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icon for Élection au Sénat du Minas Gerais : 2e place
Politique·Brésil

Élection au Sénat du Minas Gerais : 2e place

icon for Élection au Sénat du Minas Gerais : 2e place
Politique·Brésil

Élection au Sénat du Minas Gerais : 2e place

Marcelo Aro 44%

Domingos Sávio 44%

Marília Campos 44%

Manoel Carvalho 44%

Polymarket
NOUVEAU

Marcelo Aro 44%

Domingos Sávio 44%

Marília Campos 44%

Manoel Carvalho 44%

Polymarket
NOUVEAU
icon for Marcelo Aro

Marcelo Aro

$0 Vol.

44%

icon for Domingos Sávio

Domingos Sávio

$0 Vol.

44%

icon for Marília Campos

Marília Campos

$0 Vol.

44%

icon for Manoel Carvalho

Manoel Carvalho

$0 Vol.

44%

icon for Carlos Viana

Carlos Viana

$0 Vol.

44%

icon for Gustavo Galassi

Gustavo Galassi

$0 Vol.

44%

icon for Victória Mello Vic

Victória Mello Vic

$0 Vol.

44%

icon for Ana Luiza do MLB

Ana Luiza do MLB

$0 Vol.

44%

icon for Juiz Ramon Moreira

Juiz Ramon Moreira

$0 Vol.

44%

icon for Arcanjo Pimenta

Arcanjo Pimenta

$0 Vol.

43%

icon for Jordano Metalúrgico

Jordano Metalúrgico

$0 Vol.

43%

icon for Tião Pessoa

Tião Pessoa

$0 Vol.

43%

icon for Marco Antônio Superman

Marco Antônio Superman

$0 Vol.

37%

icon for Áurea Carolina

Áurea Carolina

$0 Vol.

37%

icon for Carlin Moura

Carlin Moura

$0 Vol.

37%

icon for Marcelo Heringer

Marcelo Heringer

$20 Vol.

9%

icon for Fidélis Alcântara

Fidélis Alcântara

$20 Vol.

8%

The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Minas Gerais is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Early polls for Minas Gerais's two open Senate seats show a fragmented field with Marília Campos (PT), Domingos Sávio (PL), Carlos Viana (PSD), and Marcelo Aro (PP) locked in technical ties near the top, reflecting broad voter indecision two months before the October 4 vote. Recent candidate registrations and party conventions have locked in a crowded ballot that includes left-leaning options such as Áurea Carolina (PSOL) alongside centrists and conservatives, diluting support and sustaining tight probabilities for second place. Coalition negotiations, name recognition from prior executive roles, and regional turnout patterns in this bellwether state continue to shape trader assessments, with limited movement since the registration window closed. Separation could emerge from late polling shifts, alliance announcements, or turnout surges among specific voter blocs ahead of election day.

The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Minas Gerais is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.

Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volume
$40
Date de fin
4 oct. 2026
Marché ouvert
Aug 17, 2026, 6:01 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Minas Gerais is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Minas Gerais is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Early polls for Minas Gerais's two open Senate seats show a fragmented field with Marília Campos (PT), Domingos Sávio (PL), Carlos Viana (PSD), and Marcelo Aro (PP) locked in technical ties near the top, reflecting broad voter indecision two months before the October 4 vote. Recent candidate registrations and party conventions have locked in a crowded ballot that includes left-leaning options such as Áurea Carolina (PSOL) alongside centrists and conservatives, diluting support and sustaining tight probabilities for second place. Coalition negotiations, name recognition from prior executive roles, and regional turnout patterns in this bellwether state continue to shape trader assessments, with limited movement since the registration window closed. Separation could emerge from late polling shifts, alliance announcements, or turnout surges among specific voter blocs ahead of election day.

The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Minas Gerais is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.

Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volume
$40
Date de fin
4 oct. 2026
Marché ouvert
Aug 17, 2026, 6:01 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Minas Gerais is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).

Connexes

icon for Will Gustavo Galassi win the most votes in the 2026 Minas Gerais Senate election?

Will Gustavo Galassi win the most votes in the 2026 Minas Gerais Senate election?

44%
icon for Jose Medeiros obtiendra-t-il le deuxième plus grand nombre de voix lors de l'élection sénatoriale de 2026 au Mato Grosso ?

Jose Medeiros obtiendra-t-il le deuxième plus grand nombre de voix lors de l'élection sénatoriale de 2026 au Mato Grosso ?

45%
Oui
icon for Dailson Corrêa remportera-t-il le deuxième plus grand nombre de voix lors de l'élection sénatoriale de l'Amazonas en 2026 ?

Dailson Corrêa remportera-t-il le deuxième plus grand nombre de voix lors de l'élection sénatoriale de l'Amazonas en 2026 ?

45%
Oui

Méfiez-vous des liens externes.

Questions fréquentes

« Élection au Sénat du Minas Gerais : 2e place » est un marché de prédiction sur Polymarket avec 17 résultats possibles où les traders achètent et vendent des parts selon ce qu'ils pensent qu'il se passera. Le résultat en tête actuel est « Marcelo Aro » à 45%, suivi de « Domingos Sávio » à 45%. Les prix reflètent des probabilités en temps réel de la communauté. Par exemple, une part cotée à 45¢ implique que le marché attribue collectivement une probabilité de 45% à ce résultat. Ces cotes changent en permanence. Les parts du résultat correct sont échangeables contre $1 chacune lors de la résolution du marché.

« Élection au Sénat du Minas Gerais : 2e place » est un marché nouvellement créé sur Polymarket, lancé le Aug 17, 2026. En tant que marché récent, c'est votre opportunité d'être parmi les premiers traders à définir les cotes et établir les premiers signaux de prix du marché. Vous pouvez également ajouter cette page à vos favoris pour suivre le volume et l'activité de trading au fil du temps.

Pour trader sur « Élection au Sénat du Minas Gerais : 2e place », parcourez les 17 résultats disponibles sur cette page. Chaque résultat affiche un prix actuel représentant la probabilité implicite du marché. Pour prendre position, sélectionnez le résultat que vous estimez le plus probable, choisissez « Oui » pour trader en sa faveur ou « Non » pour trader contre, entrez votre montant et cliquez sur « Trader ». Si votre résultat choisi est correct lors de la résolution, vos parts « Oui » rapportent $1 chacune. S'il est incorrect, elles rapportent $0. Vous pouvez également vendre vos parts avant la résolution.

Le favori actuel pour « Élection au Sénat du Minas Gerais : 2e place » est « Marcelo Aro » à 45%, ce qui signifie que le marché attribue une probabilité de 45% à ce résultat. Le résultat le plus proche ensuite est « Domingos Sávio » à 45%. Ces cotes sont mises à jour en temps réel à mesure que les traders achètent et vendent des parts. Revenez fréquemment ou ajoutez cette page à vos favoris.

Les règles de résolution de « Élection au Sénat du Minas Gerais : 2e place » définissent exactement ce qui doit se produire pour que chaque résultat soit déclaré gagnant, y compris les sources de données officielles utilisées pour déterminer le résultat. Vous pouvez consulter les critères de résolution complets dans la section « Règles » sur cette page au-dessus des commentaires. Nous recommandons de lire attentivement les règles avant de trader, car elles précisent les conditions exactes, les cas particuliers et les sources.