Recent monsoon conditions and convective activity over northern India drive the closely matched market odds for Lucknow's September 14 maximum temperature, with no single outcome exceeding 20% implied probability. Official IMD guidance and model consensus indicate partly cloudy skies with scattered thunderstorms possible, which can limit daytime heating through increased cloud cover, higher humidity, and evaporative cooling from rainfall. Easterly winds and typical September climatology (historical daytime highs near 32–34°C) support a central tendency around 31–33°C, yet timing and intensity of any showers introduce variability that keeps 30°C, 32°C, and 34°C outcomes nearly even. Updated IMD forecasts and next model runs will refine these probabilities ahead of market resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Lucknow on September 14?
Highest temperature in Lucknow on September 14?
32°C 40%
30°C 38%
33°C 29%
31°C 29%
BARU
BARU
Sep 14, 2026
25°C or below
2%
26°C
2%
27°C
3%
28°C
5%
29°C
9%
30°C
38%
31°C
29%
32°C
40%
33°C
29%
34°C
9%
35°C or higher
9%
32°C 40%
30°C 38%
33°C 29%
31°C 29%
BARU
BARU
Sep 14, 2026
25°C or below
$0 Vol.
2%
26°C
$0 Vol.
2%
27°C
$0 Vol.
3%
28°C
$0 Vol.
5%
29°C
$0 Vol.
9%
30°C
$0 Vol.
38%
31°C
$7 Vol.
29%
32°C
$0 Vol.
40%
33°C
$0 Vol.
29%
34°C
$0 Vol.
9%
35°C or higher
$0 Vol.
9%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent monsoon conditions and convective activity over northern India drive the closely matched market odds for Lucknow's September 14 maximum temperature, with no single outcome exceeding 20% implied probability. Official IMD guidance and model consensus indicate partly cloudy skies with scattered thunderstorms possible, which can limit daytime heating through increased cloud cover, higher humidity, and evaporative cooling from rainfall. Easterly winds and typical September climatology (historical daytime highs near 32–34°C) support a central tendency around 31–33°C, yet timing and intensity of any showers introduce variability that keeps 30°C, 32°C, and 34°C outcomes nearly even. Updated IMD forecasts and next model runs will refine these probabilities ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Sep 12, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volume
$7Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 14, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 12, 2026, 12:56 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilkResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent monsoon conditions and convective activity over northern India drive the closely matched market odds for Lucknow's September 14 maximum temperature, with no single outcome exceeding 20% implied probability. Official IMD guidance and model consensus indicate partly cloudy skies with scattered thunderstorms possible, which can limit daytime heating through increased cloud cover, higher humidity, and evaporative cooling from rainfall. Easterly winds and typical September climatology (historical daytime highs near 32–34°C) support a central tendency around 31–33°C, yet timing and intensity of any showers introduce variability that keeps 30°C, 32°C, and 34°C outcomes nearly even. Updated IMD forecasts and next model runs will refine these probabilities ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$7Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 14, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 12, 2026, 12:56 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilkResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent monsoon conditions and convective activity over northern India drive the closely matched market odds for Lucknow's September 14 maximum temperature, with no single outcome exceeding 20% implied probability. Official IMD guidance and model consensus indicate partly cloudy skies with scattered thunderstorms possible, which can limit daytime heating through increased cloud cover, higher humidity, and evaporative cooling from rainfall. Easterly winds and typical September climatology (historical daytime highs near 32–34°C) support a central tendency around 31–33°C, yet timing and intensity of any showers introduce variability that keeps 30°C, 32°C, and 34°C outcomes nearly even. Updated IMD forecasts and next model runs will refine these probabilities ahead of market resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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