SpaceX’s recent confidential S-1 filing and planned June 2026 roadshow have anchored trader consensus at a 91% implied probability that it will deliver the year’s largest IPO by market cap. The aerospace and satellite firm is targeting a valuation above $1.75 trillion, supported by Starlink’s scaled revenue, Starship progress, and integration of artificial-intelligence workloads in orbit—far exceeding the private-market caps reported for OpenAI and Anthropic. While the filing and banker meetings provide clear momentum, regulatory review timelines, broader equity-market volatility, or an unexpectedly large raise by a rival AI lab could still shift relative positioning before year-end.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयास्पेसएक्स 91%
एंथ्रॉपिक 5.5%
OpenAI 2.9%
क्रैकन <1%
$1,881,164 वॉल्यूम
$1,881,164 वॉल्यूम
31 दिस, 2026
स्पेसएक्स
91%
एंथ्रॉपिक
6%
OpenAI
3%
क्रैकन
<1%
डिस्कॉर्ड
<1%
वेमो
<1%
बाइटडांस
<1%
स्ट्राइप
<1%
SHEIN
<1%
Revolut
<1%
पर्प्लेक्सिटी एआई
<1%
डेटाब्रिक्स
<1%
स्पेसएक्स 91%
एंथ्रॉपिक 5.5%
OpenAI 2.9%
क्रैकन <1%
$1,881,164 वॉल्यूम
$1,881,164 वॉल्यूम
31 दिस, 2026
स्पेसएक्स
$230,586 वॉल्यूम
91%
एंथ्रॉपिक
$359,975 वॉल्यूम
6%
OpenAI
$332,249 वॉल्यूम
3%
क्रैकन
$386,106 वॉल्यूम
<1%
डिस्कॉर्ड
$82,587 वॉल्यूम
<1%
वेमो
$59,405 वॉल्यूम
<1%
बाइटडांस
$99,924 वॉल्यूम
<1%
स्ट्राइप
$52,069 वॉल्यूम
<1%
SHEIN
$70,743 वॉल्यूम
<1%
Revolut
$52,832 वॉल्यूम
<1%
पर्प्लेक्सिटी एआई
$68,773 वॉल्यूम
<1%
डेटाब्रिक्स
$85,913 वॉल्यूम
<1%
This market will resolve to the company that achieves the highest market capitalization in U.S. dollars based on the official closing price on its first trading day in 2026.
This market will resolve to a company that completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) between January 1 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
Market capitalization is defined as the total number of outstanding shares multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If two or more companies have exactly equal highest closing market capitalizations, this market will resolve to the company whose listed name comes first alphabetically.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In case the respective company's primary exchange’s official listing page does not report in U.S. dollars, it will be converted to U.S. dollars using the U.S. Federal Reserve Board’s H.10 foreign exchange reference rate for the relevant currency pair on the company’s first trading day (https://www.federalreserve.gov/releases/h10/). If no such rate is available for the relevant trading day, the most recent previously published rate will be used. If the relevant currency is not listed, another credible exchange rate source will be used.
A listed company may resolve to "No" as soon as it becomes unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on the respective companies’ first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.SpaceX’s recent confidential S-1 filing and planned June 2026 roadshow have anchored trader consensus at a 91% implied probability that it will deliver the year’s largest IPO by market cap. The aerospace and satellite firm is targeting a valuation above $1.75 trillion, supported by Starlink’s scaled revenue, Starship progress, and integration of artificial-intelligence workloads in orbit—far exceeding the private-market caps reported for OpenAI and Anthropic. While the filing and banker meetings provide clear momentum, regulatory review timelines, broader equity-market volatility, or an unexpectedly large raise by a rival AI lab could still shift relative positioning before year-end.
This market will resolve to the company that achieves the highest market capitalization in U.S. dollars based on the official closing price on its first trading day in 2026.
This market will resolve to a company that completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) between January 1 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
Market capitalization is defined as the total number of outstanding shares multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If two or more companies have exactly equal highest closing market capitalizations, this market will resolve to the company whose listed name comes first alphabetically.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In case the respective company's primary exchange’s official listing page does not report in U.S. dollars, it will be converted to U.S. dollars using the U.S. Federal Reserve Board’s H.10 foreign exchange reference rate for the relevant currency pair on the company’s first trading day (https://www.federalreserve.gov/releases/h10/). If no such rate is available for the relevant trading day, the most recent previously published rate will be used. If the relevant currency is not listed, another credible exchange rate source will be used.
