Traders have overwhelmingly positioned on 13°C as Warsaw’s highest temperature for May 17, reflecting the latest high-resolution forecasts from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and the Polish Institute of Meteorology and Water Management. These models show a stable high-pressure system limiting daytime heating, with projected afternoon maxima holding near 13°C under partly cloudy skies and light northerly flow. Current surface observations indicate morning temperatures rising gradually without rapid convective development, aligning with mid-May climatology for central Poland. While the consensus appears robust, an unexpected afternoon temperature spike from localized insolation or model error could still push readings to 14°C, though such scenarios remain low-probability based on the most recent ensemble guidance.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Warsaw on May 17?
Highest temperature in Warsaw on May 17?
13°C 99.8%
14°C <1%
15°C or higher <1%
5°C or below <1%
$49,644 Vol.
$49,644 Vol.
May 17, 2026
5°C or below
<1%
6°C
<1%
7°C
<1%
8°C
<1%
9°C
<1%
10°C
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
100%
14°C
<1%
15°C or higher
<1%
13°C 99.8%
14°C <1%
15°C or higher <1%
5°C or below <1%
$49,644 Vol.
$49,644 Vol.
May 17, 2026
5°C or below
$660 Vol.
<1%
6°C
$979 Vol.
<1%
7°C
$435 Vol.
<1%
8°C
$683 Vol.
<1%
9°C
$1,131 Vol.
<1%
10°C
$4,426 Vol.
<1%
11°C
$10,585 Vol.
<1%
12°C
$4,844 Vol.
<1%
13°C
$9,777 Vol.
100%
14°C
$8,059 Vol.
<1%
15°C or higher
$8,065 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Traders have overwhelmingly positioned on 13°C as Warsaw’s highest temperature for May 17, reflecting the latest high-resolution forecasts from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and the Polish Institute of Meteorology and Water Management. These models show a stable high-pressure system limiting daytime heating, with projected afternoon maxima holding near 13°C under partly cloudy skies and light northerly flow. Current surface observations indicate morning temperatures rising gradually without rapid convective development, aligning with mid-May climatology for central Poland. While the consensus appears robust, an unexpected afternoon temperature spike from localized insolation or model error could still push readings to 14°C, though such scenarios remain low-probability based on the most recent ensemble guidance.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Pasar Dibuka: May 15, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Volume
$49,644Tanggal Berakhir
May 17, 2026Pasar Dibuka
May 15, 2026, 12:04 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWAThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Traders have overwhelmingly positioned on 13°C as Warsaw’s highest temperature for May 17, reflecting the latest high-resolution forecasts from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and the Polish Institute of Meteorology and Water Management. These models show a stable high-pressure system limiting daytime heating, with projected afternoon maxima holding near 13°C under partly cloudy skies and light northerly flow. Current surface observations indicate morning temperatures rising gradually without rapid convective development, aligning with mid-May climatology for central Poland. While the consensus appears robust, an unexpected afternoon temperature spike from localized insolation or model error could still push readings to 14°C, though such scenarios remain low-probability based on the most recent ensemble guidance.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$49,644Tanggal Berakhir
May 17, 2026Pasar Dibuka
May 15, 2026, 12:04 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWATraders have overwhelmingly positioned on 13°C as Warsaw’s highest temperature for May 17, reflecting the latest high-resolution forecasts from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and the Polish Institute of Meteorology and Water Management. These models show a stable high-pressure system limiting daytime heating, with projected afternoon maxima holding near 13°C under partly cloudy skies and light northerly flow. Current surface observations indicate morning temperatures rising gradually without rapid convective development, aligning with mid-May climatology for central Poland. While the consensus appears robust, an unexpected afternoon temperature spike from localized insolation or model error could still push readings to 14°C, though such scenarios remain low-probability based on the most recent ensemble guidance.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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