Recent Met Office and ECMWF ensemble forecasts position 11°C as the most probable overnight minimum for London on May 17, driven by a mild southwesterly flow of Atlantic air that limits radiative cooling under variable cloud cover. Current observations show daytime temperatures reaching 16–17°C, with the stable air mass expected to keep the low near or just above 10°C. This aligns with historical May averages of 8–10°C while reflecting the specific synoptic pattern reducing the chance of sharper drops. Traders' strong consensus on 11°C incorporates these model outputs and ongoing monitoring updates, though minor forecast shifts could still influence final readings.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiLowest temperature in London on May 17?
Lowest temperature in London on May 17?
11°C 84%
10°C 10%
9°C <1%
8°C <1%
$8,655 Vol.
$8,655 Vol.
May 17, 2026
2°C or below
<1%
3°C
<1%
4°C
<1%
5°C
<1%
6°C
<1%
7°C
<1%
8°C
<1%
9°C
1%
10°C
10%
11°C
84%
12°C or higher
<1%
11°C 84%
10°C 10%
9°C <1%
8°C <1%
$8,655 Vol.
$8,655 Vol.
May 17, 2026
2°C or below
$343 Vol.
<1%
3°C
$520 Vol.
<1%
4°C
$900 Vol.
<1%
5°C
$466 Vol.
<1%
6°C
$628 Vol.
<1%
7°C
$455 Vol.
<1%
8°C
$1,617 Vol.
<1%
9°C
$687 Vol.
1%
10°C
$269 Vol.
10%
11°C
$378 Vol.
84%
12°C or higher
$2,390 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent Met Office and ECMWF ensemble forecasts position 11°C as the most probable overnight minimum for London on May 17, driven by a mild southwesterly flow of Atlantic air that limits radiative cooling under variable cloud cover. Current observations show daytime temperatures reaching 16–17°C, with the stable air mass expected to keep the low near or just above 10°C. This aligns with historical May averages of 8–10°C while reflecting the specific synoptic pattern reducing the chance of sharper drops. Traders' strong consensus on 11°C incorporates these model outputs and ongoing monitoring updates, though minor forecast shifts could still influence final readings.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Pasar Dibuka: May 13, 2026, 12:30 PM ET
Volume
$8,655Tanggal Berakhir
May 17, 2026Pasar Dibuka
May 13, 2026, 12:30 PM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent Met Office and ECMWF ensemble forecasts position 11°C as the most probable overnight minimum for London on May 17, driven by a mild southwesterly flow of Atlantic air that limits radiative cooling under variable cloud cover. Current observations show daytime temperatures reaching 16–17°C, with the stable air mass expected to keep the low near or just above 10°C. This aligns with historical May averages of 8–10°C while reflecting the specific synoptic pattern reducing the chance of sharper drops. Traders' strong consensus on 11°C incorporates these model outputs and ongoing monitoring updates, though minor forecast shifts could still influence final readings.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$8,655Tanggal Berakhir
May 17, 2026Pasar Dibuka
May 13, 2026, 12:30 PM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCRecent Met Office and ECMWF ensemble forecasts position 11°C as the most probable overnight minimum for London on May 17, driven by a mild southwesterly flow of Atlantic air that limits radiative cooling under variable cloud cover. Current observations show daytime temperatures reaching 16–17°C, with the stable air mass expected to keep the low near or just above 10°C. This aligns with historical May averages of 8–10°C while reflecting the specific synoptic pattern reducing the chance of sharper drops. Traders' strong consensus on 11°C incorporates these model outputs and ongoing monitoring updates, though minor forecast shifts could still influence final readings.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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