The April 12 first-round vote produced a fragmented field of 35 candidates, with final tallies released in mid-May confirming Keiko Fujimori in first place at roughly 17 percent while a narrow contest for second determined the runoff pairing. Traders have assigned near-certain probability to outcomes outside the listed combinations, reflecting how vote shares for Rafael López Aliaga, Roberto Sánchez Palomino, and others fell short of securing the exact matchups priced in the market. Peru’s runoff system requires the top two finishers to advance to the June 7 contest, and the completed count has locked in that structure. Late legal challenges or verified irregularities in remaining precincts could still shift the second-place finisher, though such developments remain low-probability at this stage.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourAutre 100.0%
López Aliaga & López Chau <1%
López Aliaga & Nieto <1%
López Chau & Fujimori <1%
$1,181,384 Vol.
$1,181,384 Vol.
López Aliaga & López Chau
Non
López Aliaga & Nieto
Non
López Chau & Fujimori
Non
López Chau & Nieto
Non
López Chau & Sánchez Palomino
Non
López Aliaga & Fujimori
Non
López Aliaga & Sánchez Palomino
Non
López Aliaga & Grozo
Non
Fujimori & Nieto
Non
Autre
Oui
Autre 100.0%
López Aliaga & López Chau <1%
López Aliaga & Nieto <1%
López Chau & Fujimori <1%
$1,181,384 Vol.
$1,181,384 Vol.
López Aliaga & López Chau
Non
López Aliaga & Nieto
Non
López Chau & Fujimori
Non
López Chau & Nieto
Non
López Chau & Sánchez Palomino
Non
López Aliaga & Fujimori
Non
López Aliaga & Sánchez Palomino
Non
López Aliaga & Grozo
Non
Fujimori & Nieto
Non
Autre
Oui
This market will resolve according to the listed pair of candidates who advance to the runoff of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election.
If a different combination of candidates than those listed below advances to the runoff, if no runoff is being held, for example, because a candidate wins the first round outright, or if the candidates of the specified election are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/).
Marché ouvert : Mar 23, 2026, 2:03 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Résultat proposé: Non
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: Non
This market will resolve according to the listed pair of candidates who advance to the runoff of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election.
If a different combination of candidates than those listed below advances to the runoff, if no runoff is being held, for example, because a candidate wins the first round outright, or if the candidates of the specified election are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/).
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Résultat proposé: Non
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: Non
The April 12 first-round vote produced a fragmented field of 35 candidates, with final tallies released in mid-May confirming Keiko Fujimori in first place at roughly 17 percent while a narrow contest for second determined the runoff pairing. Traders have assigned near-certain probability to outcomes outside the listed combinations, reflecting how vote shares for Rafael López Aliaga, Roberto Sánchez Palomino, and others fell short of securing the exact matchups priced in the market. Peru’s runoff system requires the top two finishers to advance to the June 7 contest, and the completed count has locked in that structure. Late legal challenges or verified irregularities in remaining precincts could still shift the second-place finisher, though such developments remain low-probability at this stage.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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