PAGASA observations from the Quezon City Science Garden Observatory—the official station for Metro Manila—recorded a peak temperature of 34.3°C at 1:50 PM on May 14, aligning with pre-dawn forecasts of highs around 33–35°C under persistent easterlies and minimal cloud cover during the dry season peak. This trader consensus reflects real-time data showing no further intensification, with temperatures stabilizing post-midday amid typical urban heat island effects moderated by light winds. Scenarios challenging this include an unexpected late-afternoon solar heating surge pushing past 35°C before sunset, though model consensus and historical May patterns (average highs 33–34°C) indicate low likelihood; final daily summary expected from PAGASA by evening.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourHighest temperature in Manila on May 14?
34°C 100.0%
28°C or below <1%
29°C <1%
30°C <1%
$31,524 Vol.
$31,524 Vol.
28°C or below
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C
Yes
35°C
No
36°C
No
37°C
No
38°C or higher
No
34°C 100.0%
28°C or below <1%
29°C <1%
30°C <1%
$31,524 Vol.
$31,524 Vol.
28°C or below
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C
Yes
35°C
No
36°C
No
37°C
No
38°C or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Marché ouvert : May 12, 2026, 12:16 AM ET
Source de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLLResolver
0x69c47De9D...Résultat proposé: No
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Source de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLLResolver
0x69c47De9D...Résultat proposé: No
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: No
PAGASA observations from the Quezon City Science Garden Observatory—the official station for Metro Manila—recorded a peak temperature of 34.3°C at 1:50 PM on May 14, aligning with pre-dawn forecasts of highs around 33–35°C under persistent easterlies and minimal cloud cover during the dry season peak. This trader consensus reflects real-time data showing no further intensification, with temperatures stabilizing post-midday amid typical urban heat island effects moderated by light winds. Scenarios challenging this include an unexpected late-afternoon solar heating surge pushing past 35°C before sunset, though model consensus and historical May patterns (average highs 33–34°C) indicate low likelihood; final daily summary expected from PAGASA by evening.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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