A listed company may resolve to "No" as soon as it becomes unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on the respective companies’ first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
This market will resolve to a company that completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) between January 1 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
Market capitalization is defined as the total number of outstanding shares multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If two or more companies have exactly equal highest closing market capitalizations, this market will resolve to the company whose listed name comes first alphabetically.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In case the respective company's primary exchange’s official listing page does not report in U.S. dollars, it will be converted to U.S. dollars using the U.S. Federal Reserve Board’s H.10 foreign exchange reference rate for the relevant currency pair on the company’s first trading day (https://www.federalreserve.gov/releases/h10/). If no such rate is available for the relevant trading day, the most recent previously published rate will be used. If the relevant currency is not listed, another credible exchange rate source will be used.
A listed company may resolve to "No" as soon as it becomes unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on the respective companies’ first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
बाज़ार खुला: Feb 2, 2026, 5:32 PM ET
वॉल्यूम
$1,881,164समाप्ति तिथि
31 दिस, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Feb 2, 2026, 5:32 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve to the company that achieves the highest market capitalization in U.S. dollars based on the official closing price on its first trading day in 2026.
This market will resolve to a company that completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) between January 1 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
Market capitalization is defined as the total number of outstanding shares multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If two or more companies have exactly equal highest closing market capitalizations, this market will resolve to the company whose listed name comes first alphabetically.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In case the respective company's primary exchange’s official listing page does not report in U.S. dollars, it will be converted to U.S. dollars using the U.S. Federal Reserve Board’s H.10 foreign exchange reference rate for the relevant currency pair on the company’s first trading day (https://www.federalreserve.gov/releases/h10/). If no such rate is available for the relevant trading day, the most recent previously published rate will be used. If the relevant currency is not listed, another credible exchange rate source will be used.
A listed company may resolve to "No" as soon as it becomes unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on the respective companies’ first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.SpaceX’s recent confidential S-1 filing and planned June 2026 roadshow have anchored trader consensus at a 91% implied probability that it will deliver the year’s largest IPO by market cap. The aerospace and satellite firm is targeting a valuation above $1.75 trillion, supported by Starlink’s scaled revenue, Starship progress, and integration of artificial-intelligence workloads in orbit—far exceeding the private-market caps reported for OpenAI and Anthropic. While the filing and banker meetings provide clear momentum, regulatory review timelines, broader equity-market volatility, or an unexpectedly large raise by a rival AI lab could still shift relative positioning before year-end.
This market will resolve to the company that achieves the highest market capitalization in U.S. dollars based on the official closing price on its first trading day in 2026.
This market will resolve to a company that completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) between January 1 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
Market capitalization is defined as the total number of outstanding shares multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If two or more companies have exactly equal highest closing market capitalizations, this market will resolve to the company whose listed name comes first alphabetically.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In case the respective company's primary exchange’s official listing page does not report in U.S. dollars, it will be converted to U.S. dollars using the U.S. Federal Reserve Board’s H.10 foreign exchange reference rate for the relevant currency pair on the company’s first trading day (https://www.federalreserve.gov/releases/h10/). If no such rate is available for the relevant trading day, the most recent previously published rate will be used. If the relevant currency is not listed, another credible exchange rate source will be used.
A listed company may resolve to "No" as soon as it becomes unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on the respective companies’ first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
This market will resolve to a company that completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) between January 1 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
Market capitalization is defined as the total number of outstanding shares multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If two or more companies have exactly equal highest closing market capitalizations, this market will resolve to the company whose listed name comes first alphabetically.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In case the respective company's primary exchange’s official listing page does not report in U.S. dollars, it will be converted to U.S. dollars using the U.S. Federal Reserve Board’s H.10 foreign exchange reference rate for the relevant currency pair on the company’s first trading day (https://www.federalreserve.gov/releases/h10/). If no such rate is available for the relevant trading day, the most recent previously published rate will be used. If the relevant currency is not listed, another credible exchange rate source will be used.
A listed company may resolve to "No" as soon as it becomes unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on the respective companies’ first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
वॉल्यूम
$1,881,164समाप्ति तिथि
31 दिस, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Feb 2, 2026, 5:32 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...SpaceX’s recent confidential S-1 filing and planned June 2026 roadshow have anchored trader consensus at a 91% implied probability that it will deliver the year’s largest IPO by market cap. The aerospace and satellite firm is targeting a valuation above $1.75 trillion, supported by Starlink’s scaled revenue, Starship progress, and integration of artificial-intelligence workloads in orbit—far exceeding the private-market caps reported for OpenAI and Anthropic. While the filing and banker meetings provide clear momentum, regulatory review timelines, broader equity-market volatility, or an unexpectedly large raise by a rival AI lab could still shift relative positioning before year-end.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
अक्सर पूछे जाने वाले प्रश्न