Argentina's monthly inflation has followed a disinflationary path under sustained fiscal consolidation and monetary restraint, with the July 2026 reading rising modestly to 2.1% month-over-month from 1.9% in June and producing a 33.8% year-over-year rate. Market-implied odds cluster around the 1.8-2.0% and 1.5-1.7% buckets because traders price in the continuation of this gradual moderation, supported by anchored expectations in the central bank's REM survey and the absence of fresh exchange-rate or energy shocks. The slight July acceleration has capped the probability of sub-1.7% prints while keeping the 2.1-2.3% interval in play ahead of the September 10 release, reflecting ongoing inertia in core and regulated prices.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourInflation mensuelle en Argentine - août
Inflation mensuelle en Argentine - août
1,8-2,0 % 44.4%
1,5-1,7 % 31.8%
2,1-2,3 % 22.5%
≤1,1 % <1%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
10 sept. 2026
≤1,1 %
1%
1,2-1,4 %
1%
1,5-1,7 %
32%
1,8-2,0 %
44%
2,1-2,3 %
16%
2,4-2,6 %
1%
2,7-2,9 %
1%
3,0 %+
1%
1,8-2,0 % 44.4%
1,5-1,7 % 31.8%
2,1-2,3 % 22.5%
≤1,1 % <1%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
10 sept. 2026
≤1,1 %
$282 Vol.
1%
1,2-1,4 %
$275 Vol.
1%
1,5-1,7 %
$1,699 Vol.
32%
1,8-2,0 %
$920 Vol.
44%
2,1-2,3 %
$687 Vol.
16%
2,4-2,6 %
$275 Vol.
1%
2,7-2,9 %
$275 Vol.
1%
3,0 %+
$275 Vol.
1%
This is a market about the monthly variation of consumer prices in Argentina, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the National Institute of Statistics and Census (INDEC) of Argentina.
This market will resolve according to the monthly percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI / IPC) in August 2026 (Variación % mensual Total nacional), according to the monthly INDEC report.
The resolution source for this market will be the INDEC Consumer Price Index report released for August 2026 (https://www.indec.gob.ar/), currently scheduled to be released on September 10, 2026.
Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report by clicking on the "Precios al Consumidor" option on the home page of https://www.indec.gob.ar/, and searching the PDF for the figure under "Variación % mensual Total nacional".
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly INDEC CPI (IPC) news release, which reports monthly inflation change to only one decimal point (e.g., 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.Argentina's monthly inflation has followed a disinflationary path under sustained fiscal consolidation and monetary restraint, with the July 2026 reading rising modestly to 2.1% month-over-month from 1.9% in June and producing a 33.8% year-over-year rate. Market-implied odds cluster around the 1.8-2.0% and 1.5-1.7% buckets because traders price in the continuation of this gradual moderation, supported by anchored expectations in the central bank's REM survey and the absence of fresh exchange-rate or energy shocks. The slight July acceleration has capped the probability of sub-1.7% prints while keeping the 2.1-2.3% interval in play ahead of the September 10 release, reflecting ongoing inertia in core and regulated prices.
This is a market about the monthly variation of consumer prices in Argentina, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the National Institute of Statistics and Census (INDEC) of Argentina.
This market will resolve according to the monthly percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI / IPC) in August 2026 (Variación % mensual Total nacional), according to the monthly INDEC report.
The resolution source for this market will be the INDEC Consumer Price Index report released for August 2026 (https://www.indec.gob.ar/), currently scheduled to be released on September 10, 2026.
Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report by clicking on the "Precios al Consumidor" option on the home page of https://www.indec.gob.ar/, and searching the PDF for the figure under "Variación % mensual Total nacional".
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly INDEC CPI (IPC) news release, which reports monthly inflation change to only one decimal point (e.g., 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
This market will resolve according to the monthly percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI / IPC) in August 2026 (Variación % mensual Total nacional), according to the monthly INDEC report.
