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icon for Élection au Sénat du Minas Gerais : 1ère place
Politique·Élections Mondiales

Élection au Sénat du Minas Gerais : 1ère place

icon for Élection au Sénat du Minas Gerais : 1ère place
Politique·Élections Mondiales

Élection au Sénat du Minas Gerais : 1ère place

Marília Campos 28%

Juiz Ramon Moreira 24%

Domingos Sávio 24%

Gustavo Galassi 24%

Polymarket
NOUVEAU

Marília Campos 28%

Juiz Ramon Moreira 24%

Domingos Sávio 24%

Gustavo Galassi 24%

Polymarket
NOUVEAU
icon for Marília Campos

Marília Campos

$66 Vol.

37%

icon for Juiz Ramon Moreira

Juiz Ramon Moreira

$46 Vol.

24%

icon for Domingos Sávio

Domingos Sávio

$46 Vol.

24%

icon for Gustavo Galassi

Gustavo Galassi

$46 Vol.

24%

icon for Carlos Viana

Carlos Viana

$46 Vol.

18%

icon for Victória Mello Vic

Victória Mello Vic

$46 Vol.

18%

icon for Ana Luiza do MLB

Ana Luiza do MLB

$46 Vol.

13%

icon for Marcelo Heringer

Marcelo Heringer

$75 Vol.

12%

icon for Fidélis Alcântara

Fidélis Alcântara

$66 Vol.

10%

icon for Áurea Carolina

Áurea Carolina

$86 Vol.

9%

icon for Tião Pessoa

Tião Pessoa

$46 Vol.

13%

icon for Marco Antônio Superman

Marco Antônio Superman

$46 Vol.

8%

icon for Arcanjo Pimenta

Arcanjo Pimenta

$46 Vol.

8%

icon for Jordano Metalúrgico

Jordano Metalúrgico

$46 Vol.

8%

icon for Manoel Carvalho

Manoel Carvalho

$119 Vol.

8%

icon for Marcelo Aro

Marcelo Aro

$46 Vol.

11%

icon for Carlin Moura

Carlin Moura

$46 Vol.

24%

The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Minas Gerais is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).The fragmented field of over 15 registered candidates for Minas Gerais' two Senate seats has kept implied probabilities for first place tightly clustered near 50 percent for leading names, with Marília Campos (PT) at 48.5 percent and others such as Ana Luiza (UP) and Juiz Ramon Moreira trailing in the low-to-mid 30s or below. Recent party conventions and candidate launches through July and early August 2026 have solidified lineups without producing a dominant figure, as vote intentions remain split across PT, PL, PSD, PP, and smaller parties. Polling shows the top contender below 20 percent support, underscoring how turnout patterns, regional strongholds, and last-minute alliances could shift margins before the October vote. Traders price in this dispersion and the absence of decisive late momentum.

The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Minas Gerais is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.

Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volume
$960
Date de fin
4 oct. 2026
Marché ouvert
Aug 17, 2026, 6:00 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Minas Gerais is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Minas Gerais is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).The fragmented field of over 15 registered candidates for Minas Gerais' two Senate seats has kept implied probabilities for first place tightly clustered near 50 percent for leading names, with Marília Campos (PT) at 48.5 percent and others such as Ana Luiza (UP) and Juiz Ramon Moreira trailing in the low-to-mid 30s or below. Recent party conventions and candidate launches through July and early August 2026 have solidified lineups without producing a dominant figure, as vote intentions remain split across PT, PL, PSD, PP, and smaller parties. Polling shows the top contender below 20 percent support, underscoring how turnout patterns, regional strongholds, and last-minute alliances could shift margins before the October vote. Traders price in this dispersion and the absence of decisive late momentum.

The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Minas Gerais is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.

Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volume
$960
Date de fin
4 oct. 2026
Marché ouvert
Aug 17, 2026, 6:00 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Minas Gerais is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).

Connexes

icon for Will Victória Mello Vic win the second-most votes in the 2026 Minas Gerais Senate election?

Will Victória Mello Vic win the second-most votes in the 2026 Minas Gerais Senate election?

28%
icon for Mauro Mendes remportera-t-il le plus de voix lors de l'élection sénatoriale de 2026 au Mato Grosso ?

Mauro Mendes remportera-t-il le plus de voix lors de l'élection sénatoriale de 2026 au Mato Grosso ?

49%
Oui
icon for Will Lula win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Minas Gerais?

Will Lula win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Minas Gerais?

88%

Méfiez-vous des liens externes.

Questions fréquentes

« Élection au Sénat du Minas Gerais : 1ère place » est un marché de prédiction sur Polymarket avec 17 résultats possibles où les traders achètent et vendent des parts selon ce qu'ils pensent qu'il se passera. Le résultat en tête actuel est « Marília Campos » à 37%, suivi de « Juiz Ramon Moreira » à 24%. Les prix reflètent des probabilités en temps réel de la communauté. Par exemple, une part cotée à 37¢ implique que le marché attribue collectivement une probabilité de 37% à ce résultat. Ces cotes changent en permanence. Les parts du résultat correct sont échangeables contre $1 chacune lors de la résolution du marché.

« Élection au Sénat du Minas Gerais : 1ère place » est un marché nouvellement créé sur Polymarket, lancé le Aug 17, 2026. En tant que marché récent, c'est votre opportunité d'être parmi les premiers traders à définir les cotes et établir les premiers signaux de prix du marché. Vous pouvez également ajouter cette page à vos favoris pour suivre le volume et l'activité de trading au fil du temps.

Pour trader sur « Élection au Sénat du Minas Gerais : 1ère place », parcourez les 17 résultats disponibles sur cette page. Chaque résultat affiche un prix actuel représentant la probabilité implicite du marché. Pour prendre position, sélectionnez le résultat que vous estimez le plus probable, choisissez « Oui » pour trader en sa faveur ou « Non » pour trader contre, entrez votre montant et cliquez sur « Trader ». Si votre résultat choisi est correct lors de la résolution, vos parts « Oui » rapportent $1 chacune. S'il est incorrect, elles rapportent $0. Vous pouvez également vendre vos parts avant la résolution.

Le favori actuel pour « Élection au Sénat du Minas Gerais : 1ère place » est « Marília Campos » à 37%, ce qui signifie que le marché attribue une probabilité de 37% à ce résultat. Le résultat le plus proche ensuite est « Juiz Ramon Moreira » à 24%. Ces cotes sont mises à jour en temps réel à mesure que les traders achètent et vendent des parts. Revenez fréquemment ou ajoutez cette page à vos favoris.

Les règles de résolution de « Élection au Sénat du Minas Gerais : 1ère place » définissent exactement ce qui doit se produire pour que chaque résultat soit déclaré gagnant, y compris les sources de données officielles utilisées pour déterminer le résultat. Vous pouvez consulter les critères de résolution complets dans la section « Règles » sur cette page au-dessus des commentaires. Nous recommandons de lire attentivement les règles avant de trader, car elles précisent les conditions exactes, les cas particuliers et les sources.