Trader consensus around the 2–2.5 inch bin for total June precipitation at Sea-Tac Airport reflects the 1.24 inches recorded through June 13—already near or above the early-month normal—paired with seasonal forecasts favoring drier conditions. Seattle’s climatology shows June transitioning toward the dry summer regime, with average monthly totals near 1.45 inches and sharply declining rainfall probabilities after mid-month. NOAA and regional outlooks highlight elevated chances of warmer, drier-than-normal weather through the remainder of the period amid ENSO-neutral conditions shifting toward El Niño. Short-term model guidance indicates limited shower activity over the next 10–14 days, though variability in Pacific Northwest trough patterns could still add 0.5–1.0 inch. Resolution hinges on final National Weather Service monthly summaries, with any late-month systems the key swing factor for the tightly bunched 1.5–2.5 inch range.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourPrecipitation in Seattle in June?
Precipitation in Seattle in June?
1.5-2" 49%
>3" 44%
1-1.5" 32%
2-2.5" 27%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
30 juin 2026
1.5-2"
26%
>3"
26%
1-1.5"
32%
2-2.5"
38%
2.5-3"
26%
<0.5"
2%
0.5-1"
<1%
1.5-2" 49%
>3" 44%
1-1.5" 32%
2-2.5" 27%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
30 juin 2026
1.5-2"
$81 Vol.
26%
>3"
$59 Vol.
26%
1-1.5"
$246 Vol.
32%
2-2.5"
$55 Vol.
38%
2.5-3"
$54 Vol.
26%
<0.5"
$470 Vol.
2%
0.5-1"
$2,651 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the total precipitation in inches in Seattle between June 1 and June 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET according to the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA).
The resolution source for this market will be NOAA, specifically the figure for June 2026 when the "Monthly summarized data" for "Seattle City Area" is selected with the variable set to "Precipitation" at the https://www.weather.gov/wrh/climate?wfo=sew link once that figure is finalized for the whole month of June 2026.
If the reported data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 2 decimal places (e.g., 1.54), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus around the 2–2.5 inch bin for total June precipitation at Sea-Tac Airport reflects the 1.24 inches recorded through June 13—already near or above the early-month normal—paired with seasonal forecasts favoring drier conditions. Seattle’s climatology shows June transitioning toward the dry summer regime, with average monthly totals near 1.45 inches and sharply declining rainfall probabilities after mid-month. NOAA and regional outlooks highlight elevated chances of warmer, drier-than-normal weather through the remainder of the period amid ENSO-neutral conditions shifting toward El Niño. Short-term model guidance indicates limited shower activity over the next 10–14 days, though variability in Pacific Northwest trough patterns could still add 0.5–1.0 inch. Resolution hinges on final National Weather Service monthly summaries, with any late-month systems the key swing factor for the tightly bunched 1.5–2.5 inch range.
This market will resolve according to the total precipitation in inches in Seattle between June 1 and June 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET according to the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA).
The resolution source for this market will be NOAA, specifically the figure for June 2026 when the "Monthly summarized data" for "Seattle City Area" is selected with the variable set to "Precipitation" at the https://www.weather.gov/wrh/climate?wfo=sew link once that figure is finalized for the whole month of June 2026.
If the reported data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 2 decimal places (e.g., 1.54), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be NOAA, specifically the figure for June 2026 when the "Monthly summarized data" for "Seattle City Area" is selected with the variable set to "Precipitation" at the https://www.weather.gov/wrh/climate?wfo=sew link once that figure is finalized for the whole month of June 2026.
If the reported data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 2 decimal places (e.g., 1.54), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Marché ouvert : May 27, 2026, 4:23 PM ET
Volume
$3,615Date de fin
30 juin 2026Marché ouvert
May 27, 2026, 4:23 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the total precipitation in inches in Seattle between June 1 and June 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET according to the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA).
The resolution source for this market will be NOAA, specifically the figure for June 2026 when the "Monthly summarized data" for "Seattle City Area" is selected with the variable set to "Precipitation" at the https://www.weather.gov/wrh/climate?wfo=sew link once that figure is finalized for the whole month of June 2026.
If the reported data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 2 decimal places (e.g., 1.54), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus around the 2–2.5 inch bin for total June precipitation at Sea-Tac Airport reflects the 1.24 inches recorded through June 13—already near or above the early-month normal—paired with seasonal forecasts favoring drier conditions. Seattle’s climatology shows June transitioning toward the dry summer regime, with average monthly totals near 1.45 inches and sharply declining rainfall probabilities after mid-month. NOAA and regional outlooks highlight elevated chances of warmer, drier-than-normal weather through the remainder of the period amid ENSO-neutral conditions shifting toward El Niño. Short-term model guidance indicates limited shower activity over the next 10–14 days, though variability in Pacific Northwest trough patterns could still add 0.5–1.0 inch. Resolution hinges on final National Weather Service monthly summaries, with any late-month systems the key swing factor for the tightly bunched 1.5–2.5 inch range.
This market will resolve according to the total precipitation in inches in Seattle between June 1 and June 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET according to the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA).
The resolution source for this market will be NOAA, specifically the figure for June 2026 when the "Monthly summarized data" for "Seattle City Area" is selected with the variable set to "Precipitation" at the https://www.weather.gov/wrh/climate?wfo=sew link once that figure is finalized for the whole month of June 2026.
If the reported data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 2 decimal places (e.g., 1.54), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be NOAA, specifically the figure for June 2026 when the "Monthly summarized data" for "Seattle City Area" is selected with the variable set to "Precipitation" at the https://www.weather.gov/wrh/climate?wfo=sew link once that figure is finalized for the whole month of June 2026.
If the reported data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 2 decimal places (e.g., 1.54), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$3,615Date de fin
30 juin 2026Marché ouvert
May 27, 2026, 4:23 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus around the 2–2.5 inch bin for total June precipitation at Sea-Tac Airport reflects the 1.24 inches recorded through June 13—already near or above the early-month normal—paired with seasonal forecasts favoring drier conditions. Seattle’s climatology shows June transitioning toward the dry summer regime, with average monthly totals near 1.45 inches and sharply declining rainfall probabilities after mid-month. NOAA and regional outlooks highlight elevated chances of warmer, drier-than-normal weather through the remainder of the period amid ENSO-neutral conditions shifting toward El Niño. Short-term model guidance indicates limited shower activity over the next 10–14 days, though variability in Pacific Northwest trough patterns could still add 0.5–1.0 inch. Resolution hinges on final National Weather Service monthly summaries, with any late-month systems the key swing factor for the tightly bunched 1.5–2.5 inch range.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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