National Weather Service forecasts and leading dynamical models such as the GFS and ECMWF have converged on a daytime high of 76–78 °F for Denver on May 16, anchoring trader consensus at the 76–77 °F outcome. This positioning reflects typical late-spring climatology for the Front Range, where moderate southwesterly flow and limited moisture keep temperatures near seasonal normals without strong warm-air advection. Final National Weather Service observations at Denver International Airport will determine resolution, with the 99.9 % market-implied probability indicating minimal expected deviation. Scenarios that could still shift the outcome include an unanticipated late-day cold front or slight differences between official station readings and broader urban measurements.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Denver on May 16?
76-77°F 99.9%
78-79°F <1%
80-81°F <1%
82-83°F <1%
$62,097 Vol.
$62,097 Vol.
76-77°F
100%
78-79°F
<1%
80-81°F
<1%
82-83°F
<1%
84°F or higher
<1%
76-77°F 99.9%
78-79°F <1%
80-81°F <1%
82-83°F <1%
$62,097 Vol.
$62,097 Vol.
76-77°F
100%
78-79°F
<1%
80-81°F
<1%
82-83°F
<1%
84°F or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Buckley Space Force Base Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Pasar Dibuka: May 14, 2026, 12:07 AM ET
Sumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKFResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Buckley Space Force Base Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Sumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKFResolver
0x69c47De9D...National Weather Service forecasts and leading dynamical models such as the GFS and ECMWF have converged on a daytime high of 76–78 °F for Denver on May 16, anchoring trader consensus at the 76–77 °F outcome. This positioning reflects typical late-spring climatology for the Front Range, where moderate southwesterly flow and limited moisture keep temperatures near seasonal normals without strong warm-air advection. Final National Weather Service observations at Denver International Airport will determine resolution, with the 99.9 % market-implied probability indicating minimal expected deviation. Scenarios that could still shift the outcome include an unanticipated late-day cold front or slight differences between official station readings and broader urban measurements.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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