The resolution source for this market will be the INDEC Consumer Price Index report released for August 2026 (https://www.indec.gob.ar/), currently scheduled to be released on September 10, 2026.
Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report by clicking on the "Precios al Consumidor" option on the home page of https://www.indec.gob.ar/, and searching the PDF for the figure under "Variación % mensual Total nacional".
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly INDEC CPI (IPC) news release, which reports monthly inflation change to only one decimal point (e.g., 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Marché ouvert : Aug 14, 2026, 2:49 PM ET
Volume
$4,687Date de fin
10 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 14, 2026, 2:49 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This is a market about the monthly variation of consumer prices in Argentina, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the National Institute of Statistics and Census (INDEC) of Argentina.
This market will resolve according to the monthly percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI / IPC) in August 2026 (Variación % mensual Total nacional), according to the monthly INDEC report.
The resolution source for this market will be the INDEC Consumer Price Index report released for August 2026 (https://www.indec.gob.ar/), currently scheduled to be released on September 10, 2026.
Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report by clicking on the "Precios al Consumidor" option on the home page of https://www.indec.gob.ar/, and searching the PDF for the figure under "Variación % mensual Total nacional".
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly INDEC CPI (IPC) news release, which reports monthly inflation change to only one decimal point (e.g., 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.Argentina's monthly inflation has followed a disinflationary path under sustained fiscal consolidation and monetary restraint, with the July 2026 reading rising modestly to 2.1% month-over-month from 1.9% in June and producing a 33.8% year-over-year rate. Market-implied odds cluster around the 1.8-2.0% and 1.5-1.7% buckets because traders price in the continuation of this gradual moderation, supported by anchored expectations in the central bank's REM survey and the absence of fresh exchange-rate or energy shocks. The slight July acceleration has capped the probability of sub-1.7% prints while keeping the 2.1-2.3% interval in play ahead of the September 10 release, reflecting ongoing inertia in core and regulated prices.
This is a market about the monthly variation of consumer prices in Argentina, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the National Institute of Statistics and Census (INDEC) of Argentina.
This market will resolve according to the monthly percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI / IPC) in August 2026 (Variación % mensual Total nacional), according to the monthly INDEC report.
The resolution source for this market will be the INDEC Consumer Price Index report released for August 2026 (https://www.indec.gob.ar/), currently scheduled to be released on September 10, 2026.
Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report by clicking on the "Precios al Consumidor" option on the home page of https://www.indec.gob.ar/, and searching the PDF for the figure under "Variación % mensual Total nacional".
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly INDEC CPI (IPC) news release, which reports monthly inflation change to only one decimal point (e.g., 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
This market will resolve according to the monthly percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI / IPC) in August 2026 (Variación % mensual Total nacional), according to the monthly INDEC report.
The resolution source for this market will be the INDEC Consumer Price Index report released for August 2026 (https://www.indec.gob.ar/), currently scheduled to be released on September 10, 2026.
Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report by clicking on the "Precios al Consumidor" option on the home page of https://www.indec.gob.ar/, and searching the PDF for the figure under "Variación % mensual Total nacional".
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly INDEC CPI (IPC) news release, which reports monthly inflation change to only one decimal point (e.g., 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Volume
$4,687Date de fin
10 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 14, 2026, 2:49 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Argentina's monthly inflation has followed a disinflationary path under sustained fiscal consolidation and monetary restraint, with the July 2026 reading rising modestly to 2.1% month-over-month from 1.9% in June and producing a 33.8% year-over-year rate. Market-implied odds cluster around the 1.8-2.0% and 1.5-1.7% buckets because traders price in the continuation of this gradual moderation, supported by anchored expectations in the central bank's REM survey and the absence of fresh exchange-rate or energy shocks. The slight July acceleration has capped the probability of sub-1.7% prints while keeping the 2.1-2.3% interval in play ahead of the September 10 release, reflecting ongoing inertia in core and regulated prices.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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