Recent July CPI data showing a soft 0.1% month-over-month headline increase and 0.2% core rise, driven largely by a 1.5% drop in energy prices, has left traders focused on potential normalization for August. Cleveland Fed nowcasts currently point to a 0.35% headline MoM print, reflecting expectations of rebounding goods prices and steady shelter components amid still-elevated annual rates near 3.4%. With the August CPI release scheduled for September 11, market-implied odds cluster tightly between 0.3% and 0.4% as participants weigh volatile energy trends, recent labor-market softening, and the absence of major new data releases that could shift the trajectory. This narrow distribution underscores uncertainty around whether base effects from July's energy decline will fully reverse or if broader disinflationary momentum will keep the figure closer to the prior month's pace.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour0,4 % 40%
0,3 % 33%
≥0,5 % 13%
0,2 % 9%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
11 sept. 2026
≤-0,3 %
1%
-0,2 %
5%
-0,1 %
1%
0,0 %
1%
0,1 %
1%
0,2 %
9%
0,3 %
33%
0,4 %
40%
≥0,5 %
13%
0,4 % 40%
0,3 % 33%
≥0,5 % 13%
0,2 % 9%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
11 sept. 2026
≤-0,3 %
$161 Vol.
1%
-0,2 %
$179 Vol.
5%
-0,1 %
$253 Vol.
1%
0,0 %
$320 Vol.
1%
0,1 %
$281 Vol.
1%
0,2 %
$236 Vol.
9%
0,3 %
$1,885 Vol.
33%
0,4 %
$1,599 Vol.
40%
≥0,5 %
$467 Vol.
13%
This is a market about the one-month percent change in the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) published by the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS).
This market will resolve to the one-month percent change in the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) in August 2026 according to the monthly BLS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for August 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on September 11, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) which BLS reports to one decimal point (e.g. 0.4%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.Recent July CPI data showing a soft 0.1% month-over-month headline increase and 0.2% core rise, driven largely by a 1.5% drop in energy prices, has left traders focused on potential normalization for August. Cleveland Fed nowcasts currently point to a 0.35% headline MoM print, reflecting expectations of rebounding goods prices and steady shelter components amid still-elevated annual rates near 3.4%. With the August CPI release scheduled for September 11, market-implied odds cluster tightly between 0.3% and 0.4% as participants weigh volatile energy trends, recent labor-market softening, and the absence of major new data releases that could shift the trajectory. This narrow distribution underscores uncertainty around whether base effects from July's energy decline will fully reverse or if broader disinflationary momentum will keep the figure closer to the prior month's pace.
This is a market about the one-month percent change in the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) published by the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS).
This market will resolve to the one-month percent change in the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) in August 2026 according to the monthly BLS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for August 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on September 11, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) which BLS reports to one decimal point (e.g. 0.4%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
This market will resolve to the one-month percent change in the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) in August 2026 according to the monthly BLS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for August 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on September 11, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) which BLS reports to one decimal point (e.g. 0.4%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
Marché ouvert : Aug 12, 2026, 10:13 AM ET
Volume
$5,381Date de fin
11 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 12, 2026, 10:13 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This is a market about the one-month percent change in the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) published by the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS).
This market will resolve to the one-month percent change in the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) in August 2026 according to the monthly BLS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for August 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on September 11, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) which BLS reports to one decimal point (e.g. 0.4%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.Recent July CPI data showing a soft 0.1% month-over-month headline increase and 0.2% core rise, driven largely by a 1.5% drop in energy prices, has left traders focused on potential normalization for August. Cleveland Fed nowcasts currently point to a 0.35% headline MoM print, reflecting expectations of rebounding goods prices and steady shelter components amid still-elevated annual rates near 3.4%. With the August CPI release scheduled for September 11, market-implied odds cluster tightly between 0.3% and 0.4% as participants weigh volatile energy trends, recent labor-market softening, and the absence of major new data releases that could shift the trajectory. This narrow distribution underscores uncertainty around whether base effects from July's energy decline will fully reverse or if broader disinflationary momentum will keep the figure closer to the prior month's pace.
This is a market about the one-month percent change in the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) published by the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS).
This market will resolve to the one-month percent change in the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) in August 2026 according to the monthly BLS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for August 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on September 11, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) which BLS reports to one decimal point (e.g. 0.4%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
This market will resolve to the one-month percent change in the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) in August 2026 according to the monthly BLS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for August 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on September 11, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) which BLS reports to one decimal point (e.g. 0.4%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
Volume
$5,381Date de fin
11 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 12, 2026, 10:13 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent July CPI data showing a soft 0.1% month-over-month headline increase and 0.2% core rise, driven largely by a 1.5% drop in energy prices, has left traders focused on potential normalization for August. Cleveland Fed nowcasts currently point to a 0.35% headline MoM print, reflecting expectations of rebounding goods prices and steady shelter components amid still-elevated annual rates near 3.4%. With the August CPI release scheduled for September 11, market-implied odds cluster tightly between 0.3% and 0.4% as participants weigh volatile energy trends, recent labor-market softening, and the absence of major new data releases that could shift the trajectory. This narrow distribution underscores uncertainty around whether base effects from July's energy decline will fully reverse or if broader disinflationary momentum will keep the figure closer to the prior month's pace.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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