Incumbent Democrat Tom Suozzi secured his party's nomination in the June 23, 2026 primary with roughly 80% of the vote, positioning him as the clear frontrunner in New York's 3rd congressional district for the November general election. The North Shore Nassau County and northeast Queens district carries a moderate Democratic lean reflected in recent voting patterns, and Suozzi's prior service as county executive and his 2024 general election performance provide structural advantages in name recognition and fundraising. The Republican nominee faces an uphill path in a seat rated Lean Democratic by analysts, with no major late-cycle developments shifting the balance. Prediction market pricing captures this incumbent edge and baseline partisan composition while leaving room for national midterm dynamics to influence turnout.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourNY-03 Vainqueur de l'élection à la Chambre
NY-03 Vainqueur de l'élection à la Chambre
$11,095 Vol.
$11,095 Vol.
4 nov. 2026
Parti démocrate
86%
Parti républicain
15%
$11,095 Vol.
$11,095 Vol.
4 nov. 2026
Parti démocrate
$4,266 Vol.
86%
Parti républicain
$6,828 Vol.
15%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Tom Suozzi secured his party's nomination in the June 23, 2026 primary with roughly 80% of the vote, positioning him as the clear frontrunner in New York's 3rd congressional district for the November general election. The North Shore Nassau County and northeast Queens district carries a moderate Democratic lean reflected in recent voting patterns, and Suozzi's prior service as county executive and his 2024 general election performance provide structural advantages in name recognition and fundraising. The Republican nominee faces an uphill path in a seat rated Lean Democratic by analysts, with no major late-cycle developments shifting the balance. Prediction market pricing captures this incumbent edge and baseline partisan composition while leaving room for national midterm dynamics to influence turnout.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Marché ouvert : Dec 16, 2025, 12:27 PM ET
Volume
$11,095Date de fin
4 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Dec 16, 2025, 12:27 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Tom Suozzi secured his party's nomination in the June 23, 2026 primary with roughly 80% of the vote, positioning him as the clear frontrunner in New York's 3rd congressional district for the November general election. The North Shore Nassau County and northeast Queens district carries a moderate Democratic lean reflected in recent voting patterns, and Suozzi's prior service as county executive and his 2024 general election performance provide structural advantages in name recognition and fundraising. The Republican nominee faces an uphill path in a seat rated Lean Democratic by analysts, with no major late-cycle developments shifting the balance. Prediction market pricing captures this incumbent edge and baseline partisan composition while leaving room for national midterm dynamics to influence turnout.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$11,095Date de fin
4 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Dec 16, 2025, 12:27 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democrat Tom Suozzi secured his party's nomination in the June 23, 2026 primary with roughly 80% of the vote, positioning him as the clear frontrunner in New York's 3rd congressional district for the November general election. The North Shore Nassau County and northeast Queens district carries a moderate Democratic lean reflected in recent voting patterns, and Suozzi's prior service as county executive and his 2024 general election performance provide structural advantages in name recognition and fundraising. The Republican nominee faces an uphill path in a seat rated Lean Democratic by analysts, with no major late-cycle developments shifting the balance. Prediction market pricing captures this incumbent edge and baseline partisan composition while leaving room for national midterm dynamics to influence turnout.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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