The market's decisive positioning on an 88-89°F high for Miami on May 16 stems from National Weather Service observations confirming a daily maximum within that range at the primary monitoring station. Typical mid-May atmospheric patterns, including easterly trade winds and afternoon sea breezes that moderate coastal heating, aligned with seasonal norms and prevented stronger warming from subtropical ridging. This outcome matches long-term climatological data showing rare exceedances of 90°F before late May in the region. Traders integrated real-time airport readings and model consensus to lock in the implied probability near 100 percent, with resolution hinging on official verification rather than preliminary estimates.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Miami on May 16?
88-89°F 100.0%
90-91°F <1%
92-93°F <1%
94-95°F <1%
$85,412 Vol.
$85,412 Vol.
88-89°F
100%
90-91°F
<1%
92-93°F
<1%
94-95°F
<1%
96-97°F
<1%
98°F or higher
<1%
88-89°F 100.0%
90-91°F <1%
92-93°F <1%
94-95°F <1%
$85,412 Vol.
$85,412 Vol.
88-89°F
100%
90-91°F
<1%
92-93°F
<1%
94-95°F
<1%
96-97°F
<1%
98°F or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Pasar Dibuka: May 14, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
Sumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Hasil diajukan: No
Tidak ada sengketa
Hasil akhir: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Sumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Hasil diajukan: No
Tidak ada sengketa
Hasil akhir: No
The market's decisive positioning on an 88-89°F high for Miami on May 16 stems from National Weather Service observations confirming a daily maximum within that range at the primary monitoring station. Typical mid-May atmospheric patterns, including easterly trade winds and afternoon sea breezes that moderate coastal heating, aligned with seasonal norms and prevented stronger warming from subtropical ridging. This outcome matches long-term climatological data showing rare exceedances of 90°F before late May in the region. Traders integrated real-time airport readings and model consensus to lock in the implied probability near 100 percent, with resolution hinging on official verification rather than preliminary estimates.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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