Negotiations between Benny Gantz’s Blue and White and Yoaz Hendel’s Reservists party broke down in summer 2026 over disagreements on Haredi conscription policy and coalition flexibility with ultra-Orthodox parties. The short-lived Zionist Home–The Reservists alliance dissolved in early September, after which Hendel partnered with Yaron Zelekha’s New Economic Party while Gantz rebuilt Blue and White independently. Both submitted separate electoral lists by the September 8 deadline ahead of the October 27 vote, confirming they will not appear together. Trader consensus at 99 percent “No” reflects these finalized slates and structural barriers to any last-minute merger under Israel’s closed-list proportional system. Late legal challenges to list validity or unforeseen court interventions remain the only narrow paths that could alter the outcome.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourOui
<1% chance
$556 Vol.
$556 Vol.
8 sept. 2026
Oui
<1% chance
$556 Vol.
$556 Vol.
8 sept. 2026
Elections for the Knesset of Israel are scheduled to be held on October 27, 2026. Final candidate lists are currently scheduled to be submitted to the Central Elections Committee of Israel by September 8, 2026.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if The Reservists and Blue and White contest the 2026 Knesset elections as a combined party list, as submitted to the Central Elections Committee. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A list on which candidates from both parties appear will count regardless of the name under which that list runs, regardless of whether the arrangement is a technical bloc or a full merger of their parties, and regardless of the positions the candidates occupy on the list.
If candidates of neither party appear on any list submitted to contest the 2026 Knesset elections, this market will resolve to “No”.
Statements of intent, agreements in principle, and reported negotiations will not be considered; only the candidate lists as submitted to the Central Elections Committee will be considered. Withdrawals, disqualifications, and revisions made after the submission deadline will not be considered.
If the 2026 Knesset elections do not occur, or final candidate lists are not submitted, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM Tel Aviv time, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official information from the Central Elections Committee of Israel (https://www.bechirot.gov.il).Negotiations between Benny Gantz’s Blue and White and Yoaz Hendel’s Reservists party broke down in summer 2026 over disagreements on Haredi conscription policy and coalition flexibility with ultra-Orthodox parties. The short-lived Zionist Home–The Reservists alliance dissolved in early September, after which Hendel partnered with Yaron Zelekha’s New Economic Party while Gantz rebuilt Blue and White independently. Both submitted separate electoral lists by the September 8 deadline ahead of the October 27 vote, confirming they will not appear together. Trader consensus at 99 percent “No” reflects these finalized slates and structural barriers to any last-minute merger under Israel’s closed-list proportional system. Late legal challenges to list validity or unforeseen court interventions remain the only narrow paths that could alter the outcome.
Elections for the Knesset of Israel are scheduled to be held on October 27, 2026. Final candidate lists are currently scheduled to be submitted to the Central Elections Committee of Israel by September 8, 2026.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if The Reservists and Blue and White contest the 2026 Knesset elections as a combined party list, as submitted to the Central Elections Committee. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A list on which candidates from both parties appear will count regardless of the name under which that list runs, regardless of whether the arrangement is a technical bloc or a full merger of their parties, and regardless of the positions the candidates occupy on the list.
If candidates of neither party appear on any list submitted to contest the 2026 Knesset elections, this market will resolve to “No”.
Statements of intent, agreements in principle, and reported negotiations will not be considered; only the candidate lists as submitted to the Central Elections Committee will be considered. Withdrawals, disqualifications, and revisions made after the submission deadline will not be considered.
If the 2026 Knesset elections do not occur, or final candidate lists are not submitted, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM Tel Aviv time, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official information from the Central Elections Committee of Israel (https://www.bechirot.gov.il).
This market will resolve to “Yes” if The Reservists and Blue and White contest the 2026 Knesset elections as a combined party list, as submitted to the Central Elections Committee. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A list on which candidates from both parties appear will count regardless of the name under which that list runs, regardless of whether the arrangement is a technical bloc or a full merger of their parties, and regardless of the positions the candidates occupy on the list.
If candidates of neither party appear on any list submitted to contest the 2026 Knesset elections, this market will resolve to “No”.
Statements of intent, agreements in principle, and reported negotiations will not be considered; only the candidate lists as submitted to the Central Elections Committee will be considered. Withdrawals, disqualifications, and revisions made after the submission deadline will not be considered.
If the 2026 Knesset elections do not occur, or final candidate lists are not submitted, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM Tel Aviv time, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official information from the Central Elections Committee of Israel (https://www.bechirot.gov.il).
