Forecast models from agencies including the National Institute of Water and Atmospheric Research and international ensembles project a mostly sunny spring day in Wellington on September 11 with northwest winds and a daytime maximum near 13°C, consistent with the long-term September average high of 13–14°C. Recent surface observations and model runs show stable high pressure building after earlier southerly flow, limiting cloud cover and supporting modest warming without significant advection of warmer air masses. Trader consensus reflected in the market-implied odds favors outcomes clustered around 14–15°C, acknowledging typical model spread of 1–2°C and the potential for localized heating under clear skies, while lower probabilities on extremes align with the low historical frequency of September highs exceeding 16°C or falling below 12°C in the capital. Updated model guidance expected overnight will refine the precise peak.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Wellington on September 11?
Highest temperature in Wellington on September 11?
15°C 65%
14°C 29%
16°C 5%
12°C 2%
BARU
$15,155 Vol.
BARU
$15,155 Vol.
Sep 11, 2026
9°C or below
<1%
10°C
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
2%
13°C
2%
14°C
29%
15°C
65%
16°C
5%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C or higher
<1%
15°C 65%
14°C 29%
16°C 5%
12°C 2%
BARU
$15,155 Vol.
BARU
$15,155 Vol.
Sep 11, 2026
9°C or below
$944 Vol.
<1%
10°C
$176 Vol.
<1%
11°C
$284 Vol.
<1%
12°C
$1,055 Vol.
2%
13°C
$2,063 Vol.
2%
14°C
$2,085 Vol.
29%
15°C
$4,753 Vol.
65%
16°C
$2,053 Vol.
5%
17°C
$720 Vol.
<1%
18°C
$551 Vol.
<1%
19°C or higher
$471 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from agencies including the National Institute of Water and Atmospheric Research and international ensembles project a mostly sunny spring day in Wellington on September 11 with northwest winds and a daytime maximum near 13°C, consistent with the long-term September average high of 13–14°C. Recent surface observations and model runs show stable high pressure building after earlier southerly flow, limiting cloud cover and supporting modest warming without significant advection of warmer air masses. Trader consensus reflected in the market-implied odds favors outcomes clustered around 14–15°C, acknowledging typical model spread of 1–2°C and the potential for localized heating under clear skies, while lower probabilities on extremes align with the low historical frequency of September highs exceeding 16°C or falling below 12°C in the capital. Updated model guidance expected overnight will refine the precise peak.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Sep 9, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volume
$15,155Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 11, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 9, 2026, 12:56 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwnResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from agencies including the National Institute of Water and Atmospheric Research and international ensembles project a mostly sunny spring day in Wellington on September 11 with northwest winds and a daytime maximum near 13°C, consistent with the long-term September average high of 13–14°C. Recent surface observations and model runs show stable high pressure building after earlier southerly flow, limiting cloud cover and supporting modest warming without significant advection of warmer air masses. Trader consensus reflected in the market-implied odds favors outcomes clustered around 14–15°C, acknowledging typical model spread of 1–2°C and the potential for localized heating under clear skies, while lower probabilities on extremes align with the low historical frequency of September highs exceeding 16°C or falling below 12°C in the capital. Updated model guidance expected overnight will refine the precise peak.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$15,155Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 11, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 9, 2026, 12:56 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwnResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from agencies including the National Institute of Water and Atmospheric Research and international ensembles project a mostly sunny spring day in Wellington on September 11 with northwest winds and a daytime maximum near 13°C, consistent with the long-term September average high of 13–14°C. Recent surface observations and model runs show stable high pressure building after earlier southerly flow, limiting cloud cover and supporting modest warming without significant advection of warmer air masses. Trader consensus reflected in the market-implied odds favors outcomes clustered around 14–15°C, acknowledging typical model spread of 1–2°C and the potential for localized heating under clear skies, while lower probabilities on extremes align with the low historical frequency of September highs exceeding 16°C or falling below 12°C in the capital. Updated model guidance expected overnight will refine the precise peak.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
Hati-hati dengan link eksternal.
Hati-hati dengan link eksternal.
Pertanyaan yang Sering Diajukan