The overwhelming 99.9% market-implied odds for a Tel Aviv high of 35°C or above on May 17 reflect current atmospheric conditions dominated by a persistent high-pressure ridge and hot, dry air advection from North Africa. Israel Meteorological Service observations and numerical weather prediction models, including ECMWF and GFS runs, indicate peak temperatures of 36–38°C under mostly clear skies with negligible marine cooling from the Mediterranean. This aligns with climatological patterns for late-spring heat events in the region, where daily maxima routinely exceed the 29°C seasonal baseline when subsidence inversions suppress cloud formation. Traders are weighting the latest surface station data and short-range forecast consensus, which leave only minimal uncertainty around an unexpected shift in wind direction or coastal stratus that could cap readings slightly lower.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus élevée à Tel Aviv le 17 mai ?
La température la plus élevée à Tel Aviv le 17 mai ?
35°C or higher 99.8%
34°C <1%
25°C or below <1%
26°C <1%
$67,660 Vol.
$67,660 Vol.
17 mai 2026
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C or higher
100%
35°C or higher 99.8%
34°C <1%
25°C or below <1%
26°C <1%
$67,660 Vol.
$67,660 Vol.
17 mai 2026
25°C or below
$10,465 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$2,768 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$4,306 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$2,381 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$2,721 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$4,265 Vol.
<1%
31°C
$3,971 Vol.
<1%
32°C
$8,783 Vol.
<1%
33°C
$7,810 Vol.
<1%
34°C
$8,084 Vol.
<1%
35°C or higher
$12,572 Vol.
100%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.The overwhelming 99.9% market-implied odds for a Tel Aviv high of 35°C or above on May 17 reflect current atmospheric conditions dominated by a persistent high-pressure ridge and hot, dry air advection from North Africa. Israel Meteorological Service observations and numerical weather prediction models, including ECMWF and GFS runs, indicate peak temperatures of 36–38°C under mostly clear skies with negligible marine cooling from the Mediterranean. This aligns with climatological patterns for late-spring heat events in the region, where daily maxima routinely exceed the 29°C seasonal baseline when subsidence inversions suppress cloud formation. Traders are weighting the latest surface station data and short-range forecast consensus, which leave only minimal uncertainty around an unexpected shift in wind direction or coastal stratus that could cap readings slightly lower.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Marché ouvert : May 15, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Volume
$67,660Date de fin
17 mai 2026Marché ouvert
May 15, 2026, 12:04 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.The overwhelming 99.9% market-implied odds for a Tel Aviv high of 35°C or above on May 17 reflect current atmospheric conditions dominated by a persistent high-pressure ridge and hot, dry air advection from North Africa. Israel Meteorological Service observations and numerical weather prediction models, including ECMWF and GFS runs, indicate peak temperatures of 36–38°C under mostly clear skies with negligible marine cooling from the Mediterranean. This aligns with climatological patterns for late-spring heat events in the region, where daily maxima routinely exceed the 29°C seasonal baseline when subsidence inversions suppress cloud formation. Traders are weighting the latest surface station data and short-range forecast consensus, which leave only minimal uncertainty around an unexpected shift in wind direction or coastal stratus that could cap readings slightly lower.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$67,660Date de fin
17 mai 2026Marché ouvert
May 15, 2026, 12:04 AM ETThe overwhelming 99.9% market-implied odds for a Tel Aviv high of 35°C or above on May 17 reflect current atmospheric conditions dominated by a persistent high-pressure ridge and hot, dry air advection from North Africa. Israel Meteorological Service observations and numerical weather prediction models, including ECMWF and GFS runs, indicate peak temperatures of 36–38°C under mostly clear skies with negligible marine cooling from the Mediterranean. This aligns with climatological patterns for late-spring heat events in the region, where daily maxima routinely exceed the 29°C seasonal baseline when subsidence inversions suppress cloud formation. Traders are weighting the latest surface station data and short-range forecast consensus, which leave only minimal uncertainty around an unexpected shift in wind direction or coastal stratus that could cap readings slightly lower.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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