Current forecast models from meteorological agencies indicate a daytime high near 18°C in Ankara on May 17, driving the strong market consensus at 86% implied probability for that outcome. This aligns with spring transitional patterns where typical May highs average 20–22°C but cooler northerly flow and afternoon cloud cover have suppressed temperatures. Official monitoring shows consistent guidance across ensembles with limited spread, favoring a peak below 19°C amid light winds and possible scattered showers. Recent observational data confirm the absence of strong warming aloft, reinforcing trader positioning while leaving modest room for minor upward revisions if insolation increases. Resolution hinges on the official daily maximum recorded by Turkish meteorological stations.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus élevée à Ankara le 17 mai ?
18°C 94%
19°C 4%
20°C <1%
21°C <1%
$45,615 Vol.
$45,615 Vol.
13°C ou moins
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
94%
19°C
4%
20°C
1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C ou plus
<1%
18°C 94%
19°C 4%
20°C <1%
21°C <1%
$45,615 Vol.
$45,615 Vol.
13°C ou moins
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
94%
19°C
4%
20°C
1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C ou plus
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Marché ouvert : May 15, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Source de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTACThe resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Source de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTACCurrent forecast models from meteorological agencies indicate a daytime high near 18°C in Ankara on May 17, driving the strong market consensus at 86% implied probability for that outcome. This aligns with spring transitional patterns where typical May highs average 20–22°C but cooler northerly flow and afternoon cloud cover have suppressed temperatures. Official monitoring shows consistent guidance across ensembles with limited spread, favoring a peak below 19°C amid light winds and possible scattered showers. Recent observational data confirm the absence of strong warming aloft, reinforcing trader positioning while leaving modest room for minor upward revisions if insolation increases. Resolution hinges on the official daily maximum recorded by Turkish meteorological stations.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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