Imelda Castro Castro holds an 85% implied probability in the Sinaloa governor election market due to her August 2026 designation by Morena as state coordinator for the Defense of the Transformation and Sovereignty, a role that positions her as the party's standard-bearer for the June 2027 contest. National leadership, including input aligned with President Sheinbaum, selected her over other internal aspirants after former governor Rubén Rocha Moya took indefinite leave amid U.S. allegations of organized crime ties. The party has emphasized her independent trajectory and clean record. Opposition candidates and remaining Morena rivals register below 5%, consistent with the coalition's recent dominance in state races and limited polling signals of viable alternatives ahead of primary and general election timelines.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourImelda Castro Castro 85%
María Teresa Guerra Ochoa 4.5%
Omar López Campos 3.9%
Juan de Dios Gámez Mendívil 3.5%
$31,089 Vol.
$31,089 Vol.

Imelda Castro Castro
85%

María Teresa Guerra Ochoa
4%

Omar López Campos
4%

Juan de Dios Gámez Mendívil
3%

Tomás de Jesús López Bajo
3%

Sergio Torres Félix
3%

Graciela Domínguez Nava
3%

Gerardo Octavio Vargas Landeros
3%

Lucila Ayala de Moreschi
2%

Jesús Alfonso Ibarra Ramos
2%

Ricardo Madrid Pérez
2%

Guillermo Romero Rodríguez
2%

Paloma Sánchez Ramos
2%

Roxana Rubio Valdez
1%

Mario Zamora Gastélum
1%

Rodolfo Valenzuela Sánchez
1%

Eduardo Ortiz Hernández
1%

Kristiam Alexis Espinoza García
1%

Jesús Fernando García Hernández
1%

Estrella Palacios Domínguez
<1%

María Fernanda Rivera
<1%
Imelda Castro Castro 85%
María Teresa Guerra Ochoa 4.5%
Omar López Campos 3.9%
Juan de Dios Gámez Mendívil 3.5%
$31,089 Vol.
$31,089 Vol.

Imelda Castro Castro
85%

María Teresa Guerra Ochoa
4%

Omar López Campos
4%

Juan de Dios Gámez Mendívil
3%

Tomás de Jesús López Bajo
3%

Sergio Torres Félix
3%

Graciela Domínguez Nava
3%

Gerardo Octavio Vargas Landeros
3%

Lucila Ayala de Moreschi
2%

Jesús Alfonso Ibarra Ramos
2%

Ricardo Madrid Pérez
2%

Guillermo Romero Rodríguez
2%

Paloma Sánchez Ramos
2%

Roxana Rubio Valdez
1%

Mario Zamora Gastélum
1%

Rodolfo Valenzuela Sánchez
1%

Eduardo Ortiz Hernández
1%

Kristiam Alexis Espinoza García
1%

Jesús Fernando García Hernández
1%

Estrella Palacios Domínguez
<1%

María Fernanda Rivera
<1%
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Sinaloa gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify.
If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Sinaloa and Mexico, including the Electoral Institute of Sinaloa and the National Electoral Institute of Mexico.
Marché ouvert : Aug 5, 2026, 6:59 AM ET
Résolveur
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Sinaloa gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify.
If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Sinaloa and Mexico, including the Electoral Institute of Sinaloa and the National Electoral Institute of Mexico.
Résolveur
0x69c47De9D...Imelda Castro Castro holds an 85% implied probability in the Sinaloa governor election market due to her August 2026 designation by Morena as state coordinator for the Defense of the Transformation and Sovereignty, a role that positions her as the party's standard-bearer for the June 2027 contest. National leadership, including input aligned with President Sheinbaum, selected her over other internal aspirants after former governor Rubén Rocha Moya took indefinite leave amid U.S. allegations of organized crime ties. The party has emphasized her independent trajectory and clean record. Opposition candidates and remaining Morena rivals register below 5%, consistent with the coalition's recent dominance in state races and limited polling signals of viable alternatives ahead of primary and general election timelines.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour



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