The dominant 99.5% market-implied probability for a 21°C daily maximum in Qingdao on May 16 reflects tight consensus across the latest China Meteorological Administration, ECMWF, and GFS ensemble runs, which project a high of exactly 21°C under partly cloudy skies, moderate southerly flow, and typical coastal marine moderation. Recent observations from May 15, when the high reached only 16°C amid persistent cloud cover and sea breezes, have reinforced this downward adjustment from earlier warmer guidance. Historical mid-May climatology for the region centers near 20–22°C, providing additional context for the narrow range. The outcome could shift only if afternoon insolation increases sharply due to unexpected cloud dissipation or if local station measurements deviate from model consensus before official resolution.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाHighest temperature in Qingdao on May 16?
Highest temperature in Qingdao on May 16?
21°C 99.4%
22°C <1%
23°C <1%
30°C or higher <1%
$29,331 वॉल्यूम
$29,331 वॉल्यूम
16 मई, 2026
21°C
99%
22°C
1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C or higher
<1%
21°C 99.4%
22°C <1%
23°C <1%
30°C or higher <1%
$29,331 वॉल्यूम
$29,331 वॉल्यूम
16 मई, 2026
21°C
$9,131 वॉल्यूम
99%
22°C
$3,219 वॉल्यूम
1%
23°C
$2,204 वॉल्यूम
<1%
24°C
$1,285 वॉल्यूम
<1%
25°C
$1,972 वॉल्यूम
<1%
26°C
$1,845 वॉल्यूम
<1%
27°C
$1,040 वॉल्यूम
<1%
28°C
$956 वॉल्यूम
<1%
29°C
$1,469 वॉल्यूम
<1%
30°C or higher
$1,325 वॉल्यूम
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.The dominant 99.5% market-implied probability for a 21°C daily maximum in Qingdao on May 16 reflects tight consensus across the latest China Meteorological Administration, ECMWF, and GFS ensemble runs, which project a high of exactly 21°C under partly cloudy skies, moderate southerly flow, and typical coastal marine moderation. Recent observations from May 15, when the high reached only 16°C amid persistent cloud cover and sea breezes, have reinforced this downward adjustment from earlier warmer guidance. Historical mid-May climatology for the region centers near 20–22°C, providing additional context for the narrow range. The outcome could shift only if afternoon insolation increases sharply due to unexpected cloud dissipation or if local station measurements deviate from model consensus before official resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
बाज़ार खुला: May 14, 2026, 12:18 AM ET
वॉल्यूम
$29,331समाप्ति तिथि
16 मई, 2026बाज़ार खुला
May 14, 2026, 12:18 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.The dominant 99.5% market-implied probability for a 21°C daily maximum in Qingdao on May 16 reflects tight consensus across the latest China Meteorological Administration, ECMWF, and GFS ensemble runs, which project a high of exactly 21°C under partly cloudy skies, moderate southerly flow, and typical coastal marine moderation. Recent observations from May 15, when the high reached only 16°C amid persistent cloud cover and sea breezes, have reinforced this downward adjustment from earlier warmer guidance. Historical mid-May climatology for the region centers near 20–22°C, providing additional context for the narrow range. The outcome could shift only if afternoon insolation increases sharply due to unexpected cloud dissipation or if local station measurements deviate from model consensus before official resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
वॉल्यूम
$29,331समाप्ति तिथि
16 मई, 2026बाज़ार खुला
May 14, 2026, 12:18 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The dominant 99.5% market-implied probability for a 21°C daily maximum in Qingdao on May 16 reflects tight consensus across the latest China Meteorological Administration, ECMWF, and GFS ensemble runs, which project a high of exactly 21°C under partly cloudy skies, moderate southerly flow, and typical coastal marine moderation. Recent observations from May 15, when the high reached only 16°C amid persistent cloud cover and sea breezes, have reinforced this downward adjustment from earlier warmer guidance. Historical mid-May climatology for the region centers near 20–22°C, providing additional context for the narrow range. The outcome could shift only if afternoon insolation increases sharply due to unexpected cloud dissipation or if local station measurements deviate from model consensus before official resolution.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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