The Bank of Canada’s April 29 decision to hold the policy rate at 2.25% and its accompanying Monetary Policy Report established a clear baseline for the June 10 meeting, with markets pricing a 96% implied probability of no change. Weak domestic growth, including a 0.6% GDP contraction in Q4 2025 and unemployment near 6.5–7%, continues to support excess supply that justifies the current stance at the lower end of the neutral range. Temporary upward pressure on headline inflation from elevated oil prices tied to Middle East developments is expected to peak around 3% in April before easing back toward the 2% target, allowing the central bank to look through the near-term spike without immediate policy adjustment. Labor-market softness and anchored longer-term inflation expectations further reinforce trader consensus for stability. A material upside surprise in May CPI that signals broader pass-through or a sharp rebound in growth data could introduce modest volatility, though both remain low-probability outcomes at this stage.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाBank of Canada decision in June?
Bank of Canada decision in June?
No change 96.0%
Increase 2.9%
25 bps decrease 1.2%
50+ bps decrease <1%
$26,453 वॉल्यूम
$26,453 वॉल्यूम
10 जून, 2026
50+ bps decrease
<1%
25 bps decrease
1%
No change
96%
Increase
3%
No change 96.0%
Increase 2.9%
25 bps decrease 1.2%
50+ bps decrease <1%
$26,453 वॉल्यूम
$26,453 वॉल्यूम
10 जून, 2026
50+ bps decrease
$4,584 वॉल्यूम
<1%
25 bps decrease
$4,363 वॉल्यूम
1%
No change
$9,496 वॉल्यूम
96%
Increase
$8,011 वॉल्यूम
3%
This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the target for the overnight rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Bank of Canada's June 2026 meeting.
If the target for the overnight rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 basis points and will resolve to the relevant bracket. For example, if the relevant rate is increased or decreased by 12.5 basis points, it will be treated as a 25 basis point change for the purposes of resolution.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Canada after its June 10, 2026 policy meeting, as listed on the official Bank of Canada calendar: https://www.bankofcanada.ca/core-functions/monetary-policy/key-interest-rate/#target-dates
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Canada's statement for their June meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.The Bank of Canada’s April 29 decision to hold the policy rate at 2.25% and its accompanying Monetary Policy Report established a clear baseline for the June 10 meeting, with markets pricing a 96% implied probability of no change. Weak domestic growth, including a 0.6% GDP contraction in Q4 2025 and unemployment near 6.5–7%, continues to support excess supply that justifies the current stance at the lower end of the neutral range. Temporary upward pressure on headline inflation from elevated oil prices tied to Middle East developments is expected to peak around 3% in April before easing back toward the 2% target, allowing the central bank to look through the near-term spike without immediate policy adjustment. Labor-market softness and anchored longer-term inflation expectations further reinforce trader consensus for stability. A material upside surprise in May CPI that signals broader pass-through or a sharp rebound in growth data could introduce modest volatility, though both remain low-probability outcomes at this stage.
This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the target for the overnight rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Bank of Canada's June 2026 meeting.
If the target for the overnight rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 basis points and will resolve to the relevant bracket. For example, if the relevant rate is increased or decreased by 12.5 basis points, it will be treated as a 25 basis point change for the purposes of resolution.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Canada after its June 10, 2026 policy meeting, as listed on the official Bank of Canada calendar: https://www.bankofcanada.ca/core-functions/monetary-policy/key-interest-rate/#target-dates
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Canada's statement for their June meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
If the target for the overnight rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 basis points and will resolve to the relevant bracket. For example, if the relevant rate is increased or decreased by 12.5 basis points, it will be treated as a 25 basis point change for the purposes of resolution.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Canada after its June 10, 2026 policy meeting, as listed on the official Bank of Canada calendar: https://www.bankofcanada.ca/core-functions/monetary-policy/key-interest-rate/#target-dates
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Canada's statement for their June meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
बाज़ार खुला: Mar 24, 2026, 7:36 PM ET
वॉल्यूम
$26,453समाप्ति तिथि
10 जून, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Mar 24, 2026, 7:36 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the target for the overnight rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Bank of Canada's June 2026 meeting.
If the target for the overnight rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 basis points and will resolve to the relevant bracket. For example, if the relevant rate is increased or decreased by 12.5 basis points, it will be treated as a 25 basis point change for the purposes of resolution.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Canada after its June 10, 2026 policy meeting, as listed on the official Bank of Canada calendar: https://www.bankofcanada.ca/core-functions/monetary-policy/key-interest-rate/#target-dates
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Canada's statement for their June meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.The Bank of Canada’s April 29 decision to hold the policy rate at 2.25% and its accompanying Monetary Policy Report established a clear baseline for the June 10 meeting, with markets pricing a 96% implied probability of no change. Weak domestic growth, including a 0.6% GDP contraction in Q4 2025 and unemployment near 6.5–7%, continues to support excess supply that justifies the current stance at the lower end of the neutral range. Temporary upward pressure on headline inflation from elevated oil prices tied to Middle East developments is expected to peak around 3% in April before easing back toward the 2% target, allowing the central bank to look through the near-term spike without immediate policy adjustment. Labor-market softness and anchored longer-term inflation expectations further reinforce trader consensus for stability. A material upside surprise in May CPI that signals broader pass-through or a sharp rebound in growth data could introduce modest volatility, though both remain low-probability outcomes at this stage.
This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the target for the overnight rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Bank of Canada's June 2026 meeting.
If the target for the overnight rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 basis points and will resolve to the relevant bracket. For example, if the relevant rate is increased or decreased by 12.5 basis points, it will be treated as a 25 basis point change for the purposes of resolution.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Canada after its June 10, 2026 policy meeting, as listed on the official Bank of Canada calendar: https://www.bankofcanada.ca/core-functions/monetary-policy/key-interest-rate/#target-dates
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Canada's statement for their June meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
If the target for the overnight rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 basis points and will resolve to the relevant bracket. For example, if the relevant rate is increased or decreased by 12.5 basis points, it will be treated as a 25 basis point change for the purposes of resolution.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Canada after its June 10, 2026 policy meeting, as listed on the official Bank of Canada calendar: https://www.bankofcanada.ca/core-functions/monetary-policy/key-interest-rate/#target-dates
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Canada's statement for their June meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
वॉल्यूम
$26,453समाप्ति तिथि
10 जून, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Mar 24, 2026, 7:36 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Bank of Canada’s April 29 decision to hold the policy rate at 2.25% and its accompanying Monetary Policy Report established a clear baseline for the June 10 meeting, with markets pricing a 96% implied probability of no change. Weak domestic growth, including a 0.6% GDP contraction in Q4 2025 and unemployment near 6.5–7%, continues to support excess supply that justifies the current stance at the lower end of the neutral range. Temporary upward pressure on headline inflation from elevated oil prices tied to Middle East developments is expected to peak around 3% in April before easing back toward the 2% target, allowing the central bank to look through the near-term spike without immediate policy adjustment. Labor-market softness and anchored longer-term inflation expectations further reinforce trader consensus for stability. A material upside surprise in May CPI that signals broader pass-through or a sharp rebound in growth data could introduce modest volatility, though both remain low-probability outcomes at this stage.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
अक्सर पूछे जाने वाले प्रश्न