Official meteorological observations from Argentina’s Servicio Meteorológico Nacional confirm a daily maximum of exactly 14 °C at the key Buenos Aires reporting station on May 16, driving the market’s 100 % implied probability for that outcome. A post-frontal southerly flow and variable cloud cover suppressed daytime heating well below the month’s climatological average of 17–19 °C, consistent with ensemble guidance from GFS and ECMWF models. This strong consensus reflects verified surface measurements rather than forecasts, though rare late data revisions at the Minister Pistarini station or station-specific micro-climate adjustments could theoretically shift resolution within the narrow uncertainty band typical of mid-autumn conditions.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Buenos Aires on May 16?
14°C 100.0%
10°C or below <1%
11°C <1%
12°C <1%
$63,099 Vol.
$63,099 Vol.
10°C or below
No
11°C
No
12°C
No
13°C
No
14°C
Yes
15°C
No
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C or higher
No
14°C 100.0%
10°C or below <1%
11°C <1%
12°C <1%
$63,099 Vol.
$63,099 Vol.
10°C or below
No
11°C
No
12°C
No
13°C
No
14°C
Yes
15°C
No
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Pasar Dibuka: May 14, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
Sumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Hasil diajukan: Yes
Tidak ada sengketa
Hasil akhir: Yes
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Sumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Hasil diajukan: Yes
Tidak ada sengketa
Hasil akhir: Yes
Official meteorological observations from Argentina’s Servicio Meteorológico Nacional confirm a daily maximum of exactly 14 °C at the key Buenos Aires reporting station on May 16, driving the market’s 100 % implied probability for that outcome. A post-frontal southerly flow and variable cloud cover suppressed daytime heating well below the month’s climatological average of 17–19 °C, consistent with ensemble guidance from GFS and ECMWF models. This strong consensus reflects verified surface measurements rather than forecasts, though rare late data revisions at the Minister Pistarini station or station-specific micro-climate adjustments could theoretically shift resolution within the narrow uncertainty band typical of mid-autumn conditions.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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