Trader consensus heavily favors Andrea Martella at 88% implied probability to win the Venice mayoral election, driven by the latest Tecnè poll from early May showing him at 49% in the first round—nearing the 50% threshold needed for outright victory on May 24-25—against Simone Venturini's 41% for the center-right coalition. Martella's center-left alliance, including PD, M5S, and civics, has gained from consistent polling gains over April surveys, bolstered by undecided voter shifts amid campaign focus on housing, tourism, and local autonomy. Venturini retains support from Forza Italia and Lega but trails amid fragmented opposition; a runoff on June 7-8 remains possible if no majority emerges, though historical patterns favor frontrunners. Late turnout swings or scandals could narrow the gap.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourVenice Mayoral Election Winner
Venice Mayoral Election Winner
Andrea Martella 88%
Simone Venturini 13%
Michele Boldrin <1%
Giovanni Andrea Martini <1%
$114,578 Vol.
$114,578 Vol.

Andrea Martella
88%

Simone Venturini
13%

Michele Boldrin
<1%

Giovanni Andrea Martini
<1%

Pierangelo Del Zotto
<1%
Andrea Martella 88%
Simone Venturini 13%
Michele Boldrin <1%
Giovanni Andrea Martini <1%
$114,578 Vol.
$114,578 Vol.

Andrea Martella
88%

Simone Venturini
13%

Michele Boldrin
<1%

Giovanni Andrea Martini
<1%

Pierangelo Del Zotto
<1%
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Venice as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by April 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from Venice.
Marché ouvert : Apr 6, 2026, 6:14 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Venice as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by April 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from Venice.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus heavily favors Andrea Martella at 88% implied probability to win the Venice mayoral election, driven by the latest Tecnè poll from early May showing him at 49% in the first round—nearing the 50% threshold needed for outright victory on May 24-25—against Simone Venturini's 41% for the center-right coalition. Martella's center-left alliance, including PD, M5S, and civics, has gained from consistent polling gains over April surveys, bolstered by undecided voter shifts amid campaign focus on housing, tourism, and local autonomy. Venturini retains support from Forza Italia and Lega but trails amid fragmented opposition; a runoff on June 7-8 remains possible if no majority emerges, though historical patterns favor frontrunners. Late turnout swings or scandals could narrow the gap.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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