <1%
$21,857 Vol.
$21,857 Vol.
Kyle Sweetser
83%
Dakarai Larriett
14%
Mark Wheeler
3%
Lamont Lavender
1%
If no 2026 Alabama Democratic Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Alabama Democratic party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Marché ouvert : Nov 13, 2025, 1:45 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If no 2026 Alabama Democratic Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Alabama Democratic party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...With the Alabama Democratic U.S. Senate primary just four days away on May 19, trader consensus strongly favors Kyle Sweetser at 82.5% implied probability in this wide-open field of first-time candidates lacking public polls. Sweetser's lead stems from his compelling narrative as a former Republican who switched parties after January 6, 2021, amplified by his 2024 Democratic National Convention speech that drew national attention, plus bipartisan endorsements from state Democratic leaders like Bobby Singleton and Anthony Daniels, alongside ex-GOP figures such as Adam Kinzinger. Recent local media profiles on WSFA and WVTM over the past week spotlighted priorities for challengers Dakarai Larriett, Mark Wheeler, and others, but no shifts emerged; Lamont Lavender appears off the ballot, anchoring his minimal odds. Low expected Democratic turnout in deep-red Alabama reinforces frontrunner dynamics.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Questions fréquentes