Florida's 2nd Congressional District, an open seat following Rep. Neal Dunn's January 2026 retirement announcement, favors Republicans at 83.5% trader consensus due to the district's strong GOP lean under the new congressional map projecting a 24-4 Republican advantage statewide. A crowded Republican primary field—up to 12 candidates, with seven or more Republicans—has drawn nearly $8 million in fundraising by late April, highlighted by a Bay County GOP debate that week, while Democrats field fewer contenders splitting limited resources ahead of the June qualifying deadline and August 18 primaries. No recent polling shifts noted, but historical partisan voting and low Democratic turnout reinforce the lopsided odds barring a major upset.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourFL-02 Vainqueur de l'élection à la Chambre
FL-02 Vainqueur de l'élection à la Chambre
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
3 nov. 2026
Parti républicain
84%
Parti démocrate
17%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
3 nov. 2026
Parti républicain
$4,278 Vol.
84%
Parti démocrate
$2,632 Vol.
17%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Florida's 2nd Congressional District, an open seat following Rep. Neal Dunn's January 2026 retirement announcement, favors Republicans at 83.5% trader consensus due to the district's strong GOP lean under the new congressional map projecting a 24-4 Republican advantage statewide. A crowded Republican primary field—up to 12 candidates, with seven or more Republicans—has drawn nearly $8 million in fundraising by late April, highlighted by a Bay County GOP debate that week, while Democrats field fewer contenders splitting limited resources ahead of the June qualifying deadline and August 18 primaries. No recent polling shifts noted, but historical partisan voting and low Democratic turnout reinforce the lopsided odds barring a major upset.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Marché ouvert : Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ET
Volume
$6,910Date de fin
3 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Florida's 2nd Congressional District, an open seat following Rep. Neal Dunn's January 2026 retirement announcement, favors Republicans at 83.5% trader consensus due to the district's strong GOP lean under the new congressional map projecting a 24-4 Republican advantage statewide. A crowded Republican primary field—up to 12 candidates, with seven or more Republicans—has drawn nearly $8 million in fundraising by late April, highlighted by a Bay County GOP debate that week, while Democrats field fewer contenders splitting limited resources ahead of the June qualifying deadline and August 18 primaries. No recent polling shifts noted, but historical partisan voting and low Democratic turnout reinforce the lopsided odds barring a major upset.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$6,910Date de fin
3 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Florida's 2nd Congressional District, an open seat following Rep. Neal Dunn's January 2026 retirement announcement, favors Republicans at 83.5% trader consensus due to the district's strong GOP lean under the new congressional map projecting a 24-4 Republican advantage statewide. A crowded Republican primary field—up to 12 candidates, with seven or more Republicans—has drawn nearly $8 million in fundraising by late April, highlighted by a Bay County GOP debate that week, while Democrats field fewer contenders splitting limited resources ahead of the June qualifying deadline and August 18 primaries. No recent polling shifts noted, but historical partisan voting and low Democratic turnout reinforce the lopsided odds barring a major upset.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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