The open Republican primary for Florida’s 9th Congressional District, redrawn this year into an R+8 seat without an incumbent, features a crowded field where recent Victory Insights polling shows Ben Butler, Jorge Martinez, and Thomas Chalifoux statistically tied near 14 percent each, with Dan Green close behind at 12 percent and 41 percent of likely voters still undecided. High undecided shares, limited name recognition across a broad electorate, and candidates’ overlapping emphasis on cost-of-living issues, border security, and conservative priorities have kept the contest tight. Late endorsements from prominent Republicans, additional polling or debate performances in the final days before the August 18 vote, and shifts in turnout among rural, Hispanic, or veteran voters could quickly consolidate support and separate the leader.