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icon for Measles cases in U.S. by June 30?

Measles cases in U.S. by June 30?

icon for Measles cases in U.S. by June 30?

Measles cases in U.S. by June 30?

$40,226 Vol.

30 juin 2026
Polymarket

$40,226 Vol.

Polymarket

2150

$15,092 Vol.

62%

2200

$16,156 Vol.

14%

2300

$4,395 Vol.

3%

2400

$4,583 Vol.

2%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if there have been the specified amount or more confirmed cases of Measles (Rubeola) in humans in the territory of the United States of America in 2026, according to the CDC case counter by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be the CDC Measles (Rubeola) counter 'Total Cases' in 2026 (see: https://www.cdc.gov/measles/data-research/index.html) at the resolution time. If the counter becomes unavailable, another credible source will be used. Note: Only cases reported by the CDC Measles (Rubeola) counter will qualify, regardless of reports from U.S. State agencies or other sources.**Ongoing measles transmission in the United States, driven by multiple active outbreaks, continues to shape trader views on cumulative confirmed cases through June 30.** As of June 11, 2026, the CDC reported 2,073 confirmed cases for the year, with 93% outbreak-associated across 40 jurisdictions and 30 new outbreaks identified in 2026 alone. Most cases involve unvaccinated or unknown-status individuals, primarily children and young adults, mirroring patterns from the record 2,288 cases in 2025. Recent weekly additions have averaged roughly 40–50 cases, reflecting a slowdown from earlier peaks but sustained community spread from lingering 2025 outbreaks such as the large South Carolina event. CDC surveillance updates, expected around mid-June, and any new travel-related importations ahead of summer could incrementally raise totals before resolution. Historical precedent shows measles can accelerate rapidly in under-vaccinated clusters, though current trends suggest modest near-term growth.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if there have been the specified amount or more confirmed cases of Measles (Rubeola) in humans in the territory of the United States of America in 2026, according to the CDC case counter by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source for this market will be the CDC Measles (Rubeola) counter 'Total Cases' in 2026 (see: https://www.cdc.gov/measles/data-research/index.html) at the resolution time. If the counter becomes unavailable, another credible source will be used.

Note: Only cases reported by the CDC Measles (Rubeola) counter will qualify, regardless of reports from U.S. State agencies or other sources.
Volume
$40,226
Date de fin
30 juin 2026
Marché ouvert
May 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there have been the specified amount or more confirmed cases of Measles (Rubeola) in humans in the territory of the United States of America in 2026, according to the CDC case counter by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be the CDC Measles (Rubeola) counter 'Total Cases' in 2026 (see: https://www.cdc.gov/measles/data-research/index.html) at the resolution time. If the counter becomes unavailable, another credible source will be used. Note: Only cases reported by the CDC Measles (Rubeola) counter will qualify, regardless of reports from U.S. State agencies or other sources.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there have been the specified amount or more confirmed cases of Measles (Rubeola) in humans in the territory of the United States of America in 2026, according to the CDC case counter by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be the CDC Measles (Rubeola) counter 'Total Cases' in 2026 (see: https://www.cdc.gov/measles/data-research/index.html) at the resolution time. If the counter becomes unavailable, another credible source will be used. Note: Only cases reported by the CDC Measles (Rubeola) counter will qualify, regardless of reports from U.S. State agencies or other sources.**Ongoing measles transmission in the United States, driven by multiple active outbreaks, continues to shape trader views on cumulative confirmed cases through June 30.** As of June 11, 2026, the CDC reported 2,073 confirmed cases for the year, with 93% outbreak-associated across 40 jurisdictions and 30 new outbreaks identified in 2026 alone. Most cases involve unvaccinated or unknown-status individuals, primarily children and young adults, mirroring patterns from the record 2,288 cases in 2025. Recent weekly additions have averaged roughly 40–50 cases, reflecting a slowdown from earlier peaks but sustained community spread from lingering 2025 outbreaks such as the large South Carolina event. CDC surveillance updates, expected around mid-June, and any new travel-related importations ahead of summer could incrementally raise totals before resolution. Historical precedent shows measles can accelerate rapidly in under-vaccinated clusters, though current trends suggest modest near-term growth.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if there have been the specified amount or more confirmed cases of Measles (Rubeola) in humans in the territory of the United States of America in 2026, according to the CDC case counter by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source for this market will be the CDC Measles (Rubeola) counter 'Total Cases' in 2026 (see: https://www.cdc.gov/measles/data-research/index.html) at the resolution time. If the counter becomes unavailable, another credible source will be used.

Note: Only cases reported by the CDC Measles (Rubeola) counter will qualify, regardless of reports from U.S. State agencies or other sources.
Volume
$40,226
Date de fin
30 juin 2026
Marché ouvert
May 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there have been the specified amount or more confirmed cases of Measles (Rubeola) in humans in the territory of the United States of America in 2026, according to the CDC case counter by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be the CDC Measles (Rubeola) counter 'Total Cases' in 2026 (see: https://www.cdc.gov/measles/data-research/index.html) at the resolution time. If the counter becomes unavailable, another credible source will be used. Note: Only cases reported by the CDC Measles (Rubeola) counter will qualify, regardless of reports from U.S. State agencies or other sources.

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Questions fréquentes

« Measles cases in U.S. by June 30? » est un marché de prédiction sur Polymarket avec 4 résultats possibles où les traders achètent et vendent des parts selon ce qu'ils pensent qu'il se passera. Le résultat en tête actuel est « 2150 » à 62%, suivi de « 2200 » à 14%. Les prix reflètent des probabilités en temps réel de la communauté. Par exemple, une part cotée à 62¢ implique que le marché attribue collectivement une probabilité de 62% à ce résultat. Ces cotes changent en permanence. Les parts du résultat correct sont échangeables contre $1 chacune lors de la résolution du marché.

À ce jour, « Measles cases in U.S. by June 30? » a généré $40.2K en volume total de trading depuis le lancement du marché le May 26, 2026. Ce niveau d'activité reflète un fort engagement de la communauté Polymarket et garantit que les cotes actuelles sont alimentées par un large bassin de participants. Vous pouvez suivre les mouvements de prix en direct et trader sur n'importe quel résultat directement sur cette page.

Pour trader sur « Measles cases in U.S. by June 30? », parcourez les 4 résultats disponibles sur cette page. Chaque résultat affiche un prix actuel représentant la probabilité implicite du marché. Pour prendre position, sélectionnez le résultat que vous estimez le plus probable, choisissez « Oui » pour trader en sa faveur ou « Non » pour trader contre, entrez votre montant et cliquez sur « Trader ». Si votre résultat choisi est correct lors de la résolution, vos parts « Oui » rapportent $1 chacune. S'il est incorrect, elles rapportent $0. Vous pouvez également vendre vos parts avant la résolution.

Le favori actuel pour « Measles cases in U.S. by June 30? » est « 2150 » à 62%, ce qui signifie que le marché attribue une probabilité de 62% à ce résultat. Le résultat le plus proche ensuite est « 2200 » à 14%. Ces cotes sont mises à jour en temps réel à mesure que les traders achètent et vendent des parts. Revenez fréquemment ou ajoutez cette page à vos favoris.

Les règles de résolution de « Measles cases in U.S. by June 30? » définissent exactement ce qui doit se produire pour que chaque résultat soit déclaré gagnant, y compris les sources de données officielles utilisées pour déterminer le résultat. Vous pouvez consulter les critères de résolution complets dans la section « Règles » sur cette page au-dessus des commentaires. Nous recommandons de lire attentivement les règles avant de trader, car elles précisent les conditions exactes, les cas particuliers et les sources.