Recent reporting indicates Anthropic shifted its IPO target from October to November 2026 to showcase stronger third-quarter results before the roadshow, aligning with the market's 47.9% implied probability for that month. The Claude developer confidentially filed its S-1 in June and now plans a late-September public prospectus, mid-October investor marketing, and a pre-midterm listing, supported by rapid revenue growth to a $65 billion annualized run rate by July and projections exceeding $100 billion by year-end. Competitive pressures from rivals like OpenAI, alongside CEO Dario Amodei's AI safety commentary, introduce some timing uncertainty, while expectations of a roughly $2 trillion valuation and up to $100 billion raise reinforce trader focus on a fourth-quarter 2026 debut.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiNovember 2026 47.9%
December 2026 22.8%
January 2027 9.3%
February 2027 4.3%
$252,604 Vol.
$252,604 Vol.
September 2026
<1%
October 2026
3%
November 2026
48%
December 2026
23%
January 2027
9%
February 2027
4%
March 2027
7%
April 2027
2%
May 2027
1%
June 2027
1%
July 2027
1%
August 2027
<1%
September 2027
1%
October 2027
1%
November 2027
1%
December 2027
1%
No IPO before 2028
2%
November 2026 47.9%
December 2026 22.8%
January 2027 9.3%
February 2027 4.3%
$252,604 Vol.
$252,604 Vol.
September 2026
<1%
October 2026
3%
November 2026
48%
December 2026
23%
January 2027
9%
February 2027
4%
March 2027
7%
April 2027
2%
May 2027
1%
June 2027
1%
July 2027
1%
August 2027
<1%
September 2027
1%
October 2027
1%
November 2027
1%
December 2027
1%
No IPO before 2028
2%
An IPO refers to Anthropic shares becoming listed and open for trading on a public securities exchange, whether through a traditional initial public offering or a direct listing.
If Anthropic goes public through a merger, acquisition, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded, including a special purpose acquisition company, this market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
Announcements, filings, or scheduling of an IPO will not suffice; this market will resolve after public trading has begun.
Resolution will be based on information from the primary exchange.
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 19, 2026, 9:36 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...An IPO refers to Anthropic shares becoming listed and open for trading on a public securities exchange, whether through a traditional initial public offering or a direct listing.
If Anthropic goes public through a merger, acquisition, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded, including a special purpose acquisition company, this market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
Announcements, filings, or scheduling of an IPO will not suffice; this market will resolve after public trading has begun.
Resolution will be based on information from the primary exchange.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent reporting indicates Anthropic shifted its IPO target from October to November 2026 to showcase stronger third-quarter results before the roadshow, aligning with the market's 47.9% implied probability for that month. The Claude developer confidentially filed its S-1 in June and now plans a late-September public prospectus, mid-October investor marketing, and a pre-midterm listing, supported by rapid revenue growth to a $65 billion annualized run rate by July and projections exceeding $100 billion by year-end. Competitive pressures from rivals like OpenAI, alongside CEO Dario Amodei's AI safety commentary, introduce some timing uncertainty, while expectations of a roughly $2 trillion valuation and up to $100 billion raise reinforce trader focus on a fourth-quarter 2026 debut.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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