The market's near-certain 26°C outcome for Mexico City's highest temperature on August 4 reflects convergence among official forecast models and observational data from the Servicio Meteorológico Nacional. Early August climatology for the highland basin typically produces daily maxima near 24–27°C under weak trade-wind influence and modest convective activity; recent model runs showed no significant deviation from this baseline, with minimal spread across ensembles and no incoming cold fronts or heat-wave signals. Measurement occurs at standardized urban stations using calibrated thermometers, reducing uncertainty to well below 1°C. Only an unforecast localized anomaly or post-event data revision would alter the result, both of which remain statistically remote given the stability of current guidance.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Mexico City on August 4?
Highest temperature in Mexico City on August 4?
26°C 99.9%
20°C or below <1%
21°C <1%
22°C <1%
$27,421 Vol.
$27,421 Vol.
Aug 4, 2026
20°C or below
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
100%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C or higher
<1%
26°C 99.9%
20°C or below <1%
21°C <1%
22°C <1%
$27,421 Vol.
$27,421 Vol.
Aug 4, 2026
20°C or below
$347 Vol.
<1%
21°C
$427 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$543 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$1,015 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$1,929 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$5,102 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$7,770 Vol.
100%
27°C
$5,655 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$2,502 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$1,445 Vol.
<1%
30°C or higher
$687 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.The market's near-certain 26°C outcome for Mexico City's highest temperature on August 4 reflects convergence among official forecast models and observational data from the Servicio Meteorológico Nacional. Early August climatology for the highland basin typically produces daily maxima near 24–27°C under weak trade-wind influence and modest convective activity; recent model runs showed no significant deviation from this baseline, with minimal spread across ensembles and no incoming cold fronts or heat-wave signals. Measurement occurs at standardized urban stations using calibrated thermometers, reducing uncertainty to well below 1°C. Only an unforecast localized anomaly or post-event data revision would alter the result, both of which remain statistically remote given the stability of current guidance.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 2, 2026, 9:05 PM ET
Volume
$27,421Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 4, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 2, 2026, 9:05 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.The market's near-certain 26°C outcome for Mexico City's highest temperature on August 4 reflects convergence among official forecast models and observational data from the Servicio Meteorológico Nacional. Early August climatology for the highland basin typically produces daily maxima near 24–27°C under weak trade-wind influence and modest convective activity; recent model runs showed no significant deviation from this baseline, with minimal spread across ensembles and no incoming cold fronts or heat-wave signals. Measurement occurs at standardized urban stations using calibrated thermometers, reducing uncertainty to well below 1°C. Only an unforecast localized anomaly or post-event data revision would alter the result, both of which remain statistically remote given the stability of current guidance.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$27,421Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 4, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 2, 2026, 9:05 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The market's near-certain 26°C outcome for Mexico City's highest temperature on August 4 reflects convergence among official forecast models and observational data from the Servicio Meteorológico Nacional. Early August climatology for the highland basin typically produces daily maxima near 24–27°C under weak trade-wind influence and modest convective activity; recent model runs showed no significant deviation from this baseline, with minimal spread across ensembles and no incoming cold fronts or heat-wave signals. Measurement occurs at standardized urban stations using calibrated thermometers, reducing uncertainty to well below 1°C. Only an unforecast localized anomaly or post-event data revision would alter the result, both of which remain statistically remote given the stability of current guidance.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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