Marché ouvert : Sep 6, 2026, 12:48 PM ET
Volume
$556Date de fin
8 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 6, 2026, 12:48 PM ETRésolveur
0x65070BE91...Résultat proposé: Non
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: Non
Elections for the Knesset of Israel are scheduled to be held on October 27, 2026. Final candidate lists are currently scheduled to be submitted to the Central Elections Committee of Israel by September 8, 2026.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if The Reservists and Blue and White contest the 2026 Knesset elections as a combined party list, as submitted to the Central Elections Committee. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A list on which candidates from both parties appear will count regardless of the name under which that list runs, regardless of whether the arrangement is a technical bloc or a full merger of their parties, and regardless of the positions the candidates occupy on the list.
If candidates of neither party appear on any list submitted to contest the 2026 Knesset elections, this market will resolve to “No”.
Statements of intent, agreements in principle, and reported negotiations will not be considered; only the candidate lists as submitted to the Central Elections Committee will be considered. Withdrawals, disqualifications, and revisions made after the submission deadline will not be considered.
If the 2026 Knesset elections do not occur, or final candidate lists are not submitted, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM Tel Aviv time, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official information from the Central Elections Committee of Israel (https://www.bechirot.gov.il).Negotiations between Benny Gantz’s Blue and White and Yoaz Hendel’s Reservists party broke down in summer 2026 over disagreements on Haredi conscription policy and coalition flexibility with ultra-Orthodox parties. The short-lived Zionist Home–The Reservists alliance dissolved in early September, after which Hendel partnered with Yaron Zelekha’s New Economic Party while Gantz rebuilt Blue and White independently. Both submitted separate electoral lists by the September 8 deadline ahead of the October 27 vote, confirming they will not appear together. Trader consensus at 99 percent “No” reflects these finalized slates and structural barriers to any last-minute merger under Israel’s closed-list proportional system. Late legal challenges to list validity or unforeseen court interventions remain the only narrow paths that could alter the outcome.
Elections for the Knesset of Israel are scheduled to be held on October 27, 2026. Final candidate lists are currently scheduled to be submitted to the Central Elections Committee of Israel by September 8, 2026.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if The Reservists and Blue and White contest the 2026 Knesset elections as a combined party list, as submitted to the Central Elections Committee. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A list on which candidates from both parties appear will count regardless of the name under which that list runs, regardless of whether the arrangement is a technical bloc or a full merger of their parties, and regardless of the positions the candidates occupy on the list.
If candidates of neither party appear on any list submitted to contest the 2026 Knesset elections, this market will resolve to “No”.
Statements of intent, agreements in principle, and reported negotiations will not be considered; only the candidate lists as submitted to the Central Elections Committee will be considered. Withdrawals, disqualifications, and revisions made after the submission deadline will not be considered.
If the 2026 Knesset elections do not occur, or final candidate lists are not submitted, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM Tel Aviv time, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official information from the Central Elections Committee of Israel (https://www.bechirot.gov.il).
This market will resolve to “Yes” if The Reservists and Blue and White contest the 2026 Knesset elections as a combined party list, as submitted to the Central Elections Committee. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A list on which candidates from both parties appear will count regardless of the name under which that list runs, regardless of whether the arrangement is a technical bloc or a full merger of their parties, and regardless of the positions the candidates occupy on the list.
If candidates of neither party appear on any list submitted to contest the 2026 Knesset elections, this market will resolve to “No”.
Statements of intent, agreements in principle, and reported negotiations will not be considered; only the candidate lists as submitted to the Central Elections Committee will be considered. Withdrawals, disqualifications, and revisions made after the submission deadline will not be considered.
If the 2026 Knesset elections do not occur, or final candidate lists are not submitted, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM Tel Aviv time, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official information from the Central Elections Committee of Israel (https://www.bechirot.gov.il).
Volume
$556Date de fin
8 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 6, 2026, 12:48 PM ETRésolveur
0x65070BE91...Résultat proposé: Non
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: Non
Negotiations between Benny Gantz’s Blue and White and Yoaz Hendel’s Reservists party broke down in summer 2026 over disagreements on Haredi conscription policy and coalition flexibility with ultra-Orthodox parties. The short-lived Zionist Home–The Reservists alliance dissolved in early September, after which Hendel partnered with Yaron Zelekha’s New Economic Party while Gantz rebuilt Blue and White independently. Both submitted separate electoral lists by the September 8 deadline ahead of the October 27 vote, confirming they will not appear together. Trader consensus at 99 percent “No” reflects these finalized slates and structural barriers to any last-minute merger under Israel’s closed-list proportional system. Late legal challenges to list validity or unforeseen court interventions remain the only narrow paths that could alter the outcome.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourConnexes
Le parti Bleu et Blanc obtiendra-t-il moins de 0,75 % des voix lors des élections à la Knesset de 2026 ?
44%
Oui
Les Réservistes – Nouveau Parti Économique obtiendront-ils moins de 2,75 % des voix aux élections législatives israéliennes de 2026 ?
30%
Oui
La Liste commune remportera-t-elle 8 à 9 sièges aux élections de la Knesset de 2026 ?
41%
Oui
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