Rosa María Bayardo Cabrera holds an approximately 79% implied probability as Colima governor election winner, reflecting trader consensus on her position as the leading contender for the Morena-PT-PVEM coalition nomination ahead of the June 2027 vote. She took a leave from her role as municipal president of Manzanillo in June 2026 to pursue the state nomination and has since consolidated support in internal coalition surveys and processes through mid-2026. This positioning aligns with Morena’s established strength in Colima, where coalition-backed candidates have performed strongly in recent cycles. Lower probabilities for figures such as Riult Rivera Gutiérrez, Mario Delgado Carrillo, and Margarita Moreno González correspond to their more limited visibility or alignment with the dominant coalition at this stage. No major shifts in candidate eligibility, coalition realignments, or polling trends have altered this dynamic in the past month.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourRosa María Bayardo Cabrera 79%
Riult Rivera Gutiérrez 9.1%
Mario Delgado Carrillo 6%
Margarita Moreno González 6%

Rosa María Bayardo Cabrera
79%

Riult Rivera Gutiérrez
9%

Mario Delgado Carrillo
6%

Margarita Moreno González
6%

Leoncio Alfonso Morán Sánchez
2%

Sofía Peralta Ferro
1%

José Manuel Romero Coello
1%

Gabriela Benavides Cobos
1%

Hilda Lizette Moreno
1%

Joel Padilla Peña
1%

Gricelda Valencia de la Mora
1%

Ana Karen Hernández Aceves
1%

Griselda Martínez Martínez
1%

Viridiana Valencia Vargas
1%

José Israel González
1%

Virgilio Mendoza Amezcua
1%

César Yáñez Centeno
1%

Julia Licet Jiménez Angulo
1%

María Cristina Lupien
<1%

Enrique Rojas Orozco
<1%

Mely Romero Celis
<1%

Esther Gutiérrez
<1%
Rosa María Bayardo Cabrera 79%
Riult Rivera Gutiérrez 9.1%
Mario Delgado Carrillo 6%
Margarita Moreno González 6%

Rosa María Bayardo Cabrera
79%

Riult Rivera Gutiérrez
9%

Mario Delgado Carrillo
6%

Margarita Moreno González
6%

Leoncio Alfonso Morán Sánchez
2%

Sofía Peralta Ferro
1%

José Manuel Romero Coello
1%

Gabriela Benavides Cobos
1%

Hilda Lizette Moreno
1%

Joel Padilla Peña
1%

Gricelda Valencia de la Mora
1%

Ana Karen Hernández Aceves
1%

Griselda Martínez Martínez
1%

Viridiana Valencia Vargas
1%

José Israel González
1%

Virgilio Mendoza Amezcua
1%

César Yáñez Centeno
1%

Julia Licet Jiménez Angulo
1%

María Cristina Lupien
<1%

Enrique Rojas Orozco
<1%

Mely Romero Celis
<1%

Esther Gutiérrez
<1%
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Colima gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify.
If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Colima and Mexico, including the Electoral Institute of Colima and the National Electoral Institute of Mexico.
Marché ouvert : Aug 5, 2026, 7:40 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Colima gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify.
If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Colima and Mexico, including the Electoral Institute of Colima and the National Electoral Institute of Mexico.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Rosa María Bayardo Cabrera holds an approximately 79% implied probability as Colima governor election winner, reflecting trader consensus on her position as the leading contender for the Morena-PT-PVEM coalition nomination ahead of the June 2027 vote. She took a leave from her role as municipal president of Manzanillo in June 2026 to pursue the state nomination and has since consolidated support in internal coalition surveys and processes through mid-2026. This positioning aligns with Morena’s established strength in Colima, where coalition-backed candidates have performed strongly in recent cycles. Lower probabilities for figures such as Riult Rivera Gutiérrez, Mario Delgado Carrillo, and Margarita Moreno González correspond to their more limited visibility or alignment with the dominant coalition at this stage. No major shifts in candidate eligibility, coalition realignments, or polling trends have altered this dynamic in the past month.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour



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