Current meteorological forecasts indicate a maximum temperature of 14°C for Buenos Aires on May 17, producing the market’s near-certain 99.3% implied probability for that outcome. Stable high-pressure conditions and cool southerly flow across the Río de la Plata region are expected to cap daytime warming, consistent with late-autumn climatology and recent model runs from regional meteorological agencies. Official resolution will rely on verified observations from the Servicio Meteorológico Nacional, which typically report the highest reading from central stations. The dominant consensus leaves minimal scope for upward revision unless an unanticipated warm-air advection develops before peak heating, an event not supported by the latest atmospheric guidance.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Buenos Aires on May 17?
14°C 99.4%
16°C <1%
15°C <1%
18°C <1%
$32,438 Vol.
$32,438 Vol.
9°C or below
<1%
10°C
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
99%
15°C
<1%
16°C
1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C or higher
<1%
14°C 99.4%
16°C <1%
15°C <1%
18°C <1%
$32,438 Vol.
$32,438 Vol.
9°C or below
<1%
10°C
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
99%
15°C
<1%
16°C
1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Pasar Dibuka: May 15, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Sumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZThe resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Sumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZCurrent meteorological forecasts indicate a maximum temperature of 14°C for Buenos Aires on May 17, producing the market’s near-certain 99.3% implied probability for that outcome. Stable high-pressure conditions and cool southerly flow across the Río de la Plata region are expected to cap daytime warming, consistent with late-autumn climatology and recent model runs from regional meteorological agencies. Official resolution will rely on verified observations from the Servicio Meteorológico Nacional, which typically report the highest reading from central stations. The dominant consensus leaves minimal scope for upward revision unless an unanticipated warm-air advection develops before peak heating, an event not supported by the latest atmospheric guidance.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
Hati-hati dengan link eksternal.
Hati-hati dengan link eksternal.
Pertanyaan yang Sering Diajukan