Recent model consensus from European weather services points to a daytime maximum near 13°C in Warsaw on May 17, driven by persistent northerly flow behind a weakening frontal system that advected cooler maritime air over central Poland. Cloud cover and light winds are expected to limit surface heating, keeping temperatures several degrees below the May climatological average of 19°C. Ensemble spreads in the 12–14°C range reflect modest uncertainties in timing of any afternoon clearing and exact boundary-layer mixing. Official forecasts from national meteorological institutes emphasize these factors, with resolution hinging on the precise peak reading at the Warsaw-Okecie station.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Warsaw on May 17?
Highest temperature in Warsaw on May 17?
13°C 32%
12°C 23.4%
14°C 22%
11°C 13%
BARU
$17,514 Vol.
BARU
$17,514 Vol.
May 17, 2026
5°C or below
<1%
6°C
<1%
7°C
<1%
8°C
<1%
9°C
<1%
10°C
2%
11°C
13%
12°C
23%
13°C
32%
14°C
22%
15°C or higher
9%
13°C 32%
12°C 23.4%
14°C 22%
11°C 13%
BARU
$17,514 Vol.
BARU
$17,514 Vol.
May 17, 2026
5°C or below
$660 Vol.
<1%
6°C
$979 Vol.
<1%
7°C
$435 Vol.
<1%
8°C
$683 Vol.
<1%
9°C
$855 Vol.
<1%
10°C
$2,153 Vol.
2%
11°C
$2,169 Vol.
13%
12°C
$1,561 Vol.
23%
13°C
$2,440 Vol.
32%
14°C
$2,966 Vol.
22%
15°C or higher
$2,614 Vol.
9%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent model consensus from European weather services points to a daytime maximum near 13°C in Warsaw on May 17, driven by persistent northerly flow behind a weakening frontal system that advected cooler maritime air over central Poland. Cloud cover and light winds are expected to limit surface heating, keeping temperatures several degrees below the May climatological average of 19°C. Ensemble spreads in the 12–14°C range reflect modest uncertainties in timing of any afternoon clearing and exact boundary-layer mixing. Official forecasts from national meteorological institutes emphasize these factors, with resolution hinging on the precise peak reading at the Warsaw-Okecie station.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Pasar Dibuka: May 15, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Volume
$17,514Tanggal Berakhir
May 17, 2026Pasar Dibuka
May 15, 2026, 12:04 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWAThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent model consensus from European weather services points to a daytime maximum near 13°C in Warsaw on May 17, driven by persistent northerly flow behind a weakening frontal system that advected cooler maritime air over central Poland. Cloud cover and light winds are expected to limit surface heating, keeping temperatures several degrees below the May climatological average of 19°C. Ensemble spreads in the 12–14°C range reflect modest uncertainties in timing of any afternoon clearing and exact boundary-layer mixing. Official forecasts from national meteorological institutes emphasize these factors, with resolution hinging on the precise peak reading at the Warsaw-Okecie station.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$17,514Tanggal Berakhir
May 17, 2026Pasar Dibuka
May 15, 2026, 12:04 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWARecent model consensus from European weather services points to a daytime maximum near 13°C in Warsaw on May 17, driven by persistent northerly flow behind a weakening frontal system that advected cooler maritime air over central Poland. Cloud cover and light winds are expected to limit surface heating, keeping temperatures several degrees below the May climatological average of 19°C. Ensemble spreads in the 12–14°C range reflect modest uncertainties in timing of any afternoon clearing and exact boundary-layer mixing. Official forecasts from national meteorological institutes emphasize these factors, with resolution hinging on the precise peak reading at the Warsaw-Okecie station.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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