Trader sentiment shows near parity between 20°C and 21°C as Ankara’s highest temperature on May 19 because recent ensemble forecasts from global models display only modest differences in daytime warming under partly cloudy skies. Central Turkey’s continental climate at roughly 900 m elevation produces rapid temperature swings driven by solar insolation, boundary-layer mixing, and any weak frontal passage, all of which remain within forecast uncertainty ranges this close to the date. Historical May maxima average near 22°C, yet current guidance highlights the possibility of slightly cooler advection keeping readings at or below that baseline. Fresh model updates expected within the next 24 hours from European and U.S. centers will likely resolve whether modest ridging allows a brief climb to 22°C or locks in the current narrow range.