Recent U.S. ground beef prices have hovered near record levels, averaging $6.89 per pound in July 2026 per BLS data, supported by the smallest beef cow herd since 1971 at 28.45 million head. Drought-driven liquidation, elevated feed costs, and a low 32.5 million head calf crop have constrained 2026 production forecasts to roughly 25 billion pounds, down about 4% year-over-year. Trader sentiment reflects these structural shortages alongside the August 2026 policy shift lowering tariffs on 300,000 metric tons of lean beef trimmings for 90 days starting September 1, intended to boost imports by around 10% and ease retail prices. Early signs of herd stabilization—beef replacement heifers rising 3%—remain too gradual to materially affect 2026 supply, while cash cattle prices have softened modestly in recent weeks.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLe bœuf haché atteindra-t-il __ en 2026 ?
Le bœuf haché atteindra-t-il __ en 2026 ?
$21,542 Vol.
30 déc. 2026
7,000 $+
48%
8,000 $+
42%
9,000 $+
33%
10 000 $+
12%
$21,542 Vol.
7,000 $+
$59 Vol.
48%
8,000 $+
$1,974 Vol.
42%
9,000 $+
$756 Vol.
33%
10 000 $+
$18,752 Vol.
12%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the figure for "Average Price: Ground Beef, 100% Beef (Cost per Pound/453.6 Grams) in U.S. City Average" reaches or exceeds the listed figure for any month of 2026 as published by the St. Louis Fed (https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/APU0000703112). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The St. Louis Fed bases its numbers for ground beef prices on the BLS's CPI release. This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" upon a qualifying update of the St. Louis Fed's chart. If no data for any month of 2026 is released by the scheduled date for the January 2027 CPI release, this market will resolve according to the data for 2026 already available at that time.
The resolution source for this market measures prices to the third decimal place. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.Recent U.S. ground beef prices have hovered near record levels, averaging $6.89 per pound in July 2026 per BLS data, supported by the smallest beef cow herd since 1971 at 28.45 million head. Drought-driven liquidation, elevated feed costs, and a low 32.5 million head calf crop have constrained 2026 production forecasts to roughly 25 billion pounds, down about 4% year-over-year. Trader sentiment reflects these structural shortages alongside the August 2026 policy shift lowering tariffs on 300,000 metric tons of lean beef trimmings for 90 days starting September 1, intended to boost imports by around 10% and ease retail prices. Early signs of herd stabilization—beef replacement heifers rising 3%—remain too gradual to materially affect 2026 supply, while cash cattle prices have softened modestly in recent weeks.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the figure for "Average Price: Ground Beef, 100% Beef (Cost per Pound/453.6 Grams) in U.S. City Average" reaches or exceeds the listed figure for any month of 2026 as published by the St. Louis Fed (https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/APU0000703112). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The St. Louis Fed bases its numbers for ground beef prices on the BLS's CPI release. This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" upon a qualifying update of the St. Louis Fed's chart. If no data for any month of 2026 is released by the scheduled date for the January 2027 CPI release, this market will resolve according to the data for 2026 already available at that time.
The resolution source for this market measures prices to the third decimal place. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
The St. Louis Fed bases its numbers for ground beef prices on the BLS's CPI release. This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" upon a qualifying update of the St. Louis Fed's chart. If no data for any month of 2026 is released by the scheduled date for the January 2027 CPI release, this market will resolve according to the data for 2026 already available at that time.
The resolution source for this market measures prices to the third decimal place. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Marché ouvert : Apr 3, 2026, 11:10 AM ET
Volume
$21,542Date de fin
31 déc. 2026Marché ouvert
Apr 3, 2026, 11:10 AM ETRésolveur
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the figure for "Average Price: Ground Beef, 100% Beef (Cost per Pound/453.6 Grams) in U.S. City Average" reaches or exceeds the listed figure for any month of 2026 as published by the St. Louis Fed (https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/APU0000703112). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The St. Louis Fed bases its numbers for ground beef prices on the BLS's CPI release. This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" upon a qualifying update of the St. Louis Fed's chart. If no data for any month of 2026 is released by the scheduled date for the January 2027 CPI release, this market will resolve according to the data for 2026 already available at that time.
The resolution source for this market measures prices to the third decimal place. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.Recent U.S. ground beef prices have hovered near record levels, averaging $6.89 per pound in July 2026 per BLS data, supported by the smallest beef cow herd since 1971 at 28.45 million head. Drought-driven liquidation, elevated feed costs, and a low 32.5 million head calf crop have constrained 2026 production forecasts to roughly 25 billion pounds, down about 4% year-over-year. Trader sentiment reflects these structural shortages alongside the August 2026 policy shift lowering tariffs on 300,000 metric tons of lean beef trimmings for 90 days starting September 1, intended to boost imports by around 10% and ease retail prices. Early signs of herd stabilization—beef replacement heifers rising 3%—remain too gradual to materially affect 2026 supply, while cash cattle prices have softened modestly in recent weeks.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the figure for "Average Price: Ground Beef, 100% Beef (Cost per Pound/453.6 Grams) in U.S. City Average" reaches or exceeds the listed figure for any month of 2026 as published by the St. Louis Fed (https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/APU0000703112). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The St. Louis Fed bases its numbers for ground beef prices on the BLS's CPI release. This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" upon a qualifying update of the St. Louis Fed's chart. If no data for any month of 2026 is released by the scheduled date for the January 2027 CPI release, this market will resolve according to the data for 2026 already available at that time.
The resolution source for this market measures prices to the third decimal place. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
The St. Louis Fed bases its numbers for ground beef prices on the BLS's CPI release. This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" upon a qualifying update of the St. Louis Fed's chart. If no data for any month of 2026 is released by the scheduled date for the January 2027 CPI release, this market will resolve according to the data for 2026 already available at that time.
The resolution source for this market measures prices to the third decimal place. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Volume
$21,542Date de fin
31 déc. 2026Marché ouvert
Apr 3, 2026, 11:10 AM ETRésolveur
0x65070BE91...Recent U.S. ground beef prices have hovered near record levels, averaging $6.89 per pound in July 2026 per BLS data, supported by the smallest beef cow herd since 1971 at 28.45 million head. Drought-driven liquidation, elevated feed costs, and a low 32.5 million head calf crop have constrained 2026 production forecasts to roughly 25 billion pounds, down about 4% year-over-year. Trader sentiment reflects these structural shortages alongside the August 2026 policy shift lowering tariffs on 300,000 metric tons of lean beef trimmings for 90 days starting September 1, intended to boost imports by around 10% and ease retail prices. Early signs of herd stabilization—beef replacement heifers rising 3%—remain too gradual to materially affect 2026 supply, while cash cattle prices have softened modestly in recent weeks.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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