Recent observational data from the Hong Kong Observatory shows the maximum temperature on May 15 reached 27°C under stable subtropical high-pressure conditions typical for mid-May in the region. This aligns with long-term climatological averages of 26–28°C and consistent model outputs from regional weather agencies that projected minimal variability due to moderate sea-surface temperatures and absent frontal systems. The market’s 99.9% implied probability for 27°C reflects this strong consensus in verified measurements. Realistic challenges remain limited but could arise from post-event quality-control adjustments or rare microclimate anomalies at the official station, though historical precedents for such revisions in Hong Kong records are infrequent.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया15 मई को हांगकांग में सबसे अधिक तापमान?
15 मई को हांगकांग में सबसे अधिक तापमान?
27°C 99.9%
26°C <1%
19°C या उससे कम <1%
20°C <1%
$292,441 वॉल्यूम
$292,441 वॉल्यूम
15 मई, 2026
19°C या उससे कम
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
100%
28°C
<1%
29°C या अधिक
<1%
27°C 99.9%
26°C <1%
19°C या उससे कम <1%
20°C <1%
$292,441 वॉल्यूम
$292,441 वॉल्यूम
15 मई, 2026
19°C या उससे कम
$3,583 वॉल्यूम
<1%
20°C
$2,551 वॉल्यूम
<1%
21°C
$3,480 वॉल्यूम
<1%
22°C
$3,250 वॉल्यूम
<1%
23°C
$3,799 वॉल्यूम
<1%
24°C
$5,477 वॉल्यूम
<1%
25°C
$30,336 वॉल्यूम
<1%
26°C
$69,254 वॉल्यूम
<1%
27°C
$89,457 वॉल्यूम
100%
28°C
$45,405 वॉल्यूम
<1%
29°C या अधिक
$35,849 वॉल्यूम
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent observational data from the Hong Kong Observatory shows the maximum temperature on May 15 reached 27°C under stable subtropical high-pressure conditions typical for mid-May in the region. This aligns with long-term climatological averages of 26–28°C and consistent model outputs from regional weather agencies that projected minimal variability due to moderate sea-surface temperatures and absent frontal systems. The market’s 99.9% implied probability for 27°C reflects this strong consensus in verified measurements. Realistic challenges remain limited but could arise from post-event quality-control adjustments or rare microclimate anomalies at the official station, though historical precedents for such revisions in Hong Kong records are infrequent.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
बाज़ार खुला: May 13, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
वॉल्यूम
$292,441समाप्ति तिथि
15 मई, 2026बाज़ार खुला
May 13, 2026, 12:06 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent observational data from the Hong Kong Observatory shows the maximum temperature on May 15 reached 27°C under stable subtropical high-pressure conditions typical for mid-May in the region. This aligns with long-term climatological averages of 26–28°C and consistent model outputs from regional weather agencies that projected minimal variability due to moderate sea-surface temperatures and absent frontal systems. The market’s 99.9% implied probability for 27°C reflects this strong consensus in verified measurements. Realistic challenges remain limited but could arise from post-event quality-control adjustments or rare microclimate anomalies at the official station, though historical precedents for such revisions in Hong Kong records are infrequent.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
वॉल्यूम
$292,441समाप्ति तिथि
15 मई, 2026बाज़ार खुला
May 13, 2026, 12:06 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent observational data from the Hong Kong Observatory shows the maximum temperature on May 15 reached 27°C under stable subtropical high-pressure conditions typical for mid-May in the region. This aligns with long-term climatological averages of 26–28°C and consistent model outputs from regional weather agencies that projected minimal variability due to moderate sea-surface temperatures and absent frontal systems. The market’s 99.9% implied probability for 27°C reflects this strong consensus in verified measurements. Realistic challenges remain limited but could arise from post-event quality-control adjustments or rare microclimate anomalies at the official station, though historical precedents for such revisions in Hong Kong records are infrequent